LONG TERM TARGETS ON GOLD
by Sol Palha
August 28, 2006
Take a chance! All
life is a chance. The man who goes the furthest is generally
the one who is willing to do and dare. The “sure thing” boat
never gets far from shore.
Dale Carnegie
1888-1955, American Author, Trainer

The 450
zone provided an incredible amount of resistance and now
that it has been overcome the very long term picture looks
rather interesting for gold. Usually a break out such as
this results in a test of the resistance zone however due to
the current geopolitical situation this might not occur.
However if the current geopolitical situation had to change
even temporarily Gold would most likely pull back very fast
to test the 450 ranges; gold would then become a screaming
buy. Please don’t sit there holding your breadth for the
above situation to unfold; should Gold drop to this level
just look at it as a huge free bonus and load up.
Targets
Please
do not let these targets activate the greed demon within;
simply running out there and dumping all your money into
Gold is not a wise thing. In fact no matter how good the
investment looks one should never put all their eggs in one
basket. History so eloquently illustrates that those who
fail to observe this simple rule usually end up with empty
pockets. One last thing, remember these are very long term
targets; hence do not expect them to be hit over night.
Next
zone Major of resistance is 720 (there are other zones in
between but we are looking at the very long term picture
right now); a break past this should take gold all the way
to the 830-870 ranges.
2nd
target will be a test of the old highs followed by a pretty
rapid pull back then some sideways action; Gold will then be
ready to test the 1200 zone.
Extreme
target for now is 1800 dollars.
Conclusion
While
Gold is not at the ideal entry point, such points do not
occur often; one such time was during the 2002- early 2003
period. In light of this it would make sense to start
nibbling at Gold now for those who have no positions with
the intention of adding to these positions if Gold should
correct further. Another major reason we are actually
advocating the purchase of bullion after being neutral on it
for so long (we were pounding the table on Gold from
2002-2003) is that has entered the minimum oversold ranges
of several our indicators. Last year Palladium looked more
interesting then gold and that’s where we advised our
subscribers to invest their money; it turned out to be the
best performing precious metal in that time frame. We simply
let our indicators examine the entire commodity sector and
look for the best risk to reward investment. One must
remember that is a commodities bull and not just a precious
metal bull. From Late 2003- to 2005 oil (black gold) was the
best place to invest.
Remember that as each target is hit there are going to be
some rather hard and rapid corrections; the ride up is not
going to be one sweet journey. It if was everyone would
simply sell everything they have and just buy Precious
Metals. Nothing good ever comes easy and if it does it’s
usually not worth it. Our next article will take a look at
Silver the poor men’s gold.
It is easy to be
brave when far away from danger.
Aesop
620-560 BC, Greek Fabulist |