AstuteShift wrote: ↑Fri Aug 12, 2022 9:47 pm
Hyperinflation will never happen in the USA, guaranteed.
Until the dollar is replaced, which likely won’t happen in our lifetime, enjoy the dollar being king
China is fucked long term, and Russia is also. That’s my thesis
Up until very recently, you would be 100% correct. China still has to figure out its shit, but Russia experienced a monumental shift after the whole world turned on them. Without going into detail, the three strongest cultures to pay attention to are the Slavs (led by the Russians), the Chinese, and the Vietnamese (however, because the Vietnamese are small in number, one can focus on the first two. On that front, I have spent over 20 years studying Russian and Chinese from a psychological perspective. Individually they have weaknesses, but if you combine their strategies, you get something beyond human.
Nobody understands or is paying attention to this monumental shift in Russia. Russians are at the best when their backs are to the Wall, when it looks hopeless and when the normal course of action would be to surrender. Instead of surrendering, they throw everything they have and 50% more at their enemy, the stakes change from survival to total destruction of the enemy, and they won't relent until that objective is achieved. Imagine if you may a trip switch; once that switch is tripped, a transformation occurs. So the Russia of today differ from the Russians before March 2022.
Everyone is focussing on China, but we will go on record to state that without Russia, China is Kaput and China knows that. The US has a formidable navy presence (especially its Sub); using its submarines could create a blockade around China. China has no effective deterrence against the top US subs. It can take out aircraft carriers, but the sub-force will do them in. They are also weak when it comes to jet fighters, most of their planes look good on paper, but in action well, they will be blown out of the sky.
You will see Russia leave every Western-based organisation and help forge news one for the countries outside the Western sphere of control to join. Watch the Arab world completely align with Russia, and 90% of top commodity producers in the world will slowly align themselves with Russia.
Something to consider US GDP is a crock of S**T. The largest component is consumer spending which is fuelled mostly by debt
GDP = C + G + I + NX
C = Equates to all consumer spending within a country’s economy, including durable goods (items with a lifespan greater than three years), nondurable goods (food & clothing), and services.
G = total government expenditures ( salaries of government employees, road construction/repair, public schools, and military expenditure)
I = the sum of a country’s investments in capital equipment, inventories, and housing.
NX = net exports or a country’s total exports less total imports.
Take out C and G, which is essentially rubbish; it does not produce anything and then focus on what really matters, which is I, and you will be shocked at what you are left with
I will stop here, for now; it's a very, very long topic. Needless to say, the
slow super trend of change has begun; the first phase is slow, but who knows, maybe it could pick up intensity really fast.