Interim market update April 15, 2022

[scott]

We are going to keep it simple. As we cannot determine everyone's risk levels nor do we want to attempt such a feat. There is saying if you try to please everyone you will end up screwing everyone. For the most part the biggest reason individuals get in trouble is that they do not take the time to determine their risk tolerance levels. They just assume it will be rosy forever and ever amen. If that were the case everyone would be rich. Investing comes down to being disciplined and having the patience to wait for opportunities based on your risk tolerance levels. Everything comes back to risk tolerance

Some might be confusing you (plural) with a financial advisor, and not a subscription service.
Correctimundo, you can't be everything to everybody.

[Yodean]

For me personally, current sentiment measures, as well as Hybrid Ninjedi Technical Analysis, suggest that if there ever were a time to do the following, metaphorically speaking, last week and the next few weeks are decent times to do it, at least wrt to high growth tech stocks:

https://youtu.be/seQgisZujc0

*****

NFA (not financial advice). Lolol.

[SOL]

For me personally, current sentiment measures, as well as Hybrid Ninjedi Technical Analysis, suggest that if there ever were a time to do the following, metaphorically speaking, last week and the next few weeks are decent times to do it, at least wrt to high growth tech stocks:


*****

NFA (not financial advice). Lolol.

The real secret of taking on significantly higher levels of risk is not having any attachment to money and the outcome. You view the whole thing as a game. Why is this important, because now you can allocate 100% of your mind to take the task at hand. In other words, instead of wasting 30 to 60 per cent of your energy on a combo of fear, uncertainty, etc. Your focus is only on one thing. You are now a super ninja Jedi fighting (focussed) Machine
You can't force this, it happens naturally and one of the key factors to getting to this stage is to have a very good memory so that you remember all the mistakes you made or a simpler and probably more efficient system is to maintain a trading journal. That journal will reveal weaknesses and strengths you would not normally see. Once you identify the problem, the solution is easy to find. In some cases identifying the problem represents 90% of the solution.

Pluto's allegory of the cave should be viewed at least once a month until one can grasp all the hidden meanings in the video. The data it contains is powerful

n
This is another interesting video though and could provide a multi-angled view of reality. Very few can answer two simple questions

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1JPvl5 ... l=WIRED.jp

What are they really fighting or striving for
What is their main goal in life

99% of the answers will be based on indcotrinated values or some other persons regurgitated rubbish

[Budge]

What are they really fighting or striving for
What is their main goal in life

99% of the answers will be based on indcotrinated values or some other persons regurgitated rubbish

Or, perhaps, we're in a simulation of Red Dwarf?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qIkXfxyB-8

[Yodean]

Or, perhaps, we're in a simulation of Red Dwarf?

Quite possible. I tend to view it more along the lines that we all live inside our own personal MOMs (Metaverse Of Metaverses). The intersection of the TIT metaverse with my MOM has been fun. Don't be a pervert.

[Budge]

Or, perhaps, we're in a simulation of Red Dwarf?

Quite possible. I tend to view it more along the lines that we all live inside our own personal MOMs (Metaverse Of Metaverses). The intersection of the TIT metaverse with my MOM has been fun. Don't be a pervert.

Starting to worry about some of the acronyms.

[LoriPrecisely]

That movie about the Matrix I could never watch. The trailer was enough for me.
Maybe, it will be more like this:
WO2020060606 - CRYPTOCURRENCY SYSTEM USING BODY ACTIVITY DATA
Applicants: MICROSOFT TECHNOLOGY LICENSING, LLC [US]/[US]
Abstract:
Human body activity associated with a task provided to a user may be used in a mining process of a cryptocurrency system. A server may provide a task to a device of a user which is communicatively coupled to the server. A sensor communicatively coupled to or comprised in the device of the user may sense body activity of the user. Body activity data may be generated based on the sensed body activity of the user. The cryptocurrency system communicatively coupled to the device of the user may verify if the body activity data satisfies one or more conditions set by the cryptocurrency system, and award cryptocurrency to the user whose body activity data is verified.

This is a patent on the The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) website.
https://patentscope.wipo.int/search/en/ ... =PCTBIBLIO

[Centeron631]

The Reason behind the recomendation for a % cash indicator is much more than just directing the Low to Medium risk member what amount of cash one should maintain (the below Low risk investor and new portfolio builders which as stated by Sol is more risky yet than some other investing systems can be easily directed to some articles for supplemental info and the Higher risk investors are more adept or at managing their cash levels) ; I will give the much more after i set out what i envision.

I see It at the end of each intro MP/update material as : showing % cash indicator with Its trend (up, down or sideways to the % from last update (preferably dated if possible) stated. If there is a major change then the % can be typed in red and if action is required urgently it can be typed in twice in red.

The Much More part:

It can summarize/capsulize at a glance (what all of the charts, graphs,indicators, statements, opinions and conclusions of all of the above preceeding valuable information) in practical actionable terms as to what the investor should do with all of that.

It would aid in removing the chances of misinterpetation-misunderstandings-miscommunications, grammar differences) of the reader (a fail - safe as apparently would have helped in January) as stated in a few replies above. (bcpw)

It would would act as an assistant for the author too to really focus on making what is finally put out above and this indicator align with each other.

Often when i read texts i will read the summary at the end of the chapter first and then go read the chapter from the begining and the read goes much easier and better knowing where it may be pointing to.

