Changing Lot Size

[SOL]

If the entire world starts talking about doing national lockdowns and "switching off the economy" in late April, then go ahead and sell everything before the early May bottom.

I never place complete faith in any single prediction, no matter who makes it - not even Jesus of Nazareth.

I see everything as existing in waves of probability, not certainty. So I am always invested as it appears we are still in a primary degree bull trend . . . it's just a matter of how much cash reserves to hold, and how much to allocate to high-risk assets vs. blue chips, etc.

I do think there will be a significant correction at some point this year, and it will represent a buying opportunity, but one must have a significant cash allocation to take full advantage. Nothing to do with fear. I had seven-figure USD realized gains in 2020 alone, and had several years in the last two decades or so when I lost significant six-figures, so I am no stranger to big swings in the markets.

My original question was whether you had any insight or unique way of estimating or guessing about the probability that we are approaching an intermediate top, that is all, since you mentioned you felt the crash happening in Feb. 2020.

One option to explore and this should only be done by those that have a decent stream of income would be to use margin if the market crashes suddenly. However, this is a nuclear option and should only be used by those that have the means to pay back the margin. One should never use margin if they don't have the means to eventually pay it back and I am not talking about paying it back from potential gains in the market, but paying it back from your natural stream of income or through selling certain assets or even taking out a second mortgage on a home you have a large amount of equity. Lastly, this strategy should only be attempted by disciplined Ninja traders with nerves of steel.

If all the above requirements are met, I have yet to see this strategy fail,

[Centeron631]

Yodean wrote something here re changing lot size that i think is good advice but not sure if it is situational : " Also, if there are old plays that are still within TI's entry points, you could fill those up to the new lot sizes. This way you avoid second-guessing yourself"

For myself i am underinvested because of early wave lot smaller size: in Tait (probably ai) Avt Benchmark Mj htlf and somewhat in TLT ranging from about -3% to +7.5% in market value and im wondering if there is any reason not to follow this advice on any of these, situationally? In addition way under invested in general as it seems all of a sudden only have about 43% of my money allocated actually invested. Thks