Nonsense is good only because common sense is so limited.
George Santayana 1863-1952, American Philosopher, Poet
Stock Market Panic: Market Crashes Represent Opportunity
The Dow would have to drop below 9000 to break below the main uptrend line; an unlikely event in the near future. However, this does not mean it’s impossible. Every once in awhile the markets experience a monumental crash that can shave off as much as 60% of the Markets current value. In this is instance we are using weekly charts; each bar on the chart represents one week’s worth of data. Straight off the bat, you can see that back-breaking corrections translate into long term buying opportunities. Remember when there is blood in the streets and the masses are in panic mode, the opportunity is knocking.
Stock Market Panic: Let The Masses Panic, But You Should Jump in and buy
The first zone comes into play at 16,000. If the Dow closes below this level on a monthly basis then there is a chance it could trade as low as 13,000. However, based on the current market sentiment, there is very little likelihood of such a scenario coming to pass. Mass Psychology is very clear when it comes to dealing with stock market crashes. Market crash on a note of Euphoria and bottom on a note of despair. Mass psychology states that optimum time to get into the markets is when the masses are in panic mode.
A fortress of support comes into play at the 13,000-13,500 ranges
To trade any lower than this level, the Dow would need to close below the above ranges on a quarterly basis. If it were to do that then the main uptrend line could be tested. Note that this trend will continue to trending upwards, so in 12 months, the trend line could move from the 9000 ranges to the 10,000 plus ranges.
Buy the Fear Sell the Joy
The individuals who arrive at the party late are the first ones to come out and mistake correction for a crash. The crowd panics when it sees blood in the streets; instead of joining the crowd do something different take advantage of stock market crashes and buy as the crowd dumps quality stocks and flees for the exits.
Crash or correction boils down to the angle of observance
What is stunning to one, could appear ugly to another; it comes down to the angle of observance. Alter the angle and the image changes. Mass media and most experts try to alter the angle and direct you to see what they want you to see. They are in the fear “Selling Business” because fear sells, so they focus on creating a mountain out of a molehill.
History clearly indicates that Astute investors build very large stakes when there is blood in the streets. Moreover, they keep building these positions as long as the main driving force is fear. Take a look at the current Bull market; the Dow is trading at 22,000 and the masses are still nervous. It’s history in the making. The masses are always on the wrong side of the markets in the long run.
The astute investor always views financial disasters through a bullish lens. Instead of panicking they take advantage of stock market crashes.
Tactical Investor Update Aug 2019
Take a look at the gauges below and it immediately becomes obvious that the only ones that are scared are the ones that historically fare the worst. Anyone with the mass mindset falls under that category. In other words, lemmings will always be lemmings and their only function when it comes to the markets is to be used as cannon fodder.
Until the masses embrace this bull market all corrections or crashes should be viewed as buying events.
R. D. Laing 1927-1989, British Psychiatrist