Interim Update March 8, 2022

[SOL]

Brief Update

While we have had several selling climaxes, Bearish sentiment has not remained above 50 for an extended period. The latest batch of data reveals that bullish sentiment stands at 28, and neutral sentiment has dropped from last week's high of 55 to 42. Our anxiety gauge also has not moved into the madness zone. What is happening is that individuals are jumping around from all three caps. We need to see a severe spike in bearish sentiment or neutral sentiment. It should remain at elevated levels for at least three weeks.

The sanctions on Russia affect almost every nation except America. Soon, this will trigger dissent amongst NATO and EU members. Germany and Hungary have both ruled out Sanctioning Russia's energy sector. The seeds of rebellion will grow as nations get tired of paying higher prices just because America decided to throw Russia out of Swift. In the interim, higher energy prices, food prices, and a general surge in commodity prices, marked with all the uncertainty this war is creating, will force many central banks to scale their aggressiveness. This will be a bullish factor for stocks for the next 4 to 6 months.

While the situation looks bloody, the stocks have taken most of the beating. General indices are holding up quite well in comparison to many stocks.

One of the reasons for this divergence could be that the west did not expect Russia to attack Ukraine. So in the interim, it has created more uncertainty in the markets. However, history illustrates that markets tend to rise during wars. The current sanctions are causing a shortage of dollars and chaos in the credit markets, so even though the Fed states it won't increase its balance sheet it will do so. Furthermore, it will intervene directly or indirectly.
Despite all the uncertainty and experts trying to state, it's different this time. History indicates that every correction or crash will resolve as long as Fiat is alive.

This year we stated it would be like a battle in the trenches. The big players' change in tactics is that the crowd has come to expect that you simply jump in after every strong pullback and buy anything, and all will end well. So, the big players changed the plan, and we could see initial signs of it last year. They are pushing stocks they would like to own to levels that represent a screaming buy to accumulate massive positions. At the same time, they are not allowing the indices to pull back as sharply to help paint a picture that things are not so bad. Once the accumulation phase is over, they will push the indices higher and start bailing out before the next phase of the attack. They will push the indices significantly lower, potentially well past the 36% mark around the 4th quarter of this year.

The game plan, for now, is to let this uncertainty last a bit longer. One sign that the masses are close to quitting will be when bullish sentiment plunges below 18 for at least two weeks in a row, and Ideally, it does for three weeks in a row.

Again while the outlook looks terrible, the markets will resolve these issues in the short term and trend upwards. The best time to buy stocks is when nobody wants them. Currently, many top-rated companies are selling at a considerable discount.

There are some small bright spots. The precious metal bullion and Gold and palladium stocks/ETF's we purchased are holding up well. Some transports stocks like MRTN are also holding up well. And when the tech stocks bottom out, we expect the reversal to be fast and furious.

[AstuteShift]

I was thinking of buying puts on the indices once the bullish sentiment gets extremely bullish, along with more UUP calls at that moment.

If the indices get decimated then our bond positions will look fantastic, the masses will tremble and cash will move to the bond sector and of course the dollar after the weekly charts cools off somewhat.

Watch the inflation story disappear, nothing like a liquidity crisis to destroy that weak narrative

It’s going to be interesting what event will the big boys use, escalating war with China? Another hoax panic disease? Either way we only have one option when the trend is up anyway regardless what event happens.

[hooligan]

The big players' change in tactics is that the crowd has come to expect that you simply jump in after every strong pullback and buy anything, and all will end well. So, the big players changed the plan, and we could see initial signs of it last year. They are pushing stocks they would like to own to levels that represent a screaming buy to accumulate massive positions. At the same time, they are not allowing the indices to pull back as sharply to help paint a picture that things are not so bad. Once the accumulation phase is over, they will push the indices higher and start bailing out before the next phase of the attack. They will push the indices significantly lower, potentially well past the 36% mark around the 4th quarter of this year.

bumping this because it was very educational for me. addressed the worry i posted earlier. awesome

[Yodean]

It’s going to be interesting what event will the big boys use, escalating war with China? Another hoax panic disease?

