Alternative Investments

[xkosmox]

Hello everyone; just wanted to find out what kinds of alternative investments everyone is invested into, outside of TI that is still pretty worthwhile.

I'll start:
1) https://www.hwgg.com.my/exclusive-travel-membership/ (T&C: https://www.hwgg.com.my/terms-conditions/)
Recommended by a trusted business friend.
Minimum of 8,000 USD for a guaranteed 12% returns per year; up to 32,000 USD for a guaranteed 14.4% returns per year.
Have been in this for a few years.

2) https://reitscreener.com/
For anyone that's into REITs (Real Estate Investment Trust stocks); this is a great tool for picking REITs and determining suitable periods to buy or sell

3) For cryptocurrencies: Currently have a paid lifetime subscription to https://twitter.com/davthewave (Over at https://twitter.com/davthewavealts)
Very strong in technical analysis and having a open steady mind; has been pretty profitable so far for short and mid-term trades of minor cryptocurrencies.
He advocates for a very steady position trade of bitcoin first; which supports major position trades of major currencies like Ethereum...which in turns supports the shorter term swing trades of many minor currencies.

Happy to hear your thoughts or to find out what everyone's into as well.

[AstuteShift]

I listen sometimes to Nadeem Walayat at market oracle

Free articles and into the AI super trend

Interesting perspective

[Cinnamon]

I listen sometimes to Nadeem Walayat at market oracle

Free articles and into the AI super trend

Interesting perspective

How would you rate Nadeem against SOL. I also visit Market oracle from time to time, but I remember him getting it wrong twice. Once when he shorted around the time Trump won and I forget the other time.

[bpcw]

I listen sometimes to Nadeem Walayat at market oracle

Free articles and into the AI super trend

Interesting perspective

Very interesting, I also follow Nadeem, he has just gone very bearish and warning of a crash round the corner, I sent Sol the article so maybe a good time for him to chime in. Note: he was very wrong in 2016 just after Trump was voted in, also predicting a crash/big correction that never materialised!

[bpcw]

I listen sometimes to Nadeem Walayat at market oracle

Free articles and into the AI super trend

Interesting perspective

How would you rate Nadeem against SOL. I also visit Market oracle from time to time, but I remember him getting it wrong twice. Once when he shorted around the time Trump won and I forget the other time.

I rate Nadeem pretty high but he has tried to become a "jack of all trades" with election predictions etc., and I think somewhat arrogant, not admitting mistakes that he has clearly made. Sol has a humility that I don't see in Nadeem, this I think is very important. Nadeem doesn't appear to use MP gauges which I think puts him at a massive disadvantage.

[AstuteShift]

I listen sometimes to Nadeem Walayat at market oracle

Free articles and into the AI super trend

Interesting perspective

How would you rate Nadeem against SOL. I also visit Market oracle from time to time, but I remember him getting it wrong twice. Once when he shorted around the time Trump won and I forget the other time.

He is good however I ignore anything about shorting the market since it just increases stress

Crashes are just buying opportunities and SOL is the one who drills that day in and out, made investing more simple instead of complicated

SOL in general is like a Mt Rushmore type of investor, one of a kind I’d say

[SOL]

I listen sometimes to Nadeem Walayat at market oracle

Free articles and into the AI super trend

Interesting perspective

Very interesting, I also follow Nadeem, he has just gone very bearish and warning of a crash round the corner, I sent Sol the article so maybe a good time for him to chime in. Note: he was very wrong in 2016 just after Trump was voted in, also predicting a crash/big correction that never materialised!

I am going to discuss this issue in general terms. I don’t like talking about other analysts unless they are going out of their way to act like morons.

In general, no matter how good one is, if one starts to let emotions enter into the equation, especially over topics unrelated to finance, one is asking for trouble. If we ever take that route, you would be wise to be on guard. I also think it is not a good idea if someone has a following to start injecting politics and geopolitics into the equation. When Trump lost, we made no comments, for we have subscribers that are Pro-Trump and subscribers that don’t like him and supported Biden. We want all our subscribers to feel comfortable talking to us about any topic. So we avoid taking personal stances on issues like Politics, religion, etc. And if we comment, our comments are usually balanced and without favouring a specific party or a specific individual. Once emotions get into the equation by default, one’s analysis is going to start getting corrupted as faulty data is going to enter into the equation.

