anyone elses portfolio super down?

[Yodean]

The difference my friend is I'm still holding CHGG and plan to keep holding it...specifically to prove I'm wrong. I learn more when I prove I'm wrong than when I try to prove I'm right.

It is said, "you win or you learn." Applies to almost everything in life, I find.

You mentioned you inherited some excess commercial real estate.

The bald dude in the following 10-minute clip is pretty decent when it comes to how he approaches real estate of all types. Also has some interesting thoughts on Amazon and Walmart. Has his own YT channel. Just a regular Joe like you and I, who does his own investing. A massive amount of direct experience with real estate of all types:

https://youtu.be/YGscZlgu-b4?t=1

[Triplethought]

Good stuff Yodean. thanks.

[hooligan]

down a bit over 1/3rd of my entire portfolio from the highs last year. all tactical plays held. low on cash. i was highly invested at the top, sadly. wondering if i should take losses just to switch into plays that may perform better as we go back up. and even to avoid more of the short-term bottoming.

[Yodean]

down a bit over 1/3rd of my entire portfolio from the highs last year. all tactical plays held. low on cash. i was highly invested at the top, sadly. wondering if i should take losses just to switch into plays that may perform better as we go back up. and even to avoid more of the short-term bottoming.

I'm in a similar position, but I'm still buying selectively, using significant margin for the first time in my 18 years of investing.

All my personal and technical indicators for sentiment, etc. are screaming - or at least whispering loudly - that many of the Big Tech stocks have bottomed or are very close to doing so. Maybe the TIT's MOAB or FOAB has yet to be triggered, but for a lot of high-quality stocks, my SOABS (Stepmother Of All Buy Signal) has been triggered.

Examples include Skynet, FBIbook, Intel-ligent, TSM (no, CCP ain't gonna militarily invade Formosa anytime soon, let's stop with that already, lol), COIN, the list goes on.

But hey, assess how you are sleeping - if you aren't sleeping well most nights, it is time to sell.

Health before wealth, although I prefer both in abundance.

[nicolas]

Our portfolios are sailing on a sea of red now. I checked this morning and 65% of the TI plays in my portfolio are showing unrealized losses. It sure feels less comfortable than seeing lots of green!

And that's why I wanted to express my gratitude for the investing successes I've had, and especially remind myself of the phenomenal batting average achieved the past few years by following TI's recommendations! (And also write a colorful post for once )

Here's the Win / Loss ratio, by portfolio, since I joined TI in 2019, up to 2021:


This only includes the positions fully closed, not the ones still open.

Of all the TI trades I closed, 86% have been winners! And winners have been constantly bigger than losers. Cheers to that Thank you, Sol and the whole team at TI, for the guidance and the good work!

The average return was +26.1%. Half of the positions were closed for a gain greater than 22.3%.

And that's just me, I'm sure there are other subs who got even better results.

I hope it shows to those that joined recently that patience and discipline will pay off over the long term.

[DrSven]

Now that is interesting indeed. Thanks for sharing nicolas.

[SOL]

Our portfolios are sailing on a sea of red now. I checked this morning and 65% of the TI plays in my portfolio are showing unrealized losses. It sure feels less comfortable than seeing lots of green!

And that's why I wanted to express my gratitude for the investing successes I've had, and especially remind myself of the phenomenal batting average achieved the past few years by following TI's recommendations! (And also write a colorful post for once )

Here's the Win / Loss ratio, by portfolio, since I joined TI in 2019, up to 2021:


This only includes the positions fully closed, not the ones still open.

Of all the TI trades I closed, 86% have been winners! And winners have been constantly bigger than losers. Cheers to that Thank you, Sol and the whole team at TI, for the guidance and the good work!

The average return was +26.1%. Half of the positions were closed for a gain greater than 22.3%.

And that's just me, I'm sure there are other subs who got even better results.

I hope it shows to those that joined recently that patience and discipline will pay off over the long term.

Thank you indeed for taking the time to post your calculations. Excellent job

At most, we are 50% responsible for your success. It takes two to tango, three to have a party and one to cry lol

This forum is a blast

[caseyh1981]

and now my portfolio is up +25% from exactly one week ago. Amazing.

[AstuteShift]

and now my portfolio is up +25% from exactly one week ago. Amazing.

Epic gains ready to be made. Once that euphoria kicks in, it would be a shame not to get cheap OTM puts and get more gains on the way down and buy the discounted stocks

[SOL]

Most traders have no concept of the meaning of patience. So it's good to see more and more Tactical Investors are mastering this trait. This is what fighting in the trenches is all about. If you can get used to these volatile moves and not panic in the face of fear which is nothing but an illusion, you will thrive in the years to come. These wild swings are just the beginning and most will mistake these swings for crashes.

