SVB Silicon Valley Bank

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Budge
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by Budge »

MarkD wrote: Sat Mar 25, 2023 5:44 pm A banking lesson learned from 2008.

Folks are moving $ out if regional banks into majors atm. Not a good thing for local economies tbh.

In 2006 or so I visited a childhood friend in my Midwest US hometown. He had left the venerable Bank his grandparents founded to join a new bank seeking a charter from the state. Large depositors were fleeing obvious trouble ahead and chartering the new entity. It took a year or two but finally opened. When I met with him on a second visit AFTER the crisis hit, he indicated everything was great. Loans were being approved, etc.

Lesson learned. Follow the Smart Money, your local banker. And put funds into one of the new kids that isn't exposed to the credit risk.

Banksters have nine lives.
Anyone posted this before? Looks like something my grandkids create with a spin and splatter game, almost as complex :lol: :lol: :

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..whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..
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Yodean
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by Yodean »

Image

Image

*****

The mega-U.S. banks will reign supreme, for a time. Top 5 or 6 too big to fail. Non-U.S. banks not worth the risk, imo.

Big Fish eating Small Sardines.
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Budge
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by Budge »

Now versus 2008 - Mega oops:

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..whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..
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outof thebox
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by outof thebox »

Budge wrote: Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:24 pm Now versus 2008 - Mega oops:
Damn Son that looks downright Brutal.
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by Yodean »

Budge wrote: Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:24 pm Now versus 2008 - Mega oops:
Fed will make banking problems go away, for the Mega U.S. Banks. Fed's balance sheet already showing that almost half of the QT done this past year or so has been undone, more or less, in the last several weeks.

FIMA, BTLP, discount windows, etc., etc. ...

But we can't call it QE, because it's technically not QE.

Well, the markets speak the truth, in this case ...
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by chippermon »

Yodean wrote: Wed Mar 29, 2023 9:11 pm
Budge wrote: Tue Mar 28, 2023 3:24 pm Now versus 2008 - Mega oops:
Fed will make banking problems go away, for the Mega U.S. Banks. Fed's balance sheet already showing that almost half of the QT done this past year or so has been undone, more or less, in the last several weeks.

FIMA, BTLP, discount windows, etc., etc. ...

But we can't call it QE, because it's technically not QE.

Well, the markets speak the truth, in this case ...
Don't forget everyone. This is part of the plan. They know exactly, more or less, what they are doing. They're not going to kill it too much. Just enough to get their grubby little hands on your money. The whole issue behind this so called debacle has been brewing for some time already it just wasn't part of the narrative until now. Now is the precise time they needed it.
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embryonic bull

Post by Yodean »

Image

*****

May be time to take some profits on tech ...
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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Budge
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

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MarkD wrote: Sat Mar 25, 2023 5:44 pm
"Folks are moving $ out if regional banks into majors atm."

Is this really the case? Who would have the incentive to spread this view? We have the US Regional Banks ETF (IAT) as an option in the ETF section of Market Update so does that proposition stand up?
the narrative has been that deposits are fleeing the small commercial banks and flooding into the biggest banks that are perceived as too-big-to-fail and thus offer a safer venue for deposits.

Because these mega banks are the same ones that the Fed has been bailing out since the financial crisis of 2008, that narrative requires believing that our fellow Americans are dumber than a stump.

We decided to check out that narrative for ourselves. Not only is that scenario wrong, but it is so decidedly wrong, and it’s so easy to get the accurate figures, that from where we sit it looks like there might have been an agenda by someone to harm smaller banks. (Since it’s short sellers who have benefited to the tune of more than $7 billion from this misinformation, the Securities and Exchange Commission should find out who the public relations firms are who placed this erroneous information, and who paid them.)

Each Friday, at approximately 4:15 p.m., the Federal Reserve (“the Fed”) releases its H.8 report showing the assets and liabilities of commercial banks in the United States. Monthly deposit data is included going back one year, as well as deposit data for each of the last four weeks. Data is also broken down by the 25 largest banks and the approximate 4,000 small banks. Equally helpful, the folks at the St. Louis Fed make it possible to chart much of that H.8 data via its FRED charting tools. (See charts above and below.) The 25 largest banks in the U.S. lost a total of $644 billion in deposits between April 27, 2022 and April 26, 2023.

The three largest banks in the U.S., as measured by deposits, are JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. Between April 27, 2022 and April 26, 2023, JPMorgan Chase lost $184 billion in deposits; Bank of America lost $162 billion; and Wells Fargo lost $118.7 billion, for a combined loss in deposits of $464.7 billion — representing 72 percent of the decline in deposits at the 25 largest banks. (That’s a crystal clear indication of just how dangerously concentrated banking has become in the U.S.)

The deposit losses at JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo are more than twice what the 4,000 small banks lost in total during the same period. Their combined loss in deposits was just $210 billion. (See chart below.)

