Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

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SOL
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Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by SOL »

Bullish sentiment is now at 20 based on latest data. The noise about rising yield is rubbish based on this chart.

Monthly chart of bonds

Image

while bonds could drop a bit more, they are now trading in the extremely oversold ranges and the lower bonds trend from here, the more robust the follow-up rally will be.

More importantly, the velocity of money is still at multi-decade lows.
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

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AstuteShift
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by AstuteShift »

Bonds are one of the most hated assets on the planet lol.

I love that asymmetric bet, the inflation narrative eroding the masses brain and not allow them to see the opportunity in front of them.
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stefk
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by stefk »

I never invested in bonds, what is the best manner to invest in bonds ?
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AstuteShift
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by AstuteShift »

stefk wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 7:29 pm I never invested in bonds, what is the best manner to invest in bonds ?
ETFs, there is different duration of bonds 10yr up to 30yr.

Essentially, if we believe rates will be near zero or less in the future, then buying TLT will be a killer move before the masses jump in

SOL is talking about the 30 year duration, so the ETF that covers this is TLT or the leverage version of this is TMF
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stefk
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by stefk »

OK thanks, I will see that;
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outof thebox
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by outof thebox »

I am waiting for a bit more of a pullback in TLT and then I will look at buying call options on TLT. The monthly chart looks superb
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Budge
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by Budge »

outof thebox wrote: Wed Jan 19, 2022 2:27 pm I am waiting for a bit more of a pullback in TLT and then I will look at buying call options on TLT. The monthly chart looks superb
My quarterly, monthly and daily say lower to go while weekly says it'll bounce (maybe to 153/154, enough to turn monthly..hmm).
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by harryg »

stefk wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 7:46 pm OK thanks, I will see that;
Stekf, you might find that as an EU resident, you will not be able to purchase US ETFs due to Mifid II regs :x
There are ways around it but somewhat inconvenient/complex.

Amusingly you can buy options on them, so if you want 100 you could exercise a call ;)

This site lists ETFs to which we humble mortals may be granted access according to country of residence. Often there are equivalents to the main US ones, but the equivalence is not always exact, so exercise due care: https://www.justetf.com
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stefk
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by stefk »

Thanks Harryg, yes indeed, my broker said me its impossible for him to purchase ETF.
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Jaz
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by Jaz »

SOL wrote: Tue Jan 18, 2022 3:42 pm Bullish sentiment is now at 20 based on latest data. The noise about rising yield is rubbish based on this chart.
What Bond Price or Index is this Chart?
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Re: Interim Market Update Jan 18, 2022

Post by Yodean »

Jaz wrote: Thu Jan 20, 2022 9:43 am What Bond Price or Index is this Chart?
It's TLT's chart. TLT is an U.S.S.A. long bond ETF.
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