[phillCC]

We are going to keep it simple. As we cannot determine everyone's risk levels nor do we want to attempt such a feat. There is saying if you try to please everyone you will end up screwing everyone. For the most part the biggest reason individuals get in trouble is that they do not take the time to determine their risk tolerance levels. They just assume it will be rosy forever and ever amen. If that were the case everyone would be rich. Investing comes down to being disciplined and having the patience to wait for opportunities based on your risk tolerance levels. Everything comes back to risk tolerance

Hi SOL,

What is your definition of risk tolerance ?

[bpcw]

We are going to keep it simple. As we cannot determine everyone's risk levels nor do we want to attempt such a feat. There is saying if you try to please everyone you will end up screwing everyone. For the most part the biggest reason individuals get in trouble is that they do not take the time to determine their risk tolerance levels. They just assume it will be rosy forever and ever amen. If that were the case everyone would be rich. Investing comes down to being disciplined and having the patience to wait for opportunities based on your risk tolerance levels. Everything comes back to risk tolerance

Hi SOL,

What is your definition of risk tolerance ?

This is quite subjective, have a look at this article:

https://www.moneyunder30.com/risk-tolerance

[LoriPrecisely]

This is quite subjective, have a look at this article:

https://www.moneyunder30.com/risk-tolerance
[/quote]

Great article!!
This quote sums it up nicely...
"Risk tolerance is your financial and emotional ability to withstand a loss in your investment portfolio."

This quote from the article seems odd to me because they are equating high risk with high reward, but not acknowledging the potential (high) loss.
"For example, if you make $30,000 annually and want to retire with $5 million, you’ll need to make some high-risk, high-reward investments, or your money will never multiply that much. Your risk capacity will have to be pretty high."

[SOL]

We are going to keep it simple. As we cannot determine everyone's risk levels nor do we want to attempt such a feat. There is saying if you try to please everyone you will end up screwing everyone. For the most part the biggest reason individuals get in trouble is that they do not take the time to determine their risk tolerance levels. They just assume it will be rosy forever and ever amen. If that were the case everyone would be rich. Investing comes down to being disciplined and having the patience to wait for opportunities based on your risk tolerance levels. Everything comes back to risk tolerance

Hi SOL,

What is your definition of risk tolerance ?

That's a good question, almost satirical in nature.

And the answer is not so easy because what is low risk for me could be high for you. This is why one must determine on their own what their risk tolerance is. After that, some guidelines can be provided, but those suggestions should be used as a reference point and fine-tuned to suit the individual.

Right now we are in an epic battle, people just don't realise the full implications of this Russian Ukraine war. It's 10X bigger than what it is being made to look like. As a result by default, individuals will have to get used to dealing with more volatility (it's a type of risk).

One possible way to gauge risk is to ask yourself how would you feel after a position is up 20 to 30 per cent and then it sheds all that and you have to wait maybe 9 months for it to recoup and tack on 80%. Some people will say hey I would rather take the 20 to 30 per cent now and not deal with the stress.

[SOL]

Great article!!
This quote sums it up nicely...
"Risk tolerance is your financial and emotional ability to withstand a loss in your investment portfolio."

This quote from the article seems odd to me because they are equating high risk with high reward, but not acknowledging the potential (high) loss.
"For example, if you make $30,000 annually and want to retire with $5 million, you’ll need to make some high-risk, high-reward investments, or your money will never multiply that much. Your risk capacity will have to be pretty high."

"Risk tolerance is your financial and emotional ability to withstand a loss in your investment portfolio

The above quote is great, but the rest is just gambling, and gamblers always lose well at least 99%

[bpcw]

I have an older friend who never has any money for any length of time, he puts most of his money into slot machines. Sometimes he meets up with a few friends and says he'll buy the drinks as he's had a good winner which probably equates to around £50 and you can be certain that he has lost 100's before deluding himself that he's won £50. I know from going through his finances with him before that he could easily save £800 a month. So he is in total denial of his financial situation and his gambling addiction.

I say this as it's an example of not being able to soberly and honestly assess oneself. With risk I think we have to take note of how we felt emotionally when things weren't going to plan, and that's why I believe Sol continually and rightly bangs on about keeping a journal.

My immediate response without a journal would be to say I am high risk. When the markets and most of the stocks I choose continually started to get hit I was getting a little perturbed, not panicking by any means and I actually became less nervous as this correction has persisted and by observing the sentiment numbers have become very confident of massive opportunity. However, I now feel because of my initial negative emotions that I need to be honest with myself and view myself as medium risk at least.

It's also probably worth mentioning that high risk doesn't necessarily equate to high achievement but can just as easily be a choice based on one's lifestyle.

[harryg]

Risk tolerance is how much you are willing to lose. That's it.

If you have never lost a lot on a position or overall, you might not know what your risk tolerance is.

Mine is max 50% for shares and similar investments: at -50% you have to double to recoup. Beyond that I'm uncomfortable.

This can also change over time.

If you think about it, there is no such thing as a high-risk, high-reward investment. It's a contradiction in terms. That's the financial industry making you daydream. It's a definite high-risk possible high-reward.

However, if you don't take a decent amount of risk, you will get nowhere (opinion). That's why I prefer risk-embracing to the alternative (low-risk, low-or-no-reward).