Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Interim Market updates will only be posted here from now on
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SOL
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Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by SOL »

We are almost done tabulating our sentiment data and Bullish sentiment could come in as low as 20. Neutral sentiment could come in at 41to 42 and bearish readings could come in the 38 to 39 ranges. These readings are as strange as one can expect for such low bullish readings usually coincide with a severe pullback.

This development seems to support the theory that too many people expect a correction and therefore this correction is going to be delayed. Now if the markets drop on such low bullish sentiment it would make for a short term splendid buy as everyone that held out will jump in after the markets recoup and then take out their new highs. This in turn could lead to a blow-off top next year.
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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Cinnamon
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by Cinnamon »

Experts are skeptical of jumping in and now Retail investors are joining the back.


Retail traders aren't buying the dip like usual: Analysts

The maxim “buy the dip” has been commonplace in retail investing – and retail investors demonstrated their commitment to this idea during the pandemic. But for the first time in a while, retail investors might be ignoring that guidance now.

The S&P 500 index dropped over 30% in March 2020. Ordinary investors didn’t flinch; instead, they bought up index funds on the cheap. In many cases, this activity has worked as a counterweight to the market’s plunges.

A note from Vanda Research, a finance analytics firm, describes how that’s been true for 2021 as well, except for the most recent hiccup in the markets.

“Retail investors have bought every minor dip in equities this year, shielding the S&P against a double digit sell-off,” analysts Ben Onatibia and Giacomo Pierantoni wrote. Usually the activity has been in S&P 500 index funds and ETFs like QQQ, they added.

On Yahoo Finance Live this week, BMO senior investment strategist Jon Adams pointed out that the buy-the-dip strategy has been “a very good strategy over the last few years.”

But while there was a small uptick in inflows in the types of ETFs usually seen in dip-buying this week, “the magnitude has been a little underwhelming relative to previous sell-offs,” Vanda analysts wrote.

In similar-sized drops in the market in July and August, retail investors bought anywhere between 35% and 100% more than they did between Sept. 10 to Sept. 14.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/retail-t ... 17959.html

SOL It looks like your hypothesis might come true. Everyone thinks the market is going to pullback
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Yodean
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by Yodean »

Image
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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AstuteShift
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by AstuteShift »

Yodean wrote: Sun Sep 19, 2021 11:11 pm Image
Yodean on a different planet with the Bloomberg terminal :D
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Yodean
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by Yodean »

AstuteShift wrote: Mon Sep 20, 2021 12:40 pm Yodean on a different planet with the Bloomberg terminal :D
Lol, I am pretty low tech, actually. I stole that graph off someone else's feed. :lol:
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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nicolas
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by nicolas »

Looks like today may be the beginning of the awaited Sep / Oct correction.

Very well. It's past 6pm here, ready to enjoy a cold one.

Image
Kayaki, a Georgian beer.
SOL wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 3:33 am In the long term, any strong pullback has to be viewed through a bullish lens as long as the trend is up. Remember, when the masses panic, tactical investors celebrate.
I'm merely following instructions :lol:
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by bpcw »

Image

Nice cup of tea, very English!
The person without the Spirit does not accept the things that come from the Spirit of God but considers them foolishness, and cannot understand them because they are discerned only through the Spirit.
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by bpcw »

The person without the Spirit does not accept the things that come from the Spirit of God but considers them foolishness, and cannot understand them because they are discerned only through the Spirit.
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AstuteShift
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by AstuteShift »

Time to dance :mrgreen:
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Yodean
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by Yodean »

This is far superior, not even STEFK can dance like this, I would think:

https://youtu.be/dMRWgDEi_jA
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by bpcw »

Yodean wrote: Mon Sep 20, 2021 4:40 pm This is far superior:
You win!!! :mrgreen:
The person without the Spirit does not accept the things that come from the Spirit of God but considers them foolishness, and cannot understand them because they are discerned only through the Spirit.
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jlhooter
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by jlhooter »

You guys are sick and I never felt more at home.
Just because 95% is doing it doesn't make it right
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AstuteShift
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by AstuteShift »

jlhooter wrote: Mon Sep 20, 2021 6:18 pm You guys are sick and I never felt more at home.
I love seeing blood and carnage, in reality it’s flowers and cookies for me and the rest of us :mrgreen:
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SOL
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Re: Interim Update Sept 16. 2021

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Mon Sep 20, 2021 4:40 pm This is far superior, not even STEFK can dance like this, I would think:
Those moves take skill. I was lucky when I was in Turkey in Pamukkale to be precise to be invited to a night of belly dancing. The way those ladies moves is astounding. It looks simple but it takes a lot of energy

https://youtu.be/tE2JBf2L8W4
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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Cathie woods is selling, probably good long term bullish signal

Post by gnosis12 »

Cathie Wood has sold $270 million in Tesla amid the tech sector selloff. Yahoo Finance Live breaks down the details.

https://finance.yahoo.com/video/ark-cat ... 12627.html
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