Experimental Group Definition Psychology: The Crowd

Experimental Group Definition Psychology

Experimental Group Definition Psychology

No definition is needed when it comes to Psychology and the Markets. The experimental group has always been and will always be the crowd. The top players have abused the masses over and over again and like mindless bots, they line up for their new dose of punishment, as soon as the memory of the last beating is erased.

Over the past few weeks,  the number of individuals in the neutral camp rose, as did the number of bulls, and only the number of bears experienced a drop.  When we combine the neutrals and the bears, the total is 72%, and that tells us that the sentiment is still too negative for a crash.

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The level of negative news continues to pile up as we expected; the Fed is priming up the crowd for a reversal. Just a few months ago, these guys were busy proclaiming that all was well, now they are ready to pull another fast one. It is amazing how gullible the masses are, and these top players have no respect for the masses. They view them as cannon fodder; they use the same old strategy over and over again, and the masses are none the wiser.

Look at some of the headlines

Recession sign is in play and has 81% accuracy

Yield curve recession indicator sends warning on US economy

David Levy Forecasts a Global Recession in 2016

U.S. economy hits soft patch in fourth quarter as inventories, trade weigh

Why 2016 keeps getting uglier for US economy

“We Are In A Recession”: Dallas Fed Respondents Admit The U.S. Economy Is In Freefall

Will America’s economy get dragged into recession?

The Trend

The trend quite clearly illustrates that misery loves company, and until misery hates company the masses will always lose.  The Fed’s are masters of mass psychology, and mass psychology trumps all other analysis, for it reveals up to what limit you can push the masses.  Emotions are the main driving force for 99% of the populace; hence, if you understand mass psychology, you understand the main driving force behind the mass mindset. This is why the Fed can and will push the envelope to the outer limits. Market Update Feb 17, 2016

Notice how misery loves company, Google “US economy in trouble, or US economy facing a recession” or any other negative topic and you will find a plethora of new articles being pushed out almost on a daily basis.  The consensus is for the economy to pull back and consequently for the markets to tank. The economy could sputter, but the markets will not tank as everyone is leaning towards that direction. Everyone usually knows next to nothing when it comes to the market. Unless the trend turns negative, you should not give two hoots to the doom scenarios these highly paid clowns come up with. Don’t be a lemming, think like an eagle and focus on the big picture.

Potential Strategy

As the trend is up, all strong pullback should be viewed as buying opportunities. The more substantial the deviation, the better the buying opportunity.  Some stocks that look attractive are CALM, RTN, COST, TAST, IRMD, GOOG, etc. Use pullbacks to add to your positions.

Market Update Aug 2019

The wise guys at the Mass Media outlets are already pushing a new narrative. This is how they incept new ideas into the masses; you create doubt and then let that doubt grow. For example, they are making all sorts of dire predictions about Brexit (some of which border on the preposterous), they keep focussing on the calamitous consequences the US will face if there is no trade deal with China, experts are emerging about the dangers of lower rates and an inverted yield curve, etc. Well, think of any garbage and add it to this list.  For that is what these garbage collectors do, they collect waste and try to spin it off as something valuable.

Before the Brexit vote, the naysayers made a great deal of noise of how a “yes” vote would lead to total chaos. So, what happened to that chaotic scene they predicted? We are not taking sides but looking at trends and history, and history is replete with examples illustrating that when “fear” is used as a weapon, the ones to fear are the ones putting this weapon to use.

History also demonstrates that in general individuals favour freedom over serfdom.

Independence can never lead to chaos unless you are impinging on another person’s sovereignty in the process. Whatever narrative the Media is pushing, it is usually the opposing narrative that is true.  According to the experts, the world should have ended several times over, and the Dow should have crashed and never risen years ago.

One should remember the paragraph above every time the urge to panic starts to rise; no bull market has ever ended on a note of fear or anxiety. Despite the media trying to create a new narrative to prove otherwise for the past several years; they have failed miserably. And this illustrates that news, in general, should either be treated as rubbish or viewed through a humorous lens.

In terms of the stock market, until the Fed changes its mind, all sharp corrections have to be viewed as buying opportunities, and backbreaking corrections have to be placed in the category of “once in a lifetime events”, provided of course the trend is positive. That is what we are here for; to inform you if the trend is positive (Up) or negative (down).

The world is going to witness a Fed that has decided to make a cocktail of Coke, Heroin, Crack and Meth and take it all in one shot. Imagine what a junkie on this combination of potent drugs is capable of doing, and you will have an idea of where the Fed is heading in the years to come.  Market Update Feb 28, 2019 Investing For Dummies

 

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