Fills

[Yodean]

I grabbed my WMT call profit last week for that reason, even though as you say it isn't as large as we would normally like to see for the higher risk we took. I'm suspending new options trading for the most part.

Lol, my 2nd favourite Human Sentiment Indicator (HSI) on this board came through again.

Just sold WMT 06/23-130c, bought very recently at 15.162, for 19.65. Don't do APR too much, but I think it's pretty high.

Once you find a superninja HSI, you don't wanna ever let it go ...

So, YoungAnakin, where do you think the equity markets are heading, from here?

[Budge]

So, YoungAnakin, where do you think the equity markets are heading, from here?

Don't know about YA, but Armstrong is warning about Sept crash

[MarkD]

ADX with DI+/- is useful as it uses highs and lows and not MAs. Joe Rabil has done vids on stockcharts.com using ADX and MACD.

[SOL]

something else to consider is indicators that used standard deviations. plus or minus three standard deviations usually represent long term opportunity when validated by other indicators and data

[AstuteShift]

Meme stocks today was fabulous

The ultimate indicator is Jim Cramer, telling the masses to be scared of short sellers

The very next day BBBY now up 75 percent. Big gains, life is good with this type of action

[SOL]

Meme stocks today was fabulous

The ultimate indicator is Jim Cramer, telling the masses to be scared of short sellers

The very next day BBBY now up 75 percent. Big gains, life is good with this type of action

did you get into BBBY?

Cramer is one of the top contrarian indicators. Overall we still expect the markets to rally until at least Sept.

[SOL]

Meme stocks today was fabulous

The ultimate indicator is Jim Cramer, telling the masses to be scared of short sellers

The very next day BBBY now up 75 percent. Big gains, life is good with this type of action

did you get into BBBY?

Cramer is one of the top contrarian indicators. Overall we still expect the markets to rally until at least Sept.

[AstuteShift]

Meme stocks today was fabulous

The ultimate indicator is Jim Cramer, telling the masses to be scared of short sellers

The very next day BBBY now up 75 percent. Big gains, life is good with this type of action

did you get into BBBY?

Cramer is one of the top contrarian indicators. Overall we still expect the markets to rally until at least Sept.

I got around 12 bucks, there was a ton of short interest and chatter, especially Twitter

I use Twitter as an indicator, tons of bears still so this market will likely keep going higher

[Yodean]

Don't know about YA, but Armstrong is warning about Sept crash

Yeh, as you know, I read Armstrong as well - more for his entertaining political views and Socrates' capital flow model, than his actual market predictions.

However, if you go through a record of his actual stock market predictions, they are pretty hit and miss. I suspect despite his vast experience in the markets, his strong views politically sometimes interfere with the objective interpretation of the data that Socrates provides him.

Can the markets crash in September? Sure. But they can also crash tomorrow. Or in 2023. Or later. Or not crash.

Or go up a lot, then go down by 10%, then go up 33%, then crash. And so forth.

Dark Swans are flying around, as well as Light Swans.

Future's unknowable - one will never profit by following a prophet.

[outof thebox]

Don't know about YA, but Armstrong is warning about Sept crash

Yeh, as you know, I read Armstrong as well - more for his entertaining political views and Socrates' capital flow model, than his actual market predictions.

However, if you go through a record of his actual stock market predictions, they are pretty hit and miss. I suspect despite his vast experience in the markets, his strong views politically sometimes interfere with the objective interpretation of the data that Socrates provides him.

Can the markets crash in September? Sure. But they can also crash tomorrow. Or in 2023. Or later. Or not crash.

Or go up a lot, then go down by 10%, then go up 33%, then crash. And so forth.

Dark Swans are flying around, as well as Light Swans.

Future's unknowable - one will never profit by following a prophet.

Well SOL and team don't call themselves prophets, hell, he does not even want to be called an expert so you might be right in terms of individuals that choose to use that title. But his predictions both in and out of the markets are pretty nigh amazing. Not to mention is vast knowledge of natural substances that can help like Mumio, Hydrogen peroxide, MB, etc

I made a small fortune on his bullish call on the dollar and very quick bucks on his Palladium call. You had to be nimble with the Palladium call. it was almost an in and out trade

[Yodean]

Well SOL and team don't call themselves prophets, hell, he does not even want to be called an expert so you might be right in terms of individuals that choose to use that title. But his predictions both in and out of the markets are pretty nigh amazing. Not to mention is vast knowledge of natural substances that can help like Mumio, Hydrogen peroxide, MB, etc

I made a small fortune on his bullish call on the dollar and very quick bucks on his Palladium call. You had to be nimble with the Palladium call. it was almost an in and out trade

All true. Also, if you make enough predictions, a portion will come true. If you manage to guess which portion that is, you will profit immensely.

On the other hand, the elephant in the room remains that the TIT's sentiment indicators weren't able to predict a >33% drop in the Nasdaq100 within an approximate 6-month period (e.g. January to June).

As an independent thinker, one must consider as many angles of perception as possible.

[outof thebox]

Well SOL and team don't call themselves prophets, hell, he does not even want to be called an expert so you might be right in terms of individuals that choose to use that title. But his predictions both in and out of the markets are pretty nigh amazing. Not to mention is vast knowledge of natural substances that can help like Mumio, Hydrogen peroxide, MB, etc

I made a small fortune on his bullish call on the dollar and very quick bucks on his Palladium call. You had to be nimble with the Palladium call. it was almost an in and out trade

All true. Also, if you make enough predictions, a portion will come true. If you manage to guess which portion that is, you will profit immensely.

