Market Outlook: TOP sectors and Stocks To Own - Tactical Investor
Market Outlook: TOP sectors and Stocks To Own

Market Outlook: TOP sectors and Stocks To Own

Market Outlook:

Market Outlook: Stock Market Bull 2018 is taking a breather

From 1994 to the peak of the dot.com bubble in March of 2000, the NASDAQ gained over 1200%.  Bitcoin made this bubble appear sane, as in a much shorter period it tacked on over 11,000%.  In contrast, since the market bottomed in 2009, the NASDAQ is up roughly 600%. When you look at it from this angle, this run-up appears orderly.  We, therefore, think that there is a good possibility that this market could still surge to levels that will seem surreal. In short stock market bull 2018 is strong, healthy and building up steam for the next leg up.

This was the chart we published in April 2017 and that time we stated that the Nasdaq could test its lows but that it was destined to soar higher as former resistance had turned into support.  We also went on record to state that the Nasdaq was more likely to trade to 10K then trade below 5K. TheNasdaq bull market is alive and kicking; there are no signs that it’s ready to keel over soon.

What many experts fail to understand is that a bull market starts only after the old high has been taken out. Until that occurs, it’s not a real bull market. In that sense, the NASDAQ bull has just started. For over 15 years the NASDAQ struggled to overcome this hurdle. Jack in the box is what comes to mind; so like a coiled spring, it is ready to trade a lot higher before it breaks down.  The NASDAQ has already broken past the psychologically significant 6000 level, so the odds are fair to high that it should roughly double from its breakout point; a move to the 9000-10,000 ranges might appear insane now. Experts would have felt the same way if someone told them that the Dow would be trading past 21K after it dropped below 7,000 in 2009. What happened to the stock market crash experts were predicting

 Updated July 14, 2016

Top 10 sectors based on 90 day  Price Action and Relative Strength 

We consolidated the90-day price action and relative strength segments into one as this simplifies the task of trying to find the best sector.

Top 10 sectors July 2016

Top 15 Stocks in the whole Market 

TOP 15 stocks in the entire market July 2016

Top 12 Stocks amongst the bottom 180 stocks 

top 12 stocks out of bottom 180 July 2016

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May 16, 2016 

Top 10 sectors based on 90 day  Price Action 

top 10 sectors 90 days range

Top 10 sectors based on Relative Strength 

top 10 sectors based on relative strength May 2016

Top 15 Stocks in the whole Market 

TOP 15 Stocks in the entire Market May 2015

Top 12 Stocks amongst the bottom 180 stocks 

Top 12 stocks out of bottom 180 stocks

March 7, 2016

Top 10 sectors price action

The concept here is very simple.  Open positions in stocks in the above sectors that are trading in the oversold ranges based on 2-3 technical indicators such as RSI, MACDS, Stochastics, etc.

top 10 sectors based on Relative strenght

The same concept as above; you look for plays in these sectors that are trading in the oversold ranges based on several technical indicators. We mentioned three of these above.

 

The bottom 10 sectors will be discontinued, instead, we will focus on the top 12 players out of the bottom 180 stocks

 Bottom 10 sectors in the market

Looking for gems in the bottom is known bottom fishing and the idea is to go after the strongest stocks in the weakest sectors. These early breakout candidates tend to be the future leaders as the sector reverses course and trend upwards. Solar is looking interesting as are some key stocks are breaking out such as FSLR, so we are going to have some stocks from the bottom of the barrel that will become tomorrow’s leaders.

 

Market Outlook: 2018

When a market pulls back strongly you can find some good plays in the top 15 stocks if the technical indicators such as RSI and or MACDS are trading in the oversold ranges.  Additionally, the plays should not be bearish plays,  for example, SCO which is an ETF that shorts the oil sector.  Bearish bets need to be timed and unless you have experience with shorting the markets we would advocate against this form of trading.

top 12 stocks out from bottom 180

These are not the top 12 stocks in the market but they are the top 12 stocks from the worst 180 stocks in the market. In other words, these stocks are for contrarian players. In many instances, the next leaders tend to emerge from these beaten down stocks.

Follow the trend for its your friend. Ignore the advice of so called experts who claim to know it all but would never follow their advice

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Results for Feb 17, 2016

Top 10 sectors based on 90 days of Price Action

Top 10 sectors price action

 

Top 10 Sectors by Relative strength

top 10 sectors based on Relative strenght

Bottom 10 sectors in the market based on price action 

Bottom 10 sectors in the market

TOP 15 stocks in the whole market

top 15 stocks in the entire market

top 12 stocks out from bottom 180

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