Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

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scott
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by scott »

I was fortunate to have an honest economics professor. He told us the only difference between the best and worst economist, is the reason they come up with why they were wrong. That was my last economics class.
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Yodean »

To be fair, my perspective is that if you combine herd psychology (trend analysis) with macro- and microeconomics, then you may have an edge. Mix in a bit of competent technical analysis and you are well on your way to being consistently successful at trading.

The following is a superficial example of how you may do this:

I will use SILO as the test stock in question (Silo Pharma, Inc. [OTCQB: SILO] is a developmental stage biopharmaceutical company focused on the use of psilocybin as a therapeutic agent):

(1) Herd Psychology (trend analysis) considerations:

-the dominant trend appears to be for major Western governments to increasingly legalize street drugs (e.g., cannabis in North America, Oregon's decriminalization of all drugs recently, Portugal); this likely will extend to psilocybin-based products given enough time;

-etc.

(2) Macroeconomics:

-psilocybin, when given in the right doses and in the right context, may have potentially significant therapeutic value in treating a wide range of mental health illnesses;

-more and more people are being diagnosed with an ever-expanding range of mental illnesses, and traditional poisons (errr, ahem, *cough* . . . meant to say, medications, like SSRIs, SNRIs, etc.) are expensive, often have serious long-term adverse side effects, and don't always work that well;

-psilocybin is still viewed by the sheeple (i.e. the general population) as a bit of a "Hippie" street drug that is bad for you, despite a lot of decent scientific evidence to the contrary, so if you buy now, you are likely really early, from a contrarian perspective, and likely to make a small fortune; this last point may also be placed under "Herd Psychology" above;

-etc.

(3) Microeconomics:

-under this section, you would analyze SILO's stock fundamentals, like EPS, P/E ratio, ROI, the CEO's resume, cash flow/balance, the managing team, blah, blah, blah;

-I find micros quite boring, so this is where a good investment advisor, like Sol, may be helpful, at helping you pick and analyze specific stocks;

-in any case, at least in the short to intermediate time frames (which is where swing-trading occurs, my dominant style of investing these days), #1 and #2 are much more important;


(4) Technical Analysis (TA):

-SILO is currently trading at $0.45, and has recently traded as high as $0.59;

-on the 1-month, intraday, 120 min. chart, it appears to have mostly corrected after a double-top cascading formation, and with both the RSI (relative strength index) and the Slow Stochastic % at reasonable levels, and the stock trading above both the 100- and 50-SMA, now may not be a bad time to start dollar-cost averaging into this stock;

-etc.

So, this is one way to combine herd psychology, macroeconomics, microeconomics, and technical analysis when deciding when and if to buy a particular stock. You also want to consider where the general equity indexes are - for example, SILO is something that I want to buy, but since I am concerned about the possibility of a significant correction in the U.S. equity markets between now and February 2021, I am going to wait. As you know, when the general equity markets correct significantly, most stocks, good or bad, also fall.

:mrgreen:
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Budge »

Peter Koenig summarises Robert Cialdini's book "Influence, the Power of Persuasion", showing how various methods of manipulation relate to the current "con-vid crisis":

https://www.globalresearch.ca/mass-mani ... ks/5736669
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Yodean »

Budge wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:08 pm Peter Koenig summarises Robert Cialdini's book "Influence, the Power of Persuasion", showing how various methods of manipulation relate to the current "con-vid crisis":

https://www.globalresearch.ca/mass-mani ... ks/5736669
Lol, Budge, but the essential problem is that the people who are most likely to want to read that book, already know, while those who most need to read it, never will.
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:27 pm
Budge wrote: Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:08 pm Peter Koenig summarises Robert Cialdini's book "Influence, the Power of Persuasion", showing how various methods of manipulation relate to the current "con-vid crisis":

https://www.globalresearch.ca/mass-mani ... ks/5736669
Lol, Budge, but the essential problem is that the people who are most likely to want to read that book, already know, while those who most need to read it, never will.
If you want to summarize the current situation it comes down to convenience over critical thinking. The masses have become so used to just in time, that they don't bother to even dig a bit. I am in the process of cutting 50% of family members off, meaning that I won't meet them more than once a year, for its pain for me and I will do the same to many associates that I assumed were smart but gave into fear. At this point, it is better to talk to a dog then most of them. At least, a dog is a man's best friend lol.
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Yodean »