Both, all - generate increasing anger and hate towards the emerging SIRA (Sino-Indo-Russian Alliance) in every way possible, as well as a bunch of crazy diseases will make a return (?smallpox variants, more and more vaxxed testing "positive" for HIV, muuga-coronavirus variants, the sky's the limit).

[Budge]

Brief Update

While we have had several selling climaxes, Bearish sentiment has not remained above 50 for an extended period. The latest batch of data reveals that bullish sentiment stands at 28, and neutral sentiment has dropped from last week's high of 55 to 42. Our anxiety gauge also has not moved into the madness zone. What is happening is that individuals are jumping around from all three caps. We need to see a severe spike in bearish sentiment or neutral sentiment. It should remain at elevated levels for at least three weeks.

The sanctions on Russia affect almost every nation except America. Soon, this will trigger dissent amongst NATO and EU members. Germany and Hungary have both ruled out Sanctioning Russia's energy sector. The seeds of rebellion will grow as nations get tired of paying higher prices just because America decided to throw Russia out of Swift. In the interim, higher energy prices, food prices, and a general surge in commodity prices, marked with all the uncertainty this war is creating, will force many central banks to scale their aggressiveness. This will be a bullish factor for stocks for the next 4 to 6 months.

While the situation looks bloody, the stocks have taken most of the beating. General indices are holding up quite well in comparison to many stocks.

One of the reasons for this divergence could be that the west did not expect Russia to attack Ukraine. So in the interim, it has created more uncertainty in the markets. However, history illustrates that markets tend to rise during wars. The current sanctions are causing a shortage of dollars and chaos in the credit markets, so even though the Fed states it won't increase its balance sheet it will do so. Furthermore, it will intervene directly or indirectly.
Despite all the uncertainty and experts trying to state, it's different this time. History indicates that every correction or crash will resolve as long as Fiat is alive.

This year we stated it would be like a battle in the trenches. The big players' change in tactics is that the crowd has come to expect that you simply jump in after every strong pullback and buy anything, and all will end well. So, the big players changed the plan, and we could see initial signs of it last year. They are pushing stocks they would like to own to levels that represent a screaming buy to accumulate massive positions. At the same time, they are not allowing the indices to pull back as sharply to help paint a picture that things are not so bad. Once the accumulation phase is over, they will push the indices higher and start bailing out before the next phase of the attack. They will push the indices significantly lower, potentially well past the 36% mark around the 4th quarter of this year.

The game plan, for now, is to let this uncertainty last a bit longer. One sign that the masses are close to quitting will be when bullish sentiment plunges below 18 for at least two weeks in a row, and Ideally, it does for three weeks in a row.

Again while the outlook looks terrible, the markets will resolve these issues in the short term and trend upwards. The best time to buy stocks is when nobody wants them. Currently, many top-rated companies are selling at a considerable discount.

There are some small bright spots. The precious metal bullion and Gold and palladium stocks/ETF's we purchased are holding up well. Some transports stocks like MRTN are also holding up well. And when the tech stocks bottom out, we expect the reversal to be fast and furious.

"The sanctions on Russia affect almost every nation except America."

However, our "elites" will use Russia, Russia as the excuse for all our self-inflicted damage and the ignorant sheep will follow suit.

"One of the reasons for this divergence could be that the west did not expect Russia to attack Ukraine."

In general yes, but this was always the intention of those involved in the continuation of The Great Game even if many of our "elites" were unwitting participants.

[Budge]

It’s going to be interesting what event will the big boys use, escalating war with China? Another hoax panic disease? Either way we only have one option when the trend is up anyway regardless what event happens.

It's already well in hand. They'll use any and all to overwhelm the senses of the sheep. Whatever works.

