Triplethought wrote: ↑Thu Mar 10, 2022 7:58 pm
I wish your graphs were working. I have given this thought also. I think your wrong about housing. I think housing prices will grow at least 11% over the next year (decent inflation hedge) so I'm holding my rental houses. The reason it will be only 11% is because the FED will increase interest rates.
I also am genuinely worried that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan could trigger world war 3. Then all bets are off on what the economy will look like. If that happens we may see missles inside the lower 48 for the first time ever. Americans won't even know what to do about that.
@YoungAnakin:
1) Housing's going down in Q4! Sell those toxic assets now!
2) CCP gains nothing from invading Taiwan militarily. "Soft invasion" has already occurred - Mainlanders living and working in Taiwan. I still have some "boots on the ground" in Formosa, native Taiwanese blood. Besides, CCP military sucks, the top levels of the CCP brass know it, and they want to preserve Taiwan's infrastructure. If you want to capture a beautiful woman who is already in your power, for all intents and purposes, you don't scar her face with acid or a knife before taking her. The woman in this case is Formosa.
'Sides, not that it means much, but the USSA promised, in some sort of formal treaty from what I remember, to defend Taiwan against military invasion. Xi is too smart to give the USSA an excuse to attack. Once again, keep an eye on the BRI (Belt and Road Initiative) and the Yuan CBDC - these are the CCP's most potent weapons against the West.
3) Depends on what you mean by WW3. The Rothschilds don't want WW3 right now, so WW3 is not going to happen for a while.
The real Game of Thrones is the Game of Currencies.
USD vs. everything else. When the USD begins to crack definitively as the global reserve currency - this could take up to ten years - that's when your WW3 will truly begin.
4) #1.
Yodean I can see your logic and I hope you are right on Taiwan. But it could be argued ukraine was a beautiful woman and Putin is having no difficult destroying it.
As for housing prices going down let's do a $100 side bet? If the average housing price in the United states as measured by FHFA goes down in 2022 (from 2021) You win. If it goes up for the year I win. FHFA just released 4th quarter data from 2021 so we won't know the result for 1 year. Zillow (you know how much I love THEM) says 21% growth for the year.https://fortune.com/2022/02/17/spring-2 ... 2-percent/ However their graph confirms what you said - that the prices go down in 4th quarter.
AstuteShift wrote: ↑Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:20 pm
This is why it’s important to remove all forms of social media.
Read headlines, investigate, document and track. Don’t trust just one source
Social media is a perfect weapon to en slave the populace and push narratives
Social Media is where I find the most truth, in alternative media. I can usually find original source documents on social media also, something MSM will never have. I actually have several videos of people on the ground saying (in Ukranian language) the Ukranian military is shooting at its own people. I realize 2 things, I am trusting that the person who sent me the message is telling me the truth about what these people are saying, and secondly, these people are not being paid to say these things. I also have a video taken by a Ukranian resident of a Ukranian soldier laying a bottle of incendiary explosive on a kid's playground. I also have a source document that shows Ukraine was planning an offensive operation in the Donbass in March 2022. I understand what you are saying about researching and confirming, but most importantly, recognizing the source as being trustworthy, or not. U.S. mainstream media have proven they are not trustworthy. So, I have to get my information elsewhere. And, that starts with social media platforms, and then search to confirm. It has become very obvious that the U.S. has many bio-labs in Ukraine. We also know that the Biden's had some shady dealings going on there, with Hunter. And, under Obama, we displaced their president and inserted our puppet, the current president of Ukraine. One last thing, our corrupt gov't continual accused Trump and Russia of colluding. So, if the deep state hates Putin, you know there has to be a good reason. I have hope this will end with further elimination of the evil cabal.
