Stock Market Predictions 2020: Focus On The Trend


Stock Market Predictions 2020

Updated  Jan 15, 2024

Stock Market Predictions 2020

Regarding stock market predictions for 2020, it’s wise to focus on the overall trend rather than specific forecasts. Experts often miss the mark regarding market timing, sometimes to the extent that random chance, such as monkeys with darts, could predict outcomes more accurately. Understanding mass psychology, which studies collective emotions, can be crucial for investors aiming to align with market trends.

Throughout 2016, for example, there was a consensus that gold prices would skyrocket, but those predictions did not materialize as expected. Many experts issued exorbitant price targets for gold, reaching as high as $20,000 to $50,000, which did not align with market realities. Such extreme predictions often serve more to stoke fear than to provide sound investment guidance.

Investors are encouraged to maintain a long-term perspective, recognizing that while short-term market movements are unpredictable, broader trends can offer more reliable insights for strategic decision-making. It’s essential to approach market predictions with a healthy dose of scepticism and to base investment decisions on a comprehensive analysis of market conditions rather than speculative forecasts. Gold Market Finally ready to break?

Stock Market Predictions 2020 based on the Zodiac

The year 2020’s financial landscape is poised to be influenced by the cosmos, with Uranus’s return to Taurus heralding a period of radical change in our approach to money and stability. This shift encourages innovative ways of earning and managing finances, potentially moving away from traditional methods and materialistic values.

Jupiter’s presence in Sagittarius until December 2, 2019, sets the stage for a prosperous start to 2020, offering numerous opportunities for financial growth and expansion. As we transition into the new year, the alignment of various planets is expected to impact the stock market in different ways.

For instance, the conjunction of Mercury and Sun in Aries may lead to market inflation, while Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, and Pluto in Capricorn could promise profitable outcomes for investors. The movement of Venus into Taurus might boost sectors like cotton, fashion, and hospitality.

As the planets continue their celestial dance, the stock market is anticipated to experience fluctuations, with specific dates marked for potential inflation and deflation. Investors might find these astrological insights valuable for timing their market activities. However, it’s always important to combine such predictions with practical financial analysis and not rely solely on astrology for investment decisions.

In summary, the zodiac and planetary movements offer an intriguing perspective on potential market trends for 2020, suggesting a year where unconventional strategies and adaptability could be key to financial success.

Finance Predictions: these Chaps are Predicting Chaos

Flashback to 2008: The government reacted to the financial crisis by buying ‘toxic assets’ from the affected financial institutions and setting up a ‘Troubled Asset Relief Program’. In addition to this, interest rates were lowered when the Federal Reserve acquired government bonds to boost interest in investment prospects. In total, $10 trillion worth of assets was purchased by central banks to reset the balance.

J.P. Morgan

Has pronounced a fallout forecast, stating that a 2019 financial crisis is likely to result in liquidity disruptions and a decline in assets because of diminutive inflows. And this near-future crisis is only being exacerbated by the US-China trade war. As well as the sudden collapse of the Smart Money Flow Index between 2016 to 2018 – China’s stock prices have taken a dive by 49%. If this pattern continues, the crash is inevitable.

According to CNN Money, the main sources of a 2019 financial crisis will be related to China’s economy, the result of Brexit, a greater amount of cyberattacks on financial firms (with more Fintech systems being implemented), and a growing rate of UK household debt. The Bank of England Governor and chair of the Financial Stability Board, Mark Carney, spoke out about how the economic growth in China may look positive; however, the superpower’s projected growth of its financial sector is not guaranteed. Full Story

Finance Predictions From 3 experts

Byron Wien’s Optimistic Outlook:
Byron Wien, a seasoned financial expert, holds an optimistic view for the year 2019. He predicts a robust **15% gain for the S&P 500**, bolstered by his belief in the soundness of economic fundamentals. A critical element of Wien’s forecast hinges on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy. Contrary to the common expectation of multiple rate hikes, Wien anticipates that the Fed will maintain rates, providing a stable backdrop for market growth.