This market is insane, and the participants are even more insane. The idea of meme stocks soaring in value would have been absurd before COVID. And now it’s not a big deal; experts are writing articles on how one can play the meme stock trend. There is no logic there; it’s based on pure madness, and these experts are trying to find a trend.

So what we have is something out of the norm here, and we spoke of this during the early stages of the COVID mania.

Let me put it this way it is getting tough to determine when a market is going to crash with any degree of certainty. Before Covid one could determine topping action with an accuracy of up to 80%. Today one would be lucky if one could hit the 60% mark in terms of accuracy. However, if you combine Mass Psychology, then what you can determine is when things seem odd. During those time which may or may not correspond to a market top, one should be prudent. Because if the market does not crash, specific sectors will and when several sectors crash while the market trend sideways or upwards, this is known as a silent crash.

While the bullish sentiment is surging, it has not touched the 54% mark even once, and when it gets close to the 50% mark, it pulls back quickly. So we have a lot of uncertainty. Additionally, the Utilities are stating that the trend is up for the Dow. Hence any pullback, regardless of its intensity, should be short-lived.
Examing the Dow 30 stocks, we find that almost 18 are either trading in the oversold or neutral ranges. This is not what one would expect from a highly overbought market. Furthermore, stocks like NVDA, AMZN, AAPL, etc. have traded in the insanely overbought ranges for months on end and continue to trend higher. Hence there is nothing that suggests that the markets which are currently in the overbought ranges could not continue trending upwards until they trade in the insanely overbought ranges for weeks on months on end

From a psychological basis, there is not enough data to support a massive correction. In fact, the correction might be muted unless bullish Sentiment readings surge well past 55 and remain above 50 for at least 3 weeks in a row. Our anxiety gauge should move at the very least to the border of the moderate/mild zone.
Could we have a strong correction? It is possible, but the psychological markers are still missing. And if the market pullbacks strongly, then we are going to back the truck up. I don’t see why we should focus on the fear factor when the opportunity factor is enormous.

Lastly, anyone claiming to have a lot of prior experience with bear and bull markets should stop drinking from the cool-aid fountain. Experience means JackS**T now, for this is the market of madness. The tools that worked before are mostly useless going forward. We never had to deal with such an aggressive Fed, and we did not have this many morons trading in the markets. All these factors change the dynamics significantly. So much so that I suspect before this bull market ends, most of yesterday’s tools (be it technical, fundamental or a combo of both) will cease to function. You will see early warning signs of this as expert after expert who relies on TA only misses the mark by a mile and keeps quiet about these transgressions.

Okay that was a mouthful and I am tired of typing so time to stop

[bpcw]

Totally understand not commenting on Nadeem specifically, my concern was that people on this forum would go and check him out after the recommendation to find his latest articles predicting a crash and would become fearful, this response from you will hopefully bring calm to anyone that does.

Altogether an excellent response Sol and I think is very timely!

[AstuteShift]

Totally understand not commenting on Nadeem specifically, my concern was that people on this forum would go and check him out after the recommendation to find his latest articles predicting a crash and would become fearful, this response from you will hopefully bring calm to anyone that does.

Altogether an excellent response Sol and I think is very timely!

The covid crash gains speak for themselves

Newbies should really read Aesop fables and Charles Mackey, fear is just the opposite of greed, while one should strive for peace, observer role

[Yodean]

Very interesting, I also follow Nadeem . . .

Lol, I have long suspected you were "Tom" on the 'Deem's Patron board - same polite, measured, well-researched, writing style as here. Must be a U.K. thing, I suspect?

As you probably know, on that board, I've been debating/harassing/challenging some of the 'Deem's predictions, pretty much on a daily basis. He's gotten too emotional, and imo hasn't been quite the same since he received his jabs (okay, I'm reaching a bit here . . . just sayin' ). Still, the 'Deem is pretty awesome at picking specific stocks, just like Sensei Sol.