Bank of America and Wells Fargo not only lost those large deposit sums on a year-over-year basis, but both banks saw deposits fall during the past five quarters, including the quarter ending March 31, 2023 when headlines were declaring that they were seeing big inflows of deposits as a result of the banking crisis. JPMorgan Chase lost deposits in each of the quarters in 2022 and then saw a small increase in deposits in the first quarter of this year – likely from all of those misleading headlines. (This information is easily obtained from the financial statements the firms file publicly with the SEC.)
https://wallstreetonparade.com/2023/05/ ... all-banks/

Losing depositors under the fractional reserve system is dangerous. Deposit a $ in a bank and they can lend it out as $10. When the trend reverses it grabs the bankers by the "short and curlies". (Side note: if you're scum bag like Jon Corzine, you can take depositors funds, put it through London (JP effin M), leverage it up x 35 to take the wrong side of junk Greek debt and destroy MF Global! What a twat, and he got away with just a $5m fine.)

As indicated above, the short sellers did well and I'm sure folks like the big banks would use this as a hedging strategy after all companies like GS are past masters at front running and putting their clients in lousy investments and taking the other side of the transactions.

"Lesson learned. Follow the Smart Money, your local banker. And put funds into one of the new kids that isn't exposed to the credit risk." Get it while you can for you know that the big boys are acting just like termites - in the dark eating away at the foundations.
..whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by MarkD »

True story. One of my closest friends from childhood worked at the family hometown bank and became an officer around the age of 40.

In 2006, I was traveling through and stopped to visit. He had recently left the family's decades old bank. His new position was in a yet to open, newly chartered bank. What I did not recognize at that time was the prior organization was saddled with debt. The new bank took large depositers and began anew. It is a small regional now with several branches.

Your local banker knows more than anyone. Watch closely to see the future.
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

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MarkD wrote: Tue May 09, 2023 1:44 pm Your local banker knows more than anyone. Watch closely to see the future.
And it seems your local banker's been buying shares lately.

https://twitter.com/KEDM_COM/status/165 ... 05953?s=20
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by Yodean »

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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

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This somewhat happened to Japan during and after its bust, small regional banks getting eaten up by the the big ones and its central bank gathering more and more power.

The FED, government never stopped QE, they just don’t publicize or they justify the free money via protection like SPIC and the like.

In the end, I’m sure only the mega banks will win at the end. Say good bye to mom and pop regional banks lol
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by Budge »

AstuteShift wrote: Sat May 27, 2023 2:11 pm This somewhat happened to Japan during and after its bust, small regional banks getting eaten up by the the big ones and its central bank gathering more and more power.

The FED, government never stopped QE, they just don’t publicize or they justify the free money via protection like SPIC and the like.

In the end, I’m sure only the mega banks will win at the end. Say good bye to mom and pop regional banks lol
Once we have CBDC the Fed might be the bank of last resort..no..er, first resort..no..er, ONLY resort.
..whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government..
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by SOL »

Budge wrote: Sat May 27, 2023 3:20 pm
AstuteShift wrote: Sat May 27, 2023 2:11 pm This somewhat happened to Japan during and after its bust, small regional banks getting eaten up by the the big ones and its central bank gathering more and more power.

The FED, government never stopped QE, they just don’t publicize or they justify the free money via protection like SPIC and the like.

In the end, I’m sure only the mega banks will win at the end. Say good bye to mom and pop regional banks lol
Once we have CBDC the Fed might be the bank of last resort..no..er, first resort..no..er, ONLY resort.
At that point might have to remember the rhyme along the lines of sticks and stones may break my bones, but the Fed can kill with its cruel tone.

Sticks and stones may break my bones, or so the old saying goes,
But in this twisted world, the Fed's darkness steadily grows.
With a cruel tone and malevolent intent, they conspire,
To dismantle the middle class, their desires set on fire.

Through policies veiled in deceit, they sow seeds of despair,
The middle class left defenceless, caught in a web of snare.
Quantitative easing and low interest rates, their weapons wielded,
While the middle class suffers, their hopes and dreams are shielded.

The Fed's puppeteers pull strings, manipulating the game,
Weaving a tapestry of inequality, where only they claim fame.
They whisper promises of economic growth and prosperity,
Yet beneath the surface, lies a sinister reality.

The middle class dwindles, as the rich soar higher,
Struggling to make ends meet, their dreams crushed in the mire.
Each decision made by the Fed, a blow to their very core,
Suffocating their aspirations, leaving them yearning for more.

As inflation rises, their hard-earned wages wane,
The middle class trapped in a cycle of perpetual strain.
The Fed's grip tightens, squeezing out their wealth,
Leaving them vulnerable, like puppets in a play of stealth.

Their power eroded, their voices silenced and ignored,
The middle class deceived, their dreams shattered and floored.
In the shadows, the Fed dances, reveling in their might,
Leaving the middle class to suffer in the depths of night.

And so the final act unfolds, the Fed's victory in sight,
The middle class defeated, enveloped in eternal night.
Their dreams shattered, their hopes extinguished,
As the Fed's power triumphs, leaving them diminished.

With a heavy heart, we witness their downfall,
As the Fed's agenda prevails, devouring them all.
No flicker of hope remains, only despair and gloom,
As the middle class succumbs to their impending doom.

Sticks and stones may break their bones, but resilience fails,
The middle class crushed, as the Fed's darkness prevails.
In this dark play's tragic finale, their fate is sealed,
A haunting reminder of the power that can never be healed.
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Re: SVB Silicon Valley Bank

Post by AstuteShift »

The poem can be a theme song for the FED :lol: :lol: :lol:
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