Interim Market update Jun 21, 2022

[SOL]

I will add more meat to this update, possibly tomorrow.

The market has bottomed or will bottom shortly. Hence risk-takers can use Pullbacks to add to their positions. The rally should last until the 4th quarter and then petter out

Geopolitics is going to play a massive role in analysis in the future. For as we stated in March, the US had hit a peak. In other words, it is now a multi-polar world, and the first signs that the dollar dominance is being challenged are underway.

Several currencies are generating positive divergences; instead of putting lower lows, they are setting higher lows and the Ruble is well blasting every other currency on the planet. Despite lowering the rate several times, the Ruble continues to hold up well. At this trajectory, interest rates in Russia will be under 6% and possibly as low as 4% within 12 months.

Bitcoin appears to also have bottomed or is close to bottoming out. However, this rally, like the stock market rally, is likely to falter in the 4th quarter. However, instead of dropping to new lows, BTC might put in a higher low. Too early to tell now

Palladium has generated a long term buy signal

Investing is not about timing the bottom but trying to get into stocks you always wanted to get into at mouth-watering levels

[jonnyfrank]

The more I study the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the ramifications of it, the more I conclude that we are in the middle of a paradigm shift. Sadly, I sense desperation coming from the West soon, and with all of the beta leaders in place in places like the USA, France, Canada, and Germany, I would not be surprised of we drop a nuke and say it was a launching from Russia. We live in a time where men are not men and virtue is an endangered species. So....you are calling a temporary bottom here, SOL?

[SOL]

The more I study the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the ramifications of it, the more I conclude that we are in the middle of a paradigm shift. Sadly, I sense desperation coming from the West soon, and with all of the beta leaders in place in places like the USA, France, Canada, and Germany, I would not be surprised of we drop a nuke and say it was a launching from Russia. We live in a time where men are not men and virtue is an endangered species. So....you are calling a temporary bottom here, SOL?

The bottom should have been in long ago, but geopolitics and brain dead western leaders look for moral high ground when they are standing on the bodies of hundreds of thousands they killed over the past few decades. Everything has sold off and everyone is negative so a strong relief rally is likely in the works, but as none of these western penguins will face reality a strong correction will probably take hold once this rally fades.

The Unipolar world order is over.

Pay close attention to the Ruble (or Rouble in British English) if it ends the month at or below 50, it will serve as a secondary powerful confirmation that a new world order is in the works and Risk takers and pioneers should look to Russia or key parts of Asia for long term stability

On a separate note, the EU has decided its time to fire up mothballed coal plants, so much for the green mantra push. But oh wait Coal is also very expensive, so EU is dead one way or another unless they take a knee to Russia

[Budge]

On a separate note, the EU has decided its time to fire up mothballed coal plants, so much for the green mantra push. But oh wait Coal is also very expensive, so EU is dead one way or another unless they take a knee to Russia

They can un-mothball their coal plants, but how quickly can they un-mothball all the techs needed to get them up and running?

[SOL]

On a separate note, the EU has decided its time to fire up mothballed coal plants, so much for the green mantra push. But oh wait Coal is also very expensive, so EU is dead one way or another unless they take a knee to Russia

They can un-mothball their coal plants, but how quickly can they un-mothball all the techs needed to get them up and running?

A very good question Sir, but I fear I don't have the answer, but the slogan born woke now Broke and going up in smoke comes to mind.

tectonic changes are in the works, its time for open minded individuals and pioneers to make a move.

[AstuteShift]

Exciting time for the Astute but an absolute hellish time for the cannon fodder

[Yodean]

Pay close attention to the Ruble (or Rouble in British English) if it ends the month at or below 50, it will serve as a secondary powerful confirmation that a new world order is in the works

I think it's a bit early to call ... right now, my understanding is that domestic Russian citizens and institutions are not allowed to withdraw foreign currencies in large amounts from their accounts, and of course Russia is forcing the West to buy its stuff by first compelling the latter to exchange their USD and Euros into rubles at Gazprom (i.e. Russian Goldman Sachs), all of which sets an artificial floor underneath the ruble.

It's working quite nicely atm, but I am not sure this will persist. Now of course, one may contend that all currencies are manipulated to a certain extent.

Also, didn't one of the Russian finance ministers or bigwigs say recently that it's not profitable for Russia to export its minerals unless the ruble is > 70 or so? Something along those lines ... so Russia has ample room to lower rates, I suppose.

NWO +/- Fourth Turning quickly taking shape, but the final form, hard to say ...

