anyone elses portfolio super down?

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hooligan
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by hooligan »

Yodean wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 12:40 pm I make sure every asset I own has some type of powerful trend (i.e. pendulum) behind it - if it doesn't, I sell it, or a portion, to buy others. At times like this, traditional technical analyses does not work very well, so I concentrate on the trends.
Love this. simply put.

been finding some short term wins like this in crypto. AVAX and SOL. Bought the dips with the market since the social trend feels undeniable.
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by hooligan »

@SOL

i sub to all three TI services. For me, one lot is 1/30th of my portfolio. I am officially out of ammo :D only a smidge of cash left. just fyi

( i do some of my own outside trading for example the TQQQ i grabbed, so it's not a perfect model portfolio but its actually pretty close. i dont do much trading of stocks outside TI recs. mostly been messing with crypto which is a different portfolio )
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by deepthinker »

hooligan wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 6:50 pm @SOL

i sub to all three TI services. For me, one lot is 1/30th of my portfolio. I am officially out of ammo :D only a smidge of cash left. just fyi

( i do some of my own outside trading for example the TQQQ i grabbed, so it's not a perfect model portfolio but its actually pretty close. i dont do much trading of stocks outside TI recs. mostly been messing with crypto which is a different portfolio )
When out of Ammo I do one of three things and I will list them in order of risk. I sit on the sidelines and wait for cash to build up. The second option I take some profits from positions that are showing very healthy gains and re-deploy them into new plays. Lastly and this carries the highest risk. I trade on Margin but I only use an amount that I am 100% certain I can repay from wages, and or other income.
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by Cinnamon »

hooligan wrote: Thu Jan 27, 2022 6:50 pm @SOL

i sub to all three TI services. For me, one lot is 1/30th of my portfolio. I am officially out of ammo :D only a smidge of cash left. just fyi

( i do some of my own outside trading for example the TQQQ i grabbed, so it's not a perfect model portfolio but its actually pretty close. i dont do much trading of stocks outside TI recs. mostly been messing with crypto which is a different portfolio )
I would have run out of Ammo to, but I noticed that when Sol talks about volatility and starts to post dates, it is a good time to take profits. So I took profits on many of my profitable positions.

I also have a strategy of selling the first half of a position based on my profit targets. Sometimes I bank less but I am okay with it as it fits with my investment style.

Now I am using the pullbacks to deploy this capital but from what SOL has been stating and from my own analysis I agree that 2022 will be a volatile year. In the short run it might lead to some pain, but over the long run I expect to see a field of green (as Yodean has stated). 2022 should be called the year of the trenches :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

I also fully agree with SOL's assessment that a lot of ETF's are going to get smashed. most of the people that I know that call themselves investors just keep throwing money into ETF's and they don't even know how these ETF's invest their money.

2022 could be summarized like this, Short term pain for long term gains.
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by Budge »

It's good to wake in the morning and smell panic in the air:

"Brutal Stock Deterioration: 46 Percent of Nasdaq Stocks Are More than 50 Percent Below their 52-Week High"

"The stock market indices that get all the headlines have failed to capture the brutal deterioration that has been occurring for months among the individual stock components of those indices."

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2022/02/ ... week-high/

Woo hoo.
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by Triplethought »

Budge wrote: Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:47 pm It's good to wake in the morning and smell panic in the air:

"Brutal Stock Deterioration: 46 Percent of Nasdaq Stocks Are More than 50 Percent Below their 52-Week High"

"The stock market indices that get all the headlines have failed to capture the brutal deterioration that has been occurring for months among the individual stock components of those indices."

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2022/02/ ... week-high/

Woo hoo.
I'd celebrate with you except our TI portfolio includes a number of those stocks AFRM, AYX, AAL calls, CHGG etc
Current atmospheric levels of CO2 (400ppm) are much lower than 500 million years ago (3000-9000ppm).
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by deepthinker »

Budge wrote: Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:47 pm It's good to wake in the morning and smell panic in the air:

"Brutal Stock Deterioration: 46 Percent of Nasdaq Stocks Are More than 50 Percent Below their 52-Week High"

"The stock market indices that get all the headlines have failed to capture the brutal deterioration that has been occurring for months among the individual stock components of those indices."

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2022/02/ ... week-high/

Woo hoo.
I concur good time to add to your positions of strong stocks. A lot of great stocks have taken it to the chin. Kind of reminds of 2020. A lot of stocks were tumbling down, some were great companies like BRKS, AIN, GOOGL, etc. I will follow the time tested strategy to deploy equal amounts constantly into good stocks when they drop to mouth watering levels. I am also slowly nibbling at FB, MSFT, AMD, etc Waiting for PANW to pullback but this stock is stubborn
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by deepthinker »

Triplethought wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 1:10 am
Budge wrote: Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:47 pm It's good to wake in the morning and smell panic in the air:

"Brutal Stock Deterioration: 46 Percent of Nasdaq Stocks Are More than 50 Percent Below their 52-Week High"

"The stock market indices that get all the headlines have failed to capture the brutal deterioration that has been occurring for months among the individual stock components of those indices."

