have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

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Yodean
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Yodean »

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The trend is your friend, or at least a frenemy ...
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Centeron631 »

Short interview here with a dude hi up in Blackrock re huge flow of $ into fixed income with hi volatility ( i recieved this to my email because Dan is a family member) - any one investing in Blackrock Ishares Income ETF ? (also mentions the TLT Muni's etc.

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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Budge »

Centeron631 wrote: Wed Feb 15, 2023 5:14 am Short interview here with a dude hi up in Blackrock re huge flow of $ into fixed income with hi volatility ( i recieved this to my email because Dan is a family member) - any one investing in Blackrock Ishares Income ETF ? (also mentions the TLT Muni's etc.

https://www.linkedin.com/posts/icemarke ... 46240-gb5P
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by chippermon »

It looks like our friend Yodean has been very busy lately.

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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

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chippermon wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:06 pm It looks like our friend Yodean has been very busy lately.
That's a pretty good one, SlickChip - it's all fun and games until the margin calls start coming ...

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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by chippermon »

Yodean wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:46 pm
chippermon wrote: Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:06 pm It looks like our friend Yodean has been very busy lately.
That's a pretty good one, SlickChip - it's all fun and games until the margin calls start coming ...

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HA!

Yeah, but I'm guessing you already have a plan in place to avoid that. Great work. ;)
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Old Text

Post by Yodean »

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@BossJedi: came across that bit of old text - i know you tend to like high quality, old and often esoteric works - and that bit of cycle analysis from 1872 is surprisingly accurate to now ...
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Re: Old Text

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 8:01 pm Image

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@BossJedi: came across that bit of old text - i know you tend to like high quality, old and often esoteric works - and that bit of cycle analysis from 1872 is surprisingly accurate to now ...
Thanks for posting that info. I will take a look at it closely. You are right, I tend to find this old stuff interesting as you pointed out, sometimes, the stuff packs solid data, at other times it is just well nonsense (or Solid S) but there is still something intriguing about looking at something old and from a different era

O
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Re: Old Text

Post by harryg »

Yodean wrote: Thu Feb 23, 2023 8:01 pm Image

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@BossJedi: came across that bit of old text - i know you tend to like high quality, old and often esoteric works - and that bit of cycle analysis from 1872 is surprisingly accurate to now ...
Very interesting.
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by SOL »

@yodean You might find the bradleysideograph to be interesting. I used to have a site that looked into this tool but it looks like they went out of business. While looking for it I stumbled upon this site, which appears to be interesting, novel and well TTH will definitely label it as horse S**T as it dabbles with astrology lol

https://www.cosmoeconomics.com/EZ/ice/i ... 00328nvdb0
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by Yodean »

SOL wrote: Fri Feb 24, 2023 9:29 am @yodean You might find the bradleysideograph to be interesting. I used to have a site that looked into this tool but it looks like they went out of business. While looking for it I stumbled upon this site, which appears to be interesting, novel and well TTH will definitely label it as horse S**T as it dabbles with astrology lol

https://www.cosmoeconomics.com/EZ/ice/i ... 00328nvdb0
Thanks, will have a look over the weekend. I'm fairly comfortable analyzing both linear logic-based data as well as the more unusual perspectives.

Often esoteric stuff can be surprisingly accurate - although I made fun of the Shmita cycle (7-year Jewish) last year, and certainly didn't trade based on it, if you look back - '22, '15, '08, '01, etc. were all mostly during Shmita years.

Not perfect, but one would have, on balance, done much better by simply going into mostly cash during the Shmita years.

Next one is in '29, from what I remember.

:?:
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POWS

Post by Yodean »

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Prophets of Wall Street ... think the Asian dude may turn out closest to being right ... :lol:

I'll stick with a conservative guess of S&P hitting 4300+ sometime this year ... after that, will start praying to the Divine regarding being able to detect the JSS if and when it arrives ...

:lol:
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Re: POWS

Post by jonnyfrank »

Yodean wrote: Wed Mar 01, 2023 8:48 pm Image

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Prophets of Wall Street ... think the Asian dude may turn out closest to being right ... :lol:

I'll stick with a conservative guess of S&P hitting 4300+ sometime this year ... after that, will start praying to the Divine regarding being able to detect the JSS if and when it arrives ...

:lol:
I think that might be Tommy Lee from Motley Crue. He is a "swinging dick" in one sense of the term, so who knows?
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Re: have there ever been crashes that don't crescendo?

Post by deep1nSand »

Looks like Utilities sector is bottoming again near the October lows. May be ready for a bounce again.
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Re: POWS

Post by Yodean »

jonnyfrank wrote: Thu Mar 02, 2023 4:10 pm I think that might be Tommy Lee from Motley Crue. He is a "swinging dick" in one sense of the term, so who knows?
Yep, Tom Lee is pretty much a perma-bull, so I don't take his opinions too seriously. With that said, it's still refreshing to hear his insights given all the bearish financial pundits on MSM these days.
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