Food and energy wars

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Yodean
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Re: Food and energy wars

Post by Yodean »

nicolas wrote: Tue Sep 20, 2022 1:19 pm If a bunch of ETFs get listed in a recently hot sector, it's probably time to bail.
If the only or one of the major ETFs for a sector shuts down after a long bear market, maybe it should make the "ideas list".
https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/stat ... 7478420480

*****

Indeed, another example - BITO (futures ETF) listed near one of BTC's aths. I had hoped that BTC would have a nice run until a _spot_ ETF in the U.S was listed. Sometimes too much granular thinking messes you up.

The above Tweet lends a bit more support that we're bottoming on an interim basis, or have done so in June.
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SOL
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Re: Food and energy wars

Post by SOL »

nicolas wrote: Tue Sep 20, 2022 1:19 pm
harryg wrote: Tue Sep 20, 2022 12:51 pm It's an interesting example of the potential of Contrarian Investing.

You won't get an investment vehicle until there is loads of demand, which only comes after price rises and a certain amount of hype.

Then when people get fed up with it and prices fall, ETF delists due to 'lack of interest' (fund is smaller so not enough profit for the managers).

Here is a list for consideration, perhaps someone would like to look at it to see if there is a trend

https://www.etf.com/etf-watch-tables/etf-closures
If a bunch of ETFs get listed in a recently hot sector, it's probably time to bail.
If the only or one of the major ETFs for a sector shuts down after a long bear market, maybe it should make the "ideas list".
@nicloas a very good MP observation and Harry a good contrarian set of rules that should yield interesting results. If one combines your rules with decent TA, I think we could find some ideas. If the two of you are interested we can create a triage and keep in touch via the message system here, looking for contrarian ideas, then we can all assess the data from different angles and determine if it's worth taking a bite. Strange ideas always appeal to me lol
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Yodean
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Re: Food and energy wars

Post by Yodean »

SOL wrote: Tue Sep 20, 2022 3:37 pm @nicloas a very good MP observation and Harry a good contrarian set of rules that should yield interesting results. If one combines your rules with decent TA, I think we could find some ideas. If the two of you are interested we can create a triage and keep in touch via the message system here, looking for contrarian ideas, then we can all assess the data from different angles and determine if it's worth taking a bite. Strange ideas always appeal to me lol
That's a good idea Sol.

Harry, nicolas and I have been discussing implementation of novel trading ideas using different forms of COT data for some weeks now, and combining it with sentiment data and technical analysis.

I can vouch they are quite easy to work with. :lol:
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scott
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Re: Food and energy wars

Post by scott »

SOL wrote: Mon Sep 05, 2022 3:27 pm Welcome to sanction-hit Russia, where prices are DOWN as Brits suffer from soaring inflation

Food costs are also coming down every month and Vladimir Putin’s people are partying as if there is no war.

Food and energy costs in Russia are a fraction of what Brits are paying

From Market Update July 10.
The scarcity of sriracha hot chili sauce has led to a surge in prices, reaching over $70 per bottle on the
secondary Market. The ongoing shortage, lasting for more than a year, has created a high demand for
the popular sauce. Resellers are taking advantage of the situation, with some selling bottles for even
higher prices, such as $100 on Amazon and $70 on eBay. The issue highlights both the strong
consumer demand for sriracha and the prolonged duration of the shortage.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/s ... -70-bottle
And in Russia Sriracha about $3-$4 for 500 grams (17.6 ounces). Wish I could cash in! Love the stuff, but would go without if it were $10.

https://www.ozon.ru/product/sous-ostryy ... 28_AqSsQkw
https://www.ozon.ru/product/sous-shrira ... 28_AqfgSdQ
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outof thebox
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Re: Food and energy wars

Post by outof thebox »

scott wrote: Tue Jul 11, 2023 7:12 am
SOL wrote: Mon Sep 05, 2022 3:27 pm Welcome to sanction-hit Russia, where prices are DOWN as Brits suffer from soaring inflation

Food costs are also coming down every month and Vladimir Putin’s people are partying as if there is no war.

Food and energy costs in Russia are a fraction of what Brits are paying

From Market Update July 10.
The scarcity of sriracha hot chili sauce has led to a surge in prices, reaching over $70 per bottle on the
secondary Market. The ongoing shortage, lasting for more than a year, has created a high demand for
the popular sauce. Resellers are taking advantage of the situation, with some selling bottles for even
higher prices, such as $100 on Amazon and $70 on eBay. The issue highlights both the strong
consumer demand for sriracha and the prolonged duration of the shortage.
https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/s ... -70-bottle
And in Russia Sriracha about $3-$4 for 500 grams (17.6 ounces). Wish I could cash in! Love the stuff, but would go without if it were $10.

https://www.ozon.ru/product/sous-ostryy ... 28_AqSsQkw
https://www.ozon.ru/product/sous-shrira ... 28_AqfgSdQ
So it still costs the same in Russia which is under heavy sanctions and here in the US we have to pay 10X more. I noticed the same with prescription drugs. If you go to Mexico many prescription drugs are up to 80% cheaper. I purchase Jardiance for a friend that is diabetic. In the US it can cost up to 500 for 30 tablets. Overseas I can get it for as little as 25 dollars

https://youtu.be/z57cA1H1da8
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