have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

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Cinnamon
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Cinnamon »

stefk wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 5:40 pm
Are there other tactical investors busy with a food producing garden ? I would like to create a new file in relation with gardens, permaculture or traditional horticulture. But if I am alone, it would not be funny. I think that such file would be useful to share experiences. I am sure that permaculture or other traditional gardening is a fantastic way to invest money and time for a tactical investor. If you invest in nature, the nature can give you a lot, the nature is generous if you are generous with her.
I also would be interested in learning more on this topic. Is this similar to

Succession and Relay Planting
Once a crop has reached its full production, it is time to plant more. Cool-season crops (peas, lettuce, broccoli) are followed by warm-season crops (peppers, tomatoes, beans), and if you live in a mild climate, these may be followed by more cool season plants, or even a fall/winter crop. Read our article on successive planting in the home garden to learn more.

Relaying is overlapping planting of one type of crop. For example, spinach may be planted at 2-3 week intervals to ensure a steady harvest. Or you can plant early, mid and late season crops all at the same time (see Planting Crops for a Second Harvest).

https://youtu.be/gzm3LSlwRfc
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stefk
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by stefk »

OK, I open a new file for those who are interested in permaculture and other horticulture methods.
« To plant a garden is to believe in tomorrow »
– Audrey Hepburn
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Yodean
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"Risk-free"

Post by Yodean »

hooligan wrote: Thu Oct 14, 2021 5:42 pm I agree, it's just a specific issue where there is money that I ought not actively invest for family reasons, and needs to stay dormant and as risk free as possible for the time being.
@hooligan: if I were in this position and had a certain amount of money I wanted to invest that I wanted to make as "risk-free" as possible, I probably would do some version of the following:

1/3rd GLD;
1/3rd USD (cash);
1/3rd XOUT;

Rebalance once a month or quarter (depending on specific tax implications, trading fees, etc.);
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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Yodean
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Spring Interim Tops

Post by Yodean »

BTC: April 12th

Nasdaq: April 26th

S&P500: May 3rd

Ether - May 10th

Copper - May 10th

DJIA - May 10th
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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SOL
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Re: Spring Interim Tops

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 7:00 pm BTC: April 12th

Nasdaq: April 26th

S&P500: May 3rd

Ether - May 10th

Copper - May 10th

DJIA - May 10th
Who issued these dates. From experience, I have rarely seen anyone even come close to hitting a specified date. I prefer to use MP to determine what the masses are doing and then polish that data with TA
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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jlhooter
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by jlhooter »

Sol I look at last highs on a few of them and they seem to line up with what happened last spring.
Just because 95% is doing it doesn't make it right
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

jlhooter wrote: Mon Nov 15, 2021 7:57 am Sol I look at last highs on a few of them and they seem to line up with what happened last spring.

Markets rarely follow the same pattern but who knows it could be possible, though if bullish sentiment keeps trading above its historical average I suspect Jan is more likelier in terms of a market top
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

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Re: Spring Interim Tops

Post by Yodean »

SOL wrote: Mon Nov 15, 2021 3:06 am
Yodean wrote: Sun Nov 14, 2021 7:00 pm BTC: April 12th

Nasdaq: April 26th

S&P500: May 3rd

Ether - May 10th

Copper - May 10th

DJIA - May 10th
Who issued these dates. From experience, I have rarely seen anyone even come close to hitting a specified date. I prefer to use MP to determine what the masses are doing and then polish that data with TA
@Sol: those are past, recent interim Spring tops for 2021, not next year, i.e. they are not predictions for 2022; I like to look at correlations between the "Big Five" in my book, as a rough form of "risk-on" sentiment.

At this point, my projections are the "Slaughter of '22" will begin after some time is spent in the "Killing Fields" that is the Dow 36k to 39k "Zone of Death." Copper >$5 for some time, as well as euphoria, will be other potential indicators that a top is in place for 2022.

Time frame? No idea. February through May '22? There's a terrific "Game of Thrones" currently being played out at the Federal Reserve. Wish I knew the details. If for some reason Jerome isn't reappointed in February, and a bunch of Biden Admin. handpicked financial officers take over the three or four empty spots, there will likely be a significant downleg in the markets around that time.
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

@Yodean No matter how hard I try and even after drinking half a bottle of vodka I cannot see any signs of intelligence when I think of Biden. He is the living epitome of brain dead veggie (and I am insulting veggies). From a 4th level perspective, it is good that he was elected and he is going to speed up the cycle of stupidity and pain. Perhaps this will speed up the cycle of enlightenment. So 2022 is likely to shape up to be the year of a massive slaughter, which the masses will assume is the end of everything but will lead to an even more spectacular opportunity. Disaster is the code name for opportunity
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by AstuteShift »

Remember politicians have no power

Follow the trend not politics
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Yodean »

AstuteShift wrote: Mon Nov 15, 2021 1:24 pm Remember politicians have no power
Follow the trend not politics
Oh yeah, I agree with you completely on this point. I find some of the Fed stuff kind of interesting (like watching real Game of Thrones), though, from an entertainment perpective.

I had assumed that Jerome was a shoo-in for reappointment as Fed Chair, but now I am not so sure. I would still probably handicap his chances at >60%, but prior to recent weeks, I would have put that number at >75%.

You may actually bet (invest) on this kind of stuff ... I am thinking of joining the following site - it looks fun:

https://kalshi.com/markets

One may use the principles of Herd Psychology there, as well, I would think.
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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Budge
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Budge »

AstuteShift wrote: Mon Nov 15, 2021 1:24 pm Remember politicians have no power

Follow the trend not politics
How's this for a trend from the common man:

https://twitter.com/WilhelmDerErste/sta ... 1-n1565290

And we have a MMA (Major Moron Alert) from those brain dead geniuses in Congress - curbing profiteering:

" a new tax on large oil companies designed to “curb profiteering” by redirecting profits associated with higher crude oil prices to back drivers."

Did I LMFAO when I read this? You bet I did. Damn, I'm so glad they're going to solve this and that'll really show the Ruskies what.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/mark ... -controls/

I wonder how many of the insiders took out short positions before hand? I'd noticed that energy futures started to roll over a couple of days ago.
..whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

Budge wrote: Fri Mar 11, 2022 9:54 pm

How's this for a trend from the common man:


And we have a MMA (Major Moron Alert) from those brain dead geniuses in Congress - curbing profiteering:

" a new tax on large oil companies designed to “curb profiteering” by redirecting profits associated with higher crude oil prices to back drivers."

Did I LMFAO when I read this? You bet I did. Damn, I'm so glad they're going to solve this and that'll really show the Ruskies what.

https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/mark ... -controls/

I wonder how many of the insiders took out short positions before hand? I'd noticed that energy futures started to roll over a couple of days ago.
It all comes back to the main point and that is the pendulum is swinging the other way as we stated many times in the not too distant future. The odds are now almost 75% that the USA peaked this month as stated in the last issue of the MU and if that is true, then this is the last mega rally the USD will experience. Apparently Saudi is in talks with china to price oil in Yuan
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Yodean »

Image
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Yodean »

Image

*****

Quite the selling climax-bloodbath the last few trading days. Wonder if we're going through a '98 type move ...
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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