For example, groups that normally we'd think of as complete and utter enemies have had their meetings over the last decade and plotted their moves in the area of protecting minorities, claims of human rights abuses and genocidal activities.

[Yodean]

Oh, I forgot to add cyber-plandemic to the list, likely to be blamed on SIRA, sometime in Q4.
More restrictions on internet access will follow.

[SOL]

North America and Western Europe are screwed in terms of freedom. The trend is towards gestapoism. SO if you are a pioneer the best place to move to is South East Asia. Second best-limited parts of Eurasia.
You can't fight the trend. Russia is playing possum. Putin has a ton of cards up his sleeve. Watch how he will render NATO useless in less than 18 months. Odds of this coming to pass are over 75%

[Yodean]

Putin has a ton of cards up his sleeve. Watch how he will render NATO useless in less than 18 months. Odds of this coming to pass are over 75%

Vlad's quite creative, and very smart. One potential problem is if and when NATO is rendered useless for the global audience to witness, it may justify the formation of some type of EU Army that is free to act without having to respect current NATO guidelines. May be worse for most, ultimately.

Either way, Western Europe is doomed. Already dead.

[AstuteShift]

Putin as a kid always wanted to be KGB operative, look at his photos when he was a kid….a natural apex predator.

Nothing but chess moves, very impressive then again Slavs always had potential.

Case in point is Nikola Tesla, by product of Serbia

[stefk]

Problem with NATO useless. Lot of nations will want to acquire nuclear weapons, Japan, Vietnam, Germany, Poland, Taiwan. It will be dangerous, so much nations with nuclear weapon.

[stefk]

.

then again Slavs always had potential.

Yes, Slavs making war against other Slavs, great potential, but not very clever !!!!!

[Budge]

.

then again Slavs always had potential.

Yes, Slavs making war against other Slavs, great potential, but not very clever !!!!!

Back in "The Troubles" (euphemism for another war for power cloaked in religious bigotry) in Ireland. Men held a man at gunpoint and demanded, "Are you a Catholic or a Protestant?"
"I'm a Jew." he replied.
After a few seconds of head scratching, one asked, "Are you a Catholic Jew or a Protestant Jew?"

Funny but no less deadly.

[LoriPrecisely]

“It all comes back to fundamentals though. The Bretton Woods monetary order which gave way to the post 1971 petrodollar system with the USD as the world’s reserve currency was based on the arrangement that the US military would police the global trade routes, principally shipping (one very very good reason to own shipping now) and that the US government would run trade deficits in exchange for creditor nations reinvesting that capital back into US debt markets. Basically the ROW funded US growth. That was early days until US growth became US consumption and manufacturing began being exported to EM. Still, it provided them with the most liquid credit markets to both finance business but also sadly the deep state….which ironically gets us into the shit show we are now in today, where the deep state has grown into such a massive cancer. US manufacturing is no longer competitive and their main export is dollars. In any event that’s been the status quo. The rest of the world is tired of the US using this privilege by running up debts and enforcing, not democracy, but deep state corruption on them. But for ROW there was no real alternative because….well, the US military, but Afghanistan changed that.” https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2022-03-08/only-once

Interesting, this is good.....
Canadian premier wants to revive Trump-backed Keystone-XL pipeline to replace Russian oil.https://www.zerohedge.com/commodities/c ... e-approval

So much for the hope of decentralized currency.....
Despite CEO Brian Armstrong having just the other day implored the public not to judge the company too harshly for continuing to service its accounts in Russia, Coinbase has now gone and done just the opposite: shutting down 25K wallets belonging to Russian customers due to suspicions about "illicit activity." https://www.zerohedge.com/crypto/coinba ... t-activity

[LoriPrecisely]

Oh, I forgot to add cyber-plandemic to the list, likely to be blamed on SIRA, sometime in Q4.
More restrictions on internet access will follow.

You are absolutely correct. The WEF is already planning it....
https://youtu.be/-0oZA1B3ooI
https://www.weforum.org/videos/a-cyber- ... cteristics