SOL wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 3:27 pm If you want to summarize the current situation it comes down to convenience over critical thinking. The masses have become so used to just in time, that they don't bother to even dig a bit. I am in the process of cutting 50% of family members off, meaning that I won't meet them more than once a year, for its pain for me and I will do the same to many associates that I assumed were smart but gave into fear.
Yeh, I actually already did my own primary phase of "culling," as you mentioned, with large swaths of family and former colleagues and friends, starting in Q3 and Q4 of 2020, and the process is ongoing this year, lol.

Or I just interact with them on a superficial basis and only when absolutely necessary (usually to deal with a practical matter), and only discuss "neutral" topics.

In those situations, I pretend I am a secret agent, or a "wolf in sheep's clothing," and accordingly, I try to maintain "deep cover." Makes it more fun for me, as I turn it into a game.

For example, if asked why I haven't been vaxxed for cv19 by former friends and colleagues, I just say that it's a political stance - I refuse to get jabbed until all the poor people in third world countries, etc., who currently don't have access to vaccines, all get jabbed.

Or even better, since politicians have done such a fantastic job of protecting the public from this "invisible enemy," I want to "donate" my two allotted cv19 vax doses (plus the booster shots every five to eight months), to all the politicians globally who have yet to get jabbed.

Also, dealing with the herd gives me ample opportunities to practice "Self-Observation," and work on one of my serious weaknesses: keeping my pie hole firmly shut.

Indeed, silence is strength, just not my particular strength at the moment. Getting a bit better with practice. I suspect in the months and years to come, this will be an important quality to cultivate.

I have a lot of work to do.

:lol:
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Budge »

Yodean wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 3:51 pm
SOL wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 3:27 pm If you want to summarize the current situation it comes down to convenience over critical thinking. The masses have become so used to just in time, that they don't bother to even dig a bit. I am in the process of cutting 50% of family members off, meaning that I won't meet them more than once a year, for its pain for me and I will do the same to many associates that I assumed were smart but gave into fear.
Yeh, I actually already did my own primary phase of "culling," as you mentioned, with large swaths of family and former colleagues and friends, starting in Q3 and Q4 of 2020, and the process is ongoing this year, lol.
Have son who is an ER doc., told him to stop listening to the official blue pill brigade and try the red pill instead. Suggested he read:

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243448

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243442

They are both interesting. The title of the first one is so neutral it'll not offend anyone (much). What's wrong with "Here's why they Killed your Grandmother" s/
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Yodean »

Budge wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 4:29 pm Have son who is an ER doc., told him to stop listening to the official blue pill brigade and try the red pill instead. Suggested he read:

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243448

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243442
The second link is pretty good.

Open-minded healthcare professionals also tend to like this site:

https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-cov ... I5YapV1sX4

Very readable, and one may click on the highlighted phrases and see the original or primary research on which the statements are based, and thereby do her own due diligence.

The researcher(s) and/or writer(s) behind the site are very careful not to write in such a way that would get the site censored/banned.

To give credit where credit is due, fellow sub LANGDJ first brought the site to my attention well over a year ago. He was also the first person to my knowledge that used the metaphor that "Life is basically like a video game."

:mrgreen:
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

Post by Budge »

Yodean wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 5:09 pm
Budge wrote: Fri Sep 03, 2021 4:29 pm Have son who is an ER doc., told him to stop listening to the official blue pill brigade and try the red pill instead. Suggested he read:

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243448

https://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=243442
The second link is pretty good.

Open-minded healthcare professionals also tend to like this site:

https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-cov ... I5YapV1sX4

Very readable, and one may click on the highlighted phrases and see the original or primary research on which the statements are based, and thereby do her own due diligence.