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2022/02/ ... week-high/

Woo hoo.
I'd celebrate with you except our TI portfolio includes a number of those stocks AFRM, AYX, AAL calls, CHGG etc
Of the plays, you mention two of them under the high-risk category such as AFRM and AAL calls. With high risk plays knows what is getting into. The moves are good during good times and they can be vicious during volatile/down times.

AYX looks like will make a comeback but it will take time. CHGG is from another service and it was an options trade, the CHGG trades in the MU yielded excellent profit. Look at my post above for what is happening now is reminiscent of 2020, the only big difference is that the indices are not pulling back, but many stocks have shed just as much if not more than in the 2020 crash.

I am celebrating now as I did back in 20202 and I will celebrate even more if the crash expected in the 4th quareter materializes. It took a very long time for me to put TI"s simple but effective strategy of viewing crashes as opportunities into play. Long term there is no better investing strategy than that and history is on our side
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by Budge »

Triplethought wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 1:10 am
Budge wrote: Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:47 pm It's good to wake in the morning and smell panic in the air:

"Brutal Stock Deterioration: 46 Percent of Nasdaq Stocks Are More than 50 Percent Below their 52-Week High"

"The stock market indices that get all the headlines have failed to capture the brutal deterioration that has been occurring for months among the individual stock components of those indices."

https://wallstreetonparade.com/2022/02/ ... week-high/

Woo hoo.
I'd celebrate with you except our TI portfolio includes a number of those stocks AFRM, AYX, AAL calls, CHGG etc
To quote Baron Rothschild: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by SOL »

Budge wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:40 am
To quote Baron Rothschild: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
Precisely. When it's your own blood and you feel Fear creeping in you know you are doing the right thing. When you are happy and feel joy is on your side, then the hammer is close at hand
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by Triplethought »

SOL wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 1:38 pm
Budge wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:40 am
To quote Baron Rothschild: "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
Precisely. When it's your own blood and you feel Fear creeping in you know you are doing the right thing. When you are happy and feel joy is on your side, then the hammer is close at hand
I get it. I'm living it. I haven't sold any stinkers other than options that simply expired worthless. But there are some stocks that we will lose on. I don't mind that... some don't pan out but we hope most do. It's when our expected mass psychology isn't the direction we expected - the financials come out and there is some underlying problem with their business model independent of normal market swings and it becomes clear it isn't likely to be corrected over a 1 or even a 3 year time period. For example CHGG shows a big pandemic hump and has returned to pre-pandemic historic price levels. My read is it is going to stay near or below $30 for quite a while. My guess is distance learning failed so badly people are jumping ship. the only hope is our schools are so dysfunctional it becomes a matter of best horse in a glue factory.
Current atmospheric levels of CO2 (400ppm) are much lower than 500 million years ago (3000-9000ppm).
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The glass ceiling

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Triplethought wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 4:03 pm For example CHGG shows a big pandemic hump and has returned to pre-pandemic historic price levels. My read is it is going to stay near or below $30 for quite a while. My guess is distance learning failed so badly people are jumping ship. the only hope is our schools are so dysfunctional it becomes a matter of best horse in a glue factory.
This is one of the reasons why most "smart" people (those whose thinking has a glass ceiling at level 3) lose in the markets. In your case, I suspect the glass ceiling is made of diamonds. LMAO.

A stock drops big, you think you can figure out why because somehow you've been told you are "smart," so you build a story around why a stock dropped - you convince yourself because you have a degree in engineering, you will be able to figure out what the stock is going to do next.

Bogus. Ya estas muerto.

CHGG is bottoming or has bottomed on an interim basis, and on the dailies has a huge gap fill up to 60, easy. No guarantees of course, but it won't take much for a big upside move. Plus a touch of short squeeze potential with a short % of float @ 6.8%.
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Re: anyone elses portfolio super down?

Post by AstuteShift »

https://youtu.be/soflYG6Lhp0

Keep your head up, the blood bath is not even here yet
:mrgreen:
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Re: The glass ceiling

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Yodean wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 4:55 pm
Triplethought wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 4:03 pm For example CHGG shows a big pandemic hump and has returned to pre-pandemic historic price levels. My read is it is going to stay near or below $30 for quite a while. My guess is distance learning failed so badly people are jumping ship. the only hope is our schools are so dysfunctional it becomes a matter of best horse in a glue factory.