Greenspan Put: Rates Won’t Rise Soon
Updated Dec 2022
In an interview with former SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt, Greenspan expressed his worries that interest rates would soon rise, but we beg to differ. Negative interest rates are becoming the norm, and no country would dare to raise rates and risk wrecking their economy. Thus, Greenspan’s assumption on rising rates should be ignored or treated as the ravings of a mentally unstable person.
Despite being pessimistic about the Euro, Greenspan believed the EU is unworkable. Germany benefits the most from it, providing them with a weaker currency, which is essential for their export-based model. The poorer members are offered low-interest loans, which look good until they cannot repay them. Greece is a perfect example of this situation. Full Story
Greenspan Put Concept Valid But His Recent thoughts—Not
The Maestro Greenspan’s recent comments on interest rates and the EU are a false song, and we suspect he knows it. The world is embracing negative rates, and any nation that dares to raise rates risks wrecking its economy. The Greenspan Put is not a bad idea, albeit for the big players, but his recent views are plain silly. The truth is, Greenspan was never the most influential person; he was just a fly on the wall waiting to be swatted.
Regarding the EU, Greenspan is partly correct; it is run by unelected bureaucrats in Brussels who take a nation’s hard-earned money and impose rules that make life more difficult. The EU is designed to benefit Germany the most, allowing them to maintain its export-based model with a weaker currency. Meanwhile, poorer members are offered low-interest loans, leading to a cycle of borrowing that ends in disaster, as seen in Greece.
Understanding mass psychology is critical to navigating the markets successfully. Utilized correctly, it can spot trends in any market, allowing investors to protect themselves and benefit from new opportunities. It’s important to remember that disasters present opportunities for those who can capitalize on them. The Greenspan Put may be a popular idea, but it’s important not to rely on it blindly. The markets can crash anytime, and investors should be prepared for the worst.
Overview of the Above Article
Mr Greenspan may not be aware of the true nature of the economic landscape, or perhaps he is willfully spreading misinformation. We suspect the latter. While he may appear to have significant influence over the masses, we maintain that he is nothing more than a fly on the wall, waiting to be swatted.
It would be prudent to disregard any predictions of imminent rate hikes, for such an action would undoubtedly bring about the downfall of any nation that attempts it. Regarding the European Union, Mr Greenspan’s views are not entirely unfounded. The EU is indeed run by unelected bureaucrats in Brussels, whose only purpose seems to be extracting hard-earned money from member nations while imposing restrictive regulations.
Nevertheless, we must consider the potential benefits of the so-called “Greenspan Put”. The notion that the Federal Reserve will support markets during economic turmoil has proven to be a stabilizing force. It can provide a sense of security to investors and, in turn, lead to greater market participation.
Some may argue that such intervention is a form of market manipulation and would not be entirely wrong. However, in times of crisis, it may be necessary to take drastic measures to prevent a full-blown economic collapse. Ultimately, it is up to the individual investor to weigh the risks and rewards of such actions.
Random suggestions
Lastly, we suggest living below your means and putting your money to work in the stock market. Mass Psychology knows no limits and can help you spot trends in any market, allowing you to protect yourself and benefit from these new trends. Remember, disaster is just a code word for opportunity.
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Research
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. “The Greenspan Put: Its Origins and Effects on the Stock Market.” https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/review/2001/05/01/the-greenspan-put-its-origins-and-effects-on-the-stock-market/
- Investopedia. “Greenspan Put.” https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/greenspan-put.asp
- “The Greenspan Put and Its Legacy” by Jim Paulsen (https://www.advisorperspectives.com/commentaries/2016/09/13/the-greenspan-put-and-its-legacy)
- “The Greenspan Put and Its Effect on the Market” by Mark Kolakowski (https://www.investopedia.com/articles/stocks/09/greenspan-put.asp)
- “The Greenspan Put: An Options Market Perspective” by Andrew Kalotay (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2001-04-29/the-greenspan-put-an-options-market-perspective)
- “The Greenspan Put and Moral Hazard” by Richard Alford (https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2011/12/the-greenspan-put-and-moral-hazard.html)
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