[SOL]

Pay close attention to the Ruble (or Rouble in British English) if it ends the month at or below 50, it will serve as a secondary powerful confirmation that a new world order is in the works

I think it's a bit early to call ... right now, my understanding is that domestic Russian citizens and institutions are not allowed to withdraw foreign currencies in large amounts from their accounts, and of course Russia is forcing the West to buy its stuff by first compelling the latter to exchange their USD and Euros into rubles at Gazprom (i.e. Russian Goldman Sachs), all of which sets an artificial floor underneath the ruble.

It's working quite nicely atm, but I am not sure this will persist. Now of course, one may contend that all currencies are manipulated to a certain extent.

Also, didn't one of the Russian finance ministers or bigwigs say recently that it's not profitable for Russia to export its minerals unless the ruble is > 70 or so? Something along those lines ... so Russia has ample room to lower rates, I suppose.

NWO +/- Fourth Turning quickly taking shape, but the final form, hard to say ...

I would beg to differ we will go on record to state that the USA peaked in March and now it's all downhill. Eurasia is set to rule. USD will remain strong relative to European and western-based currencies. Currency markets don't lie . they have spoken its the time for the East to Rise and 77% of Russia is in the East. The only variable left is the speed of change

[MarkD]

There are 500 years of coal reserves in the USA. My guess is that some of that will be shipped to the EU along with nat gas. Seems like a possible LT bottom in coal coincided with the Covid crash. BTU has soared. All while Greta was lying to the plebes.

[Yodean]

*****

The ruble may be quite artificially strong atm, but the average Russian citizen is prolly swearing under her breath when visiting the grocery(less) store.

Russians may be resilient and arguably less spoiled than your average Westerner, but everyone has a breaking point ...

[Budge]

The ruble may be quite artificially strong atm, but the average Russian citizen is prolly swearing under her breath when visiting the grocery(less) store.

Russians may be resilient and arguably less spoiled than your average Westerner, but everyone has a breaking point ...

Sorry Dean, this chart is from western "experts" ipso facto, in this day and age, cannot be trusted. Do I smell propaganda.

Russia, a self-contained country, where they produce what's causing the rest of the world's inflation nightmares.

Here's some ground level observations:

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/06/07/ ... ervations/

[Expert]

Investing is not about timing the bottom but trying to get into stocks you always wanted to get into at mouth-watering levels

isn't the bottom or close to the bottom usually when you're able to get in at mouth watering levels ?

[SOL]

The ruble may be quite artificially strong atm, but the average Russian citizen is prolly swearing under her breath when visiting the grocery(less) store.

Russians may be resilient and arguably less spoiled than your average Westerner, but everyone has a breaking point ...

Sorry Dean, this chart is from western "experts" ipso facto, in this day and age, cannot be trusted. Do I smell propaganda.

Russia, a self-contained country, where they produce what's causing the rest of the world's inflation nightmares.

Here's some ground level observations:

https://gilbertdoctorow.com/2022/06/07/ ... ervations/

Yodean you need to be there to understand that there are many more countries outside of the US and Europe that produce exotic and tasty products. We have Scott in Russia who can provide some unbiased views, but from my sources, no one is suffering, they have simply replaced Europe with other countries and in the long run at a better price. Europe's stuff was quite overpriced for the average Russian.

Examining it from all angles, the average American, Canadian and European is probably worse off or will soon be worse off than the average Russian. Once the Rouble cracks the 50 mark (50 roubles per USD), the super trend will kick in and then nothing in this universe will be able to stop it. Most of the experts making claims about Russia's economy or military don't know Jack. First you need to understand the Russian mindset and then their methodology only then does one have a chance of arriving at the right conclusion.

[SOL]

Investing is not about timing the bottom but trying to get into stocks you always wanted to get into at mouth-watering levels

isn't the bottom or close to the bottom usually when you're able to get in at mouth watering levels ?

No one knows when the bottom is in. So pay attention to the masses and then add in some TA. To buy close to the bottom one has to buy when fear levels are soaring but its nigh impossible to time the exact bottom

[scott]

Yodean you need to be there to understand that there are many more countries outside of the US and Europe that produce exotic and tasty products. We have Scott in Russia who can provide some unbiased views, but from my sources, no one is suffering, they have simply replaced Europe with other countries and in the long run at a better price. Europe's stuff was quite overpriced for the average Russian.

From my (biased) perspective, there were some grumblers that took a shot of the west's kool aid, and some price gouging of things already in stock. Seems to me peeps know its already the new norm. нормальный, and the beat goes on...