The researcher(s) and/or writer(s) behind the site are very careful not to write in such a way that would get the site censored/banned.

To give credit where credit is due, fellow sub LANGDJ first brought the site to my attention well over a year ago. He was also the first person to my knowledge that used the analogy that "Life is really like a video game."

:mrgreen:
I agree about this site and have visited before. Do not remember where I got the original link. I like the careful approach but prefer smack 'em between the eyes with a 2 by 4! :lol: :lol:
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GPI

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"Japan’s Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga has announced he will resign at the end of September making this month indeed a political turning point worldwide in addition to Biden’s disastrous performance as president.

Suga has struggled to connect with the people and his inability to do so has been disastrous for the confidence in government. Public opinion has rejected his policies and the sentiment to scrap the Olympics in the face of the surge in Covid-19 cases, simply forced Suga to resign.

Mr. Suga, 72, assumed the prime ministership after Shinzo Abe, Japan’s longest-serving prime minister who resigned in August 2020 because of ill health."


One of those quiet Marie Antoinette moments? Pretty shocking to me - did not see this one coming. Thought maybe Macron was the most vulnerable. Trudeau here in Canada is having a lot of problems, in an election he is supposed to win easily.

@Sol: what's your Gnosis Panoptes Index showing these days?
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Re: GPI

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Tue Sep 07, 2021 1:51 am
@Sol: what's your Gnosis Panoptes Index showing these days?
Dangerously close to putting in a new high. However, this indicator has an intensity component to it and even if it does not trade to a new high, but the intensity of the signal is strong. It would indicate that something big is about to happen. So if both components move to new highs and the intensity is strong it would represent something significant;

Biden and Suga incidents do look like quiet Marie Antionette moments. Maybe Trudeau will get sidelined. He reminds me of a jackass with a tie
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Re: Crowd control via hysteria based events such as Covid, market crashes, etc

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Been very disappointed in many Christians who profess such a strong faith but have fallen into fear. Fear is the opposite to faith, we're told that love (knowing God's love) drives out fear, and if we do die then we go to Heaven, you would think so many believe they're going to Hell. :(
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The Last Battle

Post by Yodean »

bpcw wrote: Thu Sep 09, 2021 8:44 pm Been very disappointed in many Christians who profess such a strong faith but have fallen into fear. Fear is the opposite to faith, we're told that love (knowing God's love) drives out fear, and if we do die then we go to Heaven, you would think so many believe they're going to Hell. :(
For Christians as well as those of other traditional faiths, this decade will be one of increasing Testing. Some will do really well and become stronger and deeper in their faith and understanding of Divine Truth, while others will fall by the wayside.

The superficial pretenders will be quickly broken and cast aside.

The 8/9 vs. 1/9 fractal pattern will still hold true in all the various religious denominations.
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Re: The Last Battle

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Yodean wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 3:19 am
bpcw wrote: Thu Sep 09, 2021 8:44 pm Been very disappointed in many Christians who profess such a strong faith but have fallen into fear. Fear is the opposite to faith, we're told that love (knowing God's love) drives out fear, and if we do die then we go to Heaven, you would think so many believe they're going to Hell. :(
For Christians as well as those of other traditional faiths, this decade will be one of increasing Testing. Some will do really well and become stronger and deeper in their faith and understanding of Divine Truth, while others will fall by the wayside.

The superficial pretenders will be quickly broken and cast aside.

The 8/9 vs. 1/9 fractal pattern will still hold true in all the various religious denominations.
Agreed with all of this, great tests and great shaking!

Do tell more re fractal pattern in this context?
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Re: The Last Battle

Post by Yodean »

bpcw wrote: Fri Sep 10, 2021 4:43 pm Do tell more re fractal pattern in this context?
From my personal experience, in any group, nation, etc. that unites under any sort of common banner or interest, religious or otherwise, roughly 8/9 readily accept the mainstream narratives/mythology spoon-fed to them by their predecessors, while 1/9 have the potential (often unrealized) to see through those programmed, accepted narratives and perhaps arrive at something more creative or unique.

Roughly, it's a working thesis . . . :lol:
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