[jlhooter]

Most traders have no concept of the meaning of patience. So it's good to see more and more Tactical Investors are mastering this trait. This is what fighting in the trenches is all about. If you can get used to these volatile moves and not panic in the face of fear which is nothing but an illusion, you will thrive in the years to come. These wild swings are just the beginning and most will mistake these swings for crashes.

I am also not getting excited in the excellent gains in last couple of days. I am more concerned about what to do next (not too concerned since I believe I have a plan knowing I can still get punched in the face). I like the idea of buying puts at the right time though on yhe way back down.

[xkosmox]

Hopefully my crypto holdings peak before this happens. More cashed out funds to reinvest here.

[chippermon]

Most traders have no concept of the meaning of patience. So it's good to see more and more Tactical Investors are mastering this trait. This is what fighting in the trenches is all about. If you can get used to these volatile moves and not panic in the face of fear which is nothing but an illusion, you will thrive in the years to come. These wild swings are just the beginning and most will mistake these swings for crashes.

I am also not getting excited in the excellent gains in last couple of days. I am more concerned about what to do next (not too concerned since I believe I have a plan knowing I can still get punched in the face). I like the idea of buying puts at the right time though on the way back down.

I like the idea of this too. I had some success lately with that. On Feb 14, one of my swing trading setups appeared and since we were thinking the NASDAQ was going to punch out a new low I looked to buy some puts on the TQQQ. I could not believe the premiums at that time. I felt they were way overpriced. I have been mucking about with these short ETFs lately and thought I would check out the SQQQ. Lo and behold the calls were very reasonable. Bought the Mar 45 at 1.65 on Feb 9. Got another signal on Mar 2 bought some more at 2.72. Mar 7 those SOBs flew up to 10.something. I could not get out up there quick enough but flew the coop at 8.85.

It sounds like I'm bragging here so I will stop. ( I'll be happy to tell you about the losers if you want) but my point is we should be considering these short ETFs also. It's anecdotal right now since I don't have any statistical analysis ready but I think I notice that often times when things heat up the more popular ETFs like TQQQ build in an extra premium compared to their counterparts. ie. SQQQ

UPRO<>SPXU
UDOW<>SDOW
UMDD<>SMDD
URTY<>SRTY

Just thoughts

[SOL]

Most traders have no concept of the meaning of patience. So it's good to see more and more Tactical Investors are mastering this trait. This is what fighting in the trenches is all about. If you can get used to these volatile moves and not panic in the face of fear which is nothing but an illusion, you will thrive in the years to come. These wild swings are just the beginning and most will mistake these swings for crashes.

I am also not getting excited in the excellent gains in last couple of days. I am more concerned about what to do next (not too concerned since I believe I have a plan knowing I can still get punched in the face). I like the idea of buying puts at the right time though on yhe way back down.

If the sell signal is strong enough besides moving into cash we will issue a few put plays

[harryg]

I like the idea of this too. I had some success lately with that. On Feb 14, one of my swing trading setups appeared and since we were thinking the NASDAQ was going to punch out a new low I looked to buy some puts on the TQQQ. I could not believe the premiums at that time. I felt they were way overpriced. I have been mucking about with these short ETFs lately and thought I would check out the SQQQ. Lo and behold the calls were very reasonable. Bought the Mar 45 at 1.65 on Feb 9. Got another signal on Mar 2 bought some more at 2.72. Mar 7 those SOBs flew up to 10.something. I could not get out up there quick enough but flew the coop at 8.85.

It sounds like I'm bragging here so I will stop. ( I'll be happy to tell you about the losers if you want) but my point is we should be considering these short ETFs also. It's anecdotal right now since I don't have any statistical analysis ready but I think I notice that often times when things heat up the more popular ETFs like TQQQ build in an extra premium compared to their counterparts. ie. SQQQ

UPRO<>SPXU
UDOW<>SDOW
UMDD<>SMDD
URTY<>SRTY

Just thoughts

Thanks for sharing your successful trade.

I've been looking at UCO/SCO recently with the same kind of thing in mind (ie: puts on UCO or calls on SCO), with the big difference that I haven’t done it yet.

Because of the way these leveraged ETFs work (exaggerating the daily move, not the cumulative move), you often have to be quick in & out. I imagine with the associated options, moves can be very rapid.