A New Perspective on Dow Outlook and Price Targets

Trend-Focused Dow Outlook: Price Targets Irrelevant

Trend-Focused Dow Outlook: Price Targets Irrelevant

Updated March 2023

Let’s take a historical dive and examine what was expressed in 2017 when this article was initially published. Since then, it has been updated multiple times, and today we will provide the 2023 outlook, making the text sound more modern.

The Dow appears to have broken through the top of the Channel formation, falling in the 20,800-21,000 ranges. If it closes above 21,300 on a monthly basis, then despite the markets being overbought, the Dow could surge past 22K before running into a strong zone of resistanceMarket Update June 18, 2017

Given the resiliency of this market, the Dow could very easily trade to 22K before it trades to 19K.  The masses must show some enthusiasm; if they don’t and the market pulls back strongly, it must be viewed as a screaming buy.  For now, the masses seem to be locked in the pessimistic mode.  Market Update July 6, 2017 

Dow Outlook: What’s Next

We have had the opportunity to field test the Tactical Investor Alternative Dow theory in real-time for over 15 years, and it has proven to be highly effective. According to this theory, the markets will not break out to new highs unless a positive divergence signal is triggered or the Dow utilities trade into the extremely oversold range. As a result, exercising patience is crucial.

Assessing the trend requires monitoring market movements to determine overall market health. While the Dow provides insight, relying solely on the Dow Jones price target is insufficient. We need a broader range of factors for informed decisions.

Considering the State of the Masses

The masses’ state is a significant consideration, as their behaviour impacts market movements. In addition to the masses’ behaviour, we must assess various factors to determine the market’s health.

anxiety index and sentiment chart

Interest rates are crucial in market decisions, significantly impacting market movements. For instance, aggressive rate hikes by the Fed lead to little to no new highs for markets. We expect a recession until the Fed stops, despite indications that they might slow down.

Navigating the Markets in Uncertain Times

The Dow has been volatile in an uncertain environment, with a slow, prolonged correction in 2022. This is why exercising patience, and discipline is vital in investment decisions. Focusing solely on the Dow Jones price target isn’t sufficient; multiple factors must be considered to make informed decisions.

While not a popular view, an objective and informed analysis is vital. The Dow outlook/price targets is just one aspect of market analysis, and multiple factors must be considered to make informed decisions. Doing so, we can navigate the markets better and make sound investment decisions.


The Dow outlook is essential in market analysis as its one of the most widely followed indices, but it shouldn’t be the sole focus in investment decisions. We must consider multiple factors, such as trends, the state of the masses, and interest rates, for informed decisions. Patience and discipline are critical in navigating the markets, and a broader range of factors are necessary for informed decisions.

Other Articles of Interest

Delving Deeper: Exploring the Question – What Is Inflation?

What is Inflation? Unveiling Effects and Strategies for Mastery

 Decoding Inflation: Unraveling the Complex Effects Aug 25, 2023 Inflation, which refers to the general increase in prices and fall ...
Investor Sentiment Data Manipulation

Investor Sentiment Data Manipulation: Unveiling Intriguing Insights

Unveiling the Impact: Exploring Investor Sentiment Data Manipulation Aug 12, 2023 The significant manipulation of sentiment data has serious long-term ...
"Stock Buybacks Unmasked: Unraveling the Adverse Consequences

Stock Buybacks: Exploring Their Detrimental Effects

Unveiling the Downsides: Dissecting the Negative Impacts of Stock Buybacks Updated Aug 8 2023 We will delve into history to ...
Is US Dollar soaring?

US Dollar Rally: Is it Ready to Rumble?

US Dollar Rally: Riding the Wave of Resurgence Updated Aug 02, 2023 The weekly chart (below) shows a positive divergence ...
Learn How to Trade Options: Unlock the Secrets of Financial Freedom!

Unlock the Secrets: Learn How to Trade Options like a Pro!

Learn How to Trade Options: A Step-by-Step Guide to Maximizing Profits July 2023 Before we delve into the effective strategies ...
Psychological Manipulation Techniques; The art of brainwashing

Psychological Manipulation Techniques: Directed Perception

Deceptive Tactics: Psychological Manipulation Techniques Updated June 18, 2023  Everything you process is based on Perception & perception is based ...
Tomorrow's Stock Market Prediction: silly and dumb idea

Tomorrow’s Stock Market Prediction: A Silly Pursuit?

Tomorrow's Stock Market Prediction: A Silly Endeavor or Precise Insight? July 26, 2023 Before delving into the "Tomorrow's Stock Market ...
When is the Best Time to Buy Stocks: when the market crashes

When is the Best Time to Buy Stocks: Key Insights

When is the Best Time to Buy Stocks: Essential Tips July 22, 2023 The optimal moment to invest in stocks ...
The Stock Market Forecast for Next 3 months: its better than you think

Stock Market Forecast For Next 3 months: Buckle Up

Unravelling the Secrets of Stock Market Success Updated August 1,  2023 Before attempting to predict the stock market's direction for ...
Unveiling Mass Psychology: The Essential Element for Sustainable Triumph

Mass Psychology & Financial Success: An Overlooked Connection

An Introduction to Mass Psychology: Understanding Group Behavior? Updated July 15, 2023 Mass psychology is a branch of social psychology ...
Stock Market Crash 2023: Plans and course of action

Stock Market Crash 2023: Navigating the Turbulence Ahead

Stock Market Crash 2023: Navigating the Risks and Opportunities July 10, 2023 The MOAB  (mother of all buys) signal has ...
The Level Of Investment In Markets Often Indicates the Financial Pulse

The Level Of Investment In Markets Indicates Fear Or Joy

Editor: Vladimir Bajic | Tactical Investor The level of investment in markets often indicates Panic or? Updated July 2023 The ...
right side of trend

Winning with Nasdaq 100 ETF: Riding the Right Side of the Trend

Unlocking the Potential of the Nasdaq 100 ETF: A Comprehensive Guide July 7, 2023 It is crucial to bear in ...
Sentiment investing

Investor Sentiment Survey Defies Stock Market Crash Outlook

 Investor Sentiment Survey Challenges Stock Market Crash Predictions Updated July 2023 Let's take a fascinating journey through history to explore ...
Riding the Waves: Exploring the Dynamics of Stock Market Trend Analysis

Stock Market Trend Analysis Decoded: Unveiling the Insights

Decoding Stock Market Trend Analysis: Unveiling the Insights Updated July 5, 2023 Disorganized data analysis was previously discussed in the ...