On the other hand, the elephant in the room remains that the TIT's sentiment indicators weren't able to predict a >33% drop in the Nasdaq100 within an approximate 6-month period (e.g. January to June).

As an independent thinker, one must consider as many angles of perception as possible.

Actually he warned of a pullback, and if subscribers followed his suggestions of finding a profit target and sticking with it for at least half their positions they would be better off. He constantly stated that the markets would let out steam in 2022. One cannot expect him to tell everyone when to get out. It is asking way too much. No one could have predicted the sanctions against Russia which in my opinion is what made things worse, otherwise the correction would have been minor. However, I still stick with my call, that you should judge when to bail out especially when TI is warning you in advance of a correction. His prediction that the markets would correct months in advance is remarkable. I listened took some profits, not as much as I should have but the onus is on me. Those expecting all the work to be done for them should be willing to pay over 10K a year, well that's my worthless 1 cent worth of thoughts

[DrSven]

Well SOL and team don't call themselves prophets, hell, he does not even want to be called an expert so you might be right in terms of individuals that choose to use that title. But his predictions both in and out of the markets are pretty nigh amazing. Not to mention is vast knowledge of natural substances that can help like Mumio, Hydrogen peroxide, MB, etc

I made a small fortune on his bullish call on the dollar and very quick bucks on his Palladium call. You had to be nimble with the Palladium call. it was almost an in and out trade

All true. Also, if you make enough predictions, a portion will come true. If you manage to guess which portion that is, you will profit immensely.

On the other hand, the elephant in the room remains that the TIT's sentiment indicators weren't able to predict a >33% drop in the Nasdaq100 within an approximate 6-month period (e.g. January to June).

As an independent thinker, one must consider as many angles of perception as possible.

Actually he warned of a pullback, and if subscribers followed his suggestions of finding a profit target and sticking with it for at least half their positions they would be better off. He constantly stated that the markets would let out steam in 2022. One cannot expect him to tell everyone when to get out. It is asking way too much. No one could have predicted the sanctions against Russia which in my opinion is what made things worse, otherwise the correction would have been minor. However, I still stick with my call, that you should judge when to bail out especially when TI is warning you in advance of a correction. His prediction that the markets would correct months in advance is remarkable. I listened took some profits, not as much as I should have but the onus is on me. Those expecting all the work to be done for them should be willing to pay over 10K a year, well that's my worthless 1 cent worth of thoughts

Same opinion here. TI expected a smaller correction in beginning 2022 followed by a bigger one later. Hard to say if the small and big one combine, or if the small just was bigger than expected and will be followed by even bigger correction which we now expect Q4.
However, not at all a bad call given that future cannot be predicted. At least, imo.

[outof thebox]

All true. Also, if you make enough predictions, a portion will come true. If you manage to guess which portion that is, you will profit immensely.

On the other hand, the elephant in the room remains that the TIT's sentiment indicators weren't able to predict a >33% drop in the Nasdaq100 within an approximate 6-month period (e.g. January to June).

As an independent thinker, one must consider as many angles of perception as possible.

Actually he warned of a pullback, and if subscribers followed his suggestions of finding a profit target and sticking with it for at least half their positions they would be better off. He constantly stated that the markets would let out steam in 2022. One cannot expect him to tell everyone when to get out. It is asking way too much. No one could have predicted the sanctions against Russia which in my opinion is what made things worse, otherwise the correction would have been minor. However, I still stick with my call, that you should judge when to bail out especially when TI is warning you in advance of a correction. His prediction that the markets would correct months in advance is remarkable. I listened took some profits, not as much as I should have but the onus is on me. Those expecting all the work to be done for them should be willing to pay over 10K a year, well that's my worthless 1 cent worth of thoughts

Same opinion here. TI expected a smaller correction in beginning 2022 followed by a bigger one later. Hard to say if the small and big one combine, or if the small just was bigger than expected and will be followed by even bigger correction which we now expect Q4.
However, not at all a bad call given that future cannot be predicted. At least, imo.

Precisely. Would I have liked Sol to have given more details blah blah, Yes I would but that would be expecting too much. As for which correction is bigger the one we went through or the one that is yet to come time will tell. But I am also a firm believer that if you own the right stocks then correction or not most of your stocks will be winners in the long run. When i speculate its usually over short periods. Speculation should not turn into a long term strategy, when that happens pain is a coming

I have sold roughly 40% of holdings will continue to lighten up as we get closer to October. I also always keep 10-15 percent in cash for good plays. If the monthly charts are overbought I slowly move that ratio to 30 percent.

[MarkD]

Trust me. Those paying $10k (or more) were told to ride out the correction and it provided no advantage.

On another note, I fully embraced the TIT philosophy. I earned significant alpha in 20-21 even though I was not fully
invested at the March 2020 bottom. In my prior experience I would have noted and taken profits in November and December of 21. My bad. I now see the benefit of merging TIT with some of my former TA/sentiment and will do more to protect against downside in the future by reducing exposure to equities when my experience and indicators say things are pretty hot. I am used to trading MFs and ETFs in this manner but decided I needed to leave it all alone this first time around.

I did not begin to take buy and sell signals on individual securities until late June 20, so have yet to determine profit/loss over a full cycle. I will withhold judgement until there's a full cycle to assess, likely a few years away.

The primary observation is that TIT was definitely better in the Covid up cycle, likely neutral to slightly negative down cycle. I am doing fine tbh. Still see great value or would move on.