Alternative media can also be controlled opposition. It’s getting somewhat more difficult each passing day to distinguish rubbish from fiction which means this market will soar to levels that would make Jim Cramer scream to the heavens for the masses to buy that top lol
Triplethought wrote: ↑Sat Mar 12, 2022 5:54 pm
As for housing prices going down let's do a $100 side bet? If the average housing price in the United states as measured by FHFA goes down in 2022 (from 2021) You win. If it goes up for the year I win. FHFA just released 4th quarter data from 2021 so we won't know the result for 1 year. Zillow (you know how much I love THEM) says 21% growth for the year.[/color] https://fortune.com/2022/02/17/spring-2 ... 2-percent/ However their graph confirms what you said - that the prices go down in 4th quarter.
For me, it's not even close to being a friendly bet unless it's at least $1000 USD - otherwise it's just pocket change, lol. But sure, if you want to do $100, based on your parameters, I am game.
I don't even know what FHFA is, lol, but okay. I can also do up to $1000 USD for this particular bet - I'll leave that up to you.
Game on! I love asymmetric bets, LMAO.
Lmk how much the bet amount is.
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
Triplethought wrote: ↑Sat Mar 12, 2022 5:54 pm
As for housing prices going down let's do a $100 side bet? If the average housing price in the United states as measured by FHFA goes down in 2022 (from 2021) You win. If it goes up for the year I win. FHFA just released 4th quarter data from 2021 so we won't know the result for 1 year. Zillow (you know how much I love THEM) says 21% growth for the year.[/color] https://fortune.com/2022/02/17/spring-2 ... 2-percent/ However their graph confirms what you said - that the prices go down in 4th quarter.
For me, it's not even close to being a friendly bet unless it's at least $1000 USD - otherwise it's just pocket change, lol. But sure, if you want to do $100, based on your parameters, I am game.
I don't even know what FHFA is, lol, but okay. I can also do up to $1000 USD for this particular bet - I'll leave that up to you.
Game on! I love asymmetric bets, LMAO.
Lmk how much the bet amount is.
Couple of possibilities:
You give odds of 10:1?
Or, in the certainty that T3 is wrong 59.2% of the time, apply that factor (for example $169:$100)?
..whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..
Triplethought wrote: ↑Sat Mar 12, 2022 5:54 pm
As for housing prices going down let's do a $100 side bet? If the average housing price in the United states as measured by FHFA goes down in 2022 (from 2021) You win. If it goes up for the year I win. FHFA just released 4th quarter data from 2021 so we won't know the result for 1 year. Zillow (you know how much I love THEM) says 21% growth for the year.[/color] https://fortune.com/2022/02/17/spring-2 ... 2-percent/ However their graph confirms what you said - that the prices go down in 4th quarter.
For me, it's not even close to being a friendly bet unless it's at least $1000 USD - otherwise it's just pocket change, lol. But sure, if you want to do $100, based on your parameters, I am game.
I don't even know what FHFA is, lol, but okay. I can also do up to $1000 USD for this particular bet - I'll leave that up to you.
Game on! I love asymmetric bets, LMAO.
Lmk how much the bet amount is.
Let's split the difference and make it $500 then. Housing up or down from end of 2021 to end of 2022 as measured by US government FHFA data. Shakes on it. Before you accept the final bet I'm saying 1 full year 21 compared to the next 22 whereas you were saying 4th quarter.
Current atmospheric levels of CO2 (400ppm) are much lower than 500 million years ago (3000-9000ppm).
Triplethought wrote: ↑Sun Mar 13, 2022 2:55 pm
Let's split the difference and make it $500 then. Housing up or down from end of 2021 to end of 2022 as measured by US government FHFA data. Shakes on it. Before you accept the final bet I'm saying 1 full year 21 compared to the next 22 whereas you were saying 4th quarter.[/color]
Okay (*spits on hand*), shakes. Yeh, figure you're a bit OG like me, handshakes GTG. $500 USD straight up, average price of U.S. residential real estate 2021 vs. 2022 as measured by FHFA data. I guess we won't find out until Feb./March '23, but the smack talk until then should be epic.
