have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

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stefk
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by stefk »

Real estate also is not bad to outperform inflation. For me it could be a ground or a wasteland to improve with your work. I have bought a house with a garden of 10 ares twelve years ago, essentially for the garden to experiment permaculture, what a fantastic experience this permaculture. its unbelievable the quantities of food it produces, and the only quality food you can eat is the food you produce yourself. Its real bio. You could do it with one hectare, you could produce for yourself and sell outside your production. A ground you work with permaculture method is also a way of life, a manner to live in harmony with the nature. Yes, real estate is for me one of the best investment, but not suited for a cosmopolitan nomad.
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AstuteShift
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by AstuteShift »

@@ Yodean

The old saying to do opposite of Goldman Sachs rings true usually also

I believe they stated a dark future is coming, to be fair it’s half true. The masses will suffer but the astute will flourish :mrgreen:
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SOL
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

stefk wrote: Sat Oct 16, 2021 8:51 am Real estate also is not bad to outperform inflation. For me it could be a ground or a wasteland to improve with your work. I have bought a house with a garden of 10 ares twelve years ago, essentially for the garden to experiment permaculture, what a fantastic experience this permaculture. its unbelievable the quantities of food it produces, and the only quality food you can eat is the food you produce yourself. Its real bio. You could do it with one hectare, you could produce for yourself and sell outside your production. A ground you work with permaculture method is also a way of life, a manner to live in harmony with the nature. Yes, real estate is for me one of the best investment, but not suited for a cosmopolitan nomad.
I admire what you have done. Eating well is one of the keys to a long and enjoyable life. I go to extreme lengths to make sure the food that I ingest is of high quality. If you put crap into your body, it means you have no respect for yourself.
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Budge »

AstuteShift wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 2:17 pm @@ Yodean

The old saying to do opposite of Goldman Sachs rings true usually also

I believe they stated a dark future is coming, to be fair it’s half true. The masses will suffer but the astute will flourish :mrgreen:
Who will challenge GS in the Dr. Evil stakes? BLK? JPM? All of the above?

In the "it just keeps getting better and better" or "laugh it can't get any worse, so he did and it did!" categories:

Emperor Palatine (Bill Gates) arrives in UK for a "crisis" meeting with Boris, Jamie Dimon and about 20 execs.

"Boris Johnson said it will take a “truly global endeavour” to prevent future pandemics, as he met Bill Gates to discuss how governments can prepare.

The Prime Minister said the Microsoft co-founder “sounded the alarm” about how unprepared the world was for a global health crisis, long before coronavirus.

He added that leaders must now “heed his call” to stop “something like this ever happening again”.

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/b ... r-BB1aSZdB
https://www.investmentwatchblog.com/gat ... s-johnson/

Truly an "Oh ***k!" moment.
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Yodean
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How I use Goldman Sachs

Post by Yodean »

AstuteShift wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 2:17 pm @@ Yodean
The old saying to do opposite of Goldman Sachs rings true usually also
@YY: I use GS in a fairly specific manner. What I've noticed is that when someone who is currently working for Goldman says something publicly, i.e. for the mainstream press, I don't take what she says too seriously - like you said, you'll be, more often than not, profitable if you do the opposite.

However, if GS does something without too much public announcement (i.e. tacit support of USDC over Tether, buying some blockchain assets while publicly denouncing BTC, etc., starting to invest more in China while simultaneously denouncing the CCP and Evergrande, etc.), I start looking into what they are quietly doing, as opposed to GS' public statements.

A modification of the old saying: do as they do, not as they say.

Also, I'll only consider the ideas of ex-GS employees who started their own businesses - they tend to be quite astute. But while they are on GS' payroll, I don't take their ideas very seriously.
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Communist Republic of Canada ?

Post by gnosis12 »

Canada's 'tax the rich' plan leaves big debt risk untouched

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's new government is set to impose higher taxes on Canadians, which will help fund some campaign promises but are not broad enough to also start paying down the country's record levels of debt, leaving Canada vulnerable to the next economic crisis, analysts say. This could be a risky strategy for the country, which piled on new debt at a faster pace than any of its Group of Seven peers during the pandemic. The high level of indebtedness could limit Canada's ability to manage long-term challenges that require massive government funding, like transitioning from a fossil fuel-reliant economy to a green one.

