Market Timing

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harryg
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Market Timing

Post by harryg »

I've alluded to this before, I think it's vital to truly understand it to do well in the stockmarket.

Furthermore, just like long-term charts of the indices, it can serve as a reminder not to panic unduly.

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SOL
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Re: Market Timing

Post by SOL »

@harryg

Very pertinent information and very timely at that.
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
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Focus on this post during difficult time

Post by SOL »

harryg wrote: Tue Apr 05, 2022 7:30 am I've alluded to this before, I think it's vital to truly understand it to do well in the stockmarket.

Furthermore, just like long-term charts of the indices, it can serve as a reminder not to panic unduly.

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The table in this post from Harry should be viewed during stock market corrections or posted in a place where you can glance every now and then. It clearly illustrates the problems associated with focussing on the tree and forgetting the forest
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

The end is always near; its the beginning and how you live each moment that counts the most
phsmith1616
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Re: Market Timing

Post by phsmith1616 »

harryg wrote: Tue Apr 05, 2022 7:30 am I've alluded to this before, I think it's vital to truly understand it to do well in the stockmarket.

Furthermore, just like long-term charts of the indices, it can serve as a reminder not to panic unduly.

Image
This chart(or something like it) is what changed my way of thinking years ago. I have 20+ years before I even think of retiring and therefore I really feel time is on my side. SOL and team have given me an incredible confidence that I'm in the right stocks, so all this noise and volatility have no affect on me. I accumulate stocks when the opportunity arises, only with money I don't "need", and focus on trying to create different income streams to raise more money to invest.

Thanks for posting this.
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Yodean
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Re: Market Timing

Post by Yodean »

https://youtu.be/uni_Ck5yf-A?t=13

*****

If one is interested in pure swing-trading positions (i.e. not options, not HODLing, etc.), the above video may be of some interest.

Long video, but can be listened at 1.5x easily. Lots of interesting info and good tips that echo the TIT philosophy in many respects, including: deploying in multiple lots, using Horde Psychology to your advantage, the importance of discipline, how computer algos manipulate retail traders' perception of technical levels, self-observation of one's emotions, limiting downside risk, the power of simplicity in technical analyses ... the list goes on.
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AstuteShift
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Re: Market Timing

Post by AstuteShift »

A lot of it also comes down to actually observing the market and developing that feel also.

Then comes the sentiment, the capital flows, the way wallstreet operates with its tactics and how the public is led to slaughter

Another is constantly fine tuning tools, TA has to be adjusted and also models always get broken.

The biggest hurdle I see people get into is having poor judgement and having too much noise in one’s life

If your life is one big drama fest, have a crappy marriage, divorce or whatever then you will lose. You lose even faster listening to the mainstream media or any media for that matter that doesn’t offer edge or critical insight

This is why 98% now will lose, likely 99% soon. I’m looking forward to the bloodshed
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The Case Against Marriage

Post by Yodean »

AstuteShift wrote: Fri Aug 05, 2022 4:07 pm If your life is one big drama fest, have a crappy marriage, divorce or whatever then you will lose.
Six minutes, somewhat funny - about marriage in and out of the markets. I found it mildly insightful, as well.

https://youtu.be/iHB4QeFjYXo?t=1
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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harryg
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Re: The Case Against Marriage

Post by harryg »

Yodean wrote: Sun Sep 18, 2022 6:25 pm Six minutes, somewhat funny - about marriage in and out of the markets. I found it mildly insightful, as well.
"You can always find evidence to prove your point".

Good clip, sticking to an idea even when proven to be incorrect is more about ego (wanting to be right), than about wanting to make money. Important distinction.
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Re: Market Timing

Post by Do-or-Die »

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Yodean
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Re: The Case Against Marriage

Post by Yodean »

harryg wrote: Tue Sep 20, 2022 8:08 am ... sticking to an idea even when proven to be incorrect is more about ego (wanting to be right), than about wanting to make money.
Yeh, adopted a new practice fairly recently: I look in the mirror and ask myself, "would I rather be right, or would I rather be more profitable?"

Often the two are at odds with one another. Sometimes I substitute "happy" for "profitable." Or "ninjedi-like."

:lol:
Buy Fear, Sell Euphoria. The Neonatal Calf undergoes an agonizing birthing, while the Bear falls into hibernation.
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