Jeremy Siegel’s Stock Market Forecast:
Jeremy Siegel, a prominent finance professor and stock market advocate, shares an optimistic projection, though slightly more cautious. He foresees the S&P 500 climbing by **5% to 15%** over the year. Siegel acknowledges the shift from an overly optimistic to a more pessimistic economic sentiment but suggests that reality lies in the middle ground. He views the current market conditions as very attractive for investors.

John Bogle’s Risk-Aware Approach:
The late John Bogle, a legendary figure in the investment world, advised a more measured approach. He cautioned investors against the complacency of **buying on the dips**, a strategy that has been popular during prolonged market rallies. Bogle’s wisdom reminds us that markets have natural limits and prudence should guide our risk-taking. Nevertheless, for those with long-term investment horizons, he recommended steadfast investing, even amidst market fears.

Each expert brings a unique perspective to the table, from Wien’s bullish stance based on economic and monetary policy to Siegel’s balanced view that finds opportunity amid market overreactions, and Bogle’s sage advice to remain consistent yet cautious with investment strategies. These insights offer a range of strategies for investors navigating the financial landscape of 2019.

Tactical Investor Stock Market Predictions 2020

These stories confirm that we were on the right track when we stated that the Fed had no intention of pushing rates too high for the past 24 months. We pointed to the reaction from the bond markets, the Baltic dry index, the world economy, etc.; these indicators showed that this rate hike scheme was nothing but a game of smoke and mirrors.    This manipulation of the money supply will affect the stock markets dramatically; every single expert who refuses to adapt will be flung under the bus; there will be no exceptions.

The markets will experience many corrections ranging from wild to mild, but almost all will prove to be buying opportunities unless the trend changes.  If one looks at the megatrend (megatrends are ultra-long-term trends), then every back-breaking correction has to be embraced; however, by employing human emotion as a timing indicator, we can determine the optimum time to jump in and out of the markets. Tactical Investor June 2019

Stock Market Predictions 2020 Update

First of all, we hope that the majority of our subscribers are starting to perceive that succumbing to Fear is a dangerous strategy to adopt.  Life and investing should not be stressful; stress is something that every Tactical Investor should abhor.  Moreover, remember, stress comes down to perceptions; alter the perception and one can shift from being stressed to being serene. Instead of focussing on experts Stock Market Crash 2019 Predictions, understand that so-called crashes should be embraced if you want to retire rich.

Experts love to push the argument that investing is hard and takes forever to master this art. Remember that investing is an art, not a science and art is meant to be enjoyed.  So, are the masses starting to jump on the bandwagon after this strong turnaround; the obvious answer would be yes_? The not-so-obvious answer would be ___? Continue reading, and you will find out.Stock Market Crash 2019 Predictions are All Based On Faulty Logic.

The trend is your friend, and until the trend changes are per our trend indicator, all pullbacks ranging from mild to wild have to be embraced——– End of Story.


Stock Market Update  April 2020

Watch with amazement how the hysteria over the coronavirus disappears just as fast as it was created once the objective of lowering rates and approving multi-billion bailouts is achieved. The data on the coronavirus indicates that the high mortality rate is only applicable to older individuals and we are sure when that data is further examined, it will be discovered that these older individuals are not in the best of health. In other words, they probably have existing conditions.

 Don’t forget to keep a trading journal; the best time to take notes is when blood is flowing freely on the streets. Interim Update March 9th, 2020

Near-Zero Rates

Now with rates at close to zero and the Fed throwing money at this market like there is no tomorrow, what will happen? The first thing is that a vast swath of the population will be forced to speculate in their quest for higher returns. So even if they jump into stocks that only pay dividends, a massive hoard of money is set to hit the markets in the years to come.   Look at how much money has already been thrown into this market. The Fed has agreed to inject 2 trillion into the markets and Trump is now asking for an additional 800 billion.

The Federal Reserve on Thursday (March 12) massively increased its efforts to keep the economy on track and quell the growing uncertainty caused by the coronavirus pandemic, injecting US$1.5 trillion (S$2 trillion) of cash into markets this week.

Would any of this be possible before the coronavirus pandemic? This hysteria was most likely created to provide the perfect backdrop where the Fed could inject as much as it wanted into the markets, in addition to dropping rates to zero. This ultra-low rate environment is going to trigger share buyback programs of the likes we have never seen before