A far higher debt-to-GDP ratio post-pandemic means Canada has far less wiggle room to respond to the next crisis, be it economic, trade, climate or health-related, analysts say. Essentially, Canada's large debt burden "does not leave significant fiscal space to offset major new shocks," said Kelli Bissett-Tom, director of Americas sovereign ratings at rating agency Fitch Ratings.

Fitch has already stripped Canada of a triple-A credit rating, but S&P Global Ratings and Moody's Investors Service still give Canadian debt the highest rating. Ahead of their re-election last month, Canada's Liberals pledged C$78 billion ($63.1 billion) in new spending over five years, about 4% of gross domestic product, partially offset by C$25.5 billion in new tax revenues over the same period, mostly targeting tax evasion, wealthy individuals, big banks and insurers.
The idea is to tap those who best weathered the pandemic to pay for new spending on everything from mental healthcare to school lunch programs. But those taxes won't help pay down Canada's record C$1 trillion national debt, nor will they be sufficient to balance the budget. This becomes risky because at some point the cost of carrying that debt will rise, and a future government may need to cut services or raise taxes further to address that burden, some economists warn.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/canadas- ... 45185.html

Yodean looks like they are coming for the wealthy like you.
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Centeron631 »

So my wonder now are we finally into a really big commodities cycle that has been firing up over the at least the last half year? after many years of being a loser. As a Canadian doing all of my bookkeeping for the tax man cra right now as most of my TI in non-registerred (not much room available in reg'd as i have to withdraw at senior age) i see that im losing much of my gain at TI at least the last half year (Cad and Ruple petro $ on fire) on fx as the Cad rises in value. So in last few days ive bought some natural gas etf's one usa and one cdn. Wondering if others seen this and adjusting for this type of inflation. I understand that Nat Gas may actually be in shortages and with the uselessness of alt electricity (production efficiency is scant) and coal so dirty.......
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by stefk »

SOL wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 2:19 pm
stefk wrote: Sat Oct 16, 2021 8:51 am Real estate also is not bad to outperform inflation. For me it could be a ground or a wasteland to improve with your work. I have bought a house with a garden of 10 ares twelve years ago, essentially for the garden to experiment permaculture, what a fantastic experience this permaculture. its unbelievable the quantities of food it produces, and the only quality food you can eat is the food you produce yourself. Its real bio. You could do it with one hectare, you could produce for yourself and sell outside your production. A ground you work with permaculture method is also a way of life, a manner to live in harmony with the nature. Yes, real estate is for me one of the best investment, but not suited for a cosmopolitan nomad.
I admire what you have done. Eating well is one of the keys to a long and enjoyable life. I go to extreme lengths to make sure the food that I ingest is of high quality. If you put crap into your body, it means you have no respect for yourself.
Thanks Sol for the acknowlegement.
..................................

Are there other tactical investors busy with a food producing garden ? I would like to create a new file in relation with gardens, permaculture or traditional horticulture. But if I am alone, it would not be funny. I think that such file would be useful to share experiences. I am sure that permaculture or other traditional gardening is a fantastic way to invest money and time for a tactical investor. If you invest in nature, the nature can give you a lot, the nature is generous if you are generous with her.
« To plant a garden is to believe in tomorrow »
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Re: Communist Republic of Canada ?

Post by Yodean »

gnosis12 wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 4:00 pm Yodean looks like they are coming ...
Lol, it's going to be some version of this in every Western "demon-cracy," I would think. Starting in November or December, apparently, I can't even fly domestically in Canada - my fake cv19 jab pass or medical exemption certificate won't likely work for flights. I think - the rules are changing so quickly I am not even sure.

Of course, I focus on the positive - I will have a good excuse not to have to fly to visit Mamma Yodean! So that's good, lmao.