It's all good, to consider different ideas, angles of observation, etc.

[bpcw]

Very interesting, I also follow Nadeem . . .

Lol, I have long suspected you were "Tom" on the 'Deem's Patron board - same polite, measured, well-researched, writing style as here. Must be a U.K. thing, I suspect?

As you probably know, on that board, I've been debating/harassing/challenging some of the 'Deem's predictions, pretty much on a daily basis. He's gotten too emotional, and imo hasn't been quite the same since he received his jabs (okay, I'm reaching a bit here . . . just sayin' ). Still, the 'Deem is pretty awesome at picking specific stocks, just like Sensei Sol.

It's all good, to consider different ideas, angles of observation, etc.

Not me I'm afraid, hardly ever go on Nadeem's forum, pretty much have stuck to following Sol and the great contribution from others on his forums.

[AstuteShift]

Very interesting, I also follow Nadeem . . .

Lol, I have long suspected you were "Tom" on the 'Deem's Patron board - same polite, measured, well-researched, writing style as here. Must be a U.K. thing, I suspect?

As you probably know, on that board, I've been debating/harassing/challenging some of the 'Deem's predictions, pretty much on a daily basis. He's gotten too emotional, and imo hasn't been quite the same since he received his jabs (okay, I'm reaching a bit here . . . just sayin' ). Still, the 'Deem is pretty awesome at picking specific stocks, just like Sensei Sol.

It's all good, to consider different ideas, angles of observation, etc.

Not me I'm afraid, hardly ever go on Nadeem's forum, pretty much have stuck to following Sol and the great contribution from others on his forums.

Honestly this is the only forum I go, indeed it’s great

[Budge]

Lol, I have long suspected you were "Tom" on the 'Deem's Patron board - same polite, measured, well-researched, writing style as here. Must be a U.K. thing, I suspect?

As you probably know, on that board, I've been debating/harassing/challenging some of the 'Deem's predictions, pretty much on a daily basis. He's gotten too emotional, and imo hasn't been quite the same since he received his jabs (okay, I'm reaching a bit here . . . just sayin' ). Still, the 'Deem is pretty awesome at picking specific stocks, just like Sensei Sol.

It's all good, to consider different ideas, angles of observation, etc.

Not me I'm afraid, hardly ever go on Nadeem's forum, pretty much have stuck to following Sol and the great contribution from others on his forums.

Honestly this is the only forum I go, indeed it’s great

Ditto, Astute.

[Yodean]

How would you rate Nadeem against SOL. I also visit Market oracle from time to time, but I remember him getting it wrong twice. Once when he shorted around the time Trump won and I forget the other time.

Apples vs. oranges. Much to learn from both, there is. Luke needed to train under both Obi-Wan Kenobi and Yoda.

The T.I. Methodology and materials are deeper, more nuanced, and encompass more levels and perspectives beyond the financial. You do need to spend more quality time with the materials, if you are to truly benefit. You also need more time to look at specific plays, monitor entry and exit points, etc.

The advice in the 'Deem's articles are easier to implement and lower risk, overall, and arguably more suitable for new investors/traders, or part-time investors who have another busy full-time job and don't have as much time to dedicate to investing/trading. Access to his articles and board are available for only $3/month, so there's that.

In terms of forums, overall, the level of the discussions here at the T.I. boards is much more advanced than the 'Deem board. However, the 'Deem board has >1,200 members and the comments, etc. there serve as great sentiment indicators. One can witness horde psychology operating in real time.

Pretty much of all the financial advisors I have followed, only the 'Deem and Sifu Sol recommended buying aggressively during March '20. Everyone else to my knowledge was basically running for the hills and hiding in cash at that time. Luckily for me, I took the 'Deem's and Sensei Sol's advice in March '20 . . . so, for me at least, it's not a "one or the other," it's "both."

[AstuteShift]

The information here not only made me a better investor but also a better person, you learn about yourself and start to finally take control of your life

That is priceless information, especially nowadays in gestapo state of affairs