As for taxes, I have a half-decent accountant and most of my net worth is sheltered in a corporate structure, but yeh, it's still a lot of taxes annually, even with some degree of conservative creative accounting.

Death and taxes . . . there is no escape.
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SOL
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

stefk wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 5:40 pm
Are there other tactical investors busy with a food producing garden ? I would like to create a new file in relation with gardens, permaculture or traditional horticulture. But if I am alone, it would not be funny. I think that such file would be useful to share experiences. I am sure that permaculture or other traditional gardening is a fantastic way to invest money and time for a tactical investor. If you invest in nature, the nature can give you a lot, the nature is generous if you are generous with her.
I for one would be interested. I did play around with something like this many years ago, and have started to do so on a very small scale, but who knows I might get the urge to go big lol
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

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SOL wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 6:48 pm I for one would be interested. I did play around with something like this many years ago, and have started to do so on a very small scale, but who knows I might get the urge to go big lol
It will probably not come as a surprise to you guys that I'm a skeptic. Our grandfathers went to a lot of trouble to get off the farm specifically because it's a lot of hard work for not much money. Not to mention large scale corporate farms outperform the family farm so dramatically.

With talk of automation via AI and robotics and vertical farming (robots go up and down multi-story buildings tending plants) you need to love the work. Because these automated farms will probably be organic and natural and produce the kind of food you guys are interested in. I read recently that wine grapes are 6 to 7x the profit of most crops but it doesn't show up in this list (nor does cannabis).

https://entrepreneur-360.com/most-profitable-crops-9945
Current atmospheric levels of CO2 (400ppm) are much lower than 500 million years ago (3000-9000ppm).
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

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Yes Triplet, intersting what you say. What is the advantage to grow your own vegetables in your food garden ? well, my response is I feel the difference between my tomatoes from the real ground and the the tomatoes from aldi, these tomatoes come from the greenhouses in Netherlands and never saw the ground. I feel the difference between the eggs of my chickens and the eggs of the supermarkt. I trust my apples without any chemicals, all my vegetables grow without any chemicals, with permaculture, there is a natural equilibrum between the good animals and the ""bad""" insects. Its a pleasure to play with this equilibrum. Dont think its a hippies dream from the seventies, its a serious business. I test it evryday and it works.

With the modern monocultures, the soils are dead, there is no future for the monoculture.
Tonight we ate pasta with basilicum pesto, I planted this year 200 basilic, a good plant and its in your list. From your list, I also planted for the first time corn and sorghum, to feed my chickens.

And as you say, its a lot of hard work, but if you consider it as a healthy workout, you do it with pleasure.
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Re: Goldman Sachs

Post by hooligan »

Yodean wrote: Fri Oct 15, 2021 8:25 pm I consider Goldman Sachs one of the most "evil" banks out there, which is one reason I don't like to reference GS too much. Still, you dance with the devil when you have to.
Indeed. If they're evil but effective, steal their tactics for use against them:]
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by hooligan »

father of the permaculture movement
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

Triplethought wrote: Mon Oct 18, 2021 8:08 pm It will probably not come as a surprise to you guys that I'm a skeptic. Our grandfathers went to a lot of trouble to get off the farm specifically because it's a lot of hard work for not much money. Not to mention large scale corporate farms outperform the family farm so dramatically.

With talk of automation via AI and robotics and vertical farming (robots go up and down multi-story buildings tending plants) you need to love the work. Because these automated farms will probably be organic and natural and produce the kind of food you guys are interested in. I read recently that wine grapes are 6 to 7x the profit of most crops but it doesn't show up in this list (nor does cannabis).

https://entrepreneur-360.com/most-profitable-crops-9945
I think you missed the whole point. This is not about opening a new business. This is about growing your own food supply or as much of it as possible. The quality of naturally grown products is infinitely superior to anything you can buy in the store, even the so-called bastardized organic products many stores are now offering.

As STEFK mentioned it offers two benefits. One you have the chance to eat really well while not destroying nature and secondly it makes for a bloody damn good workout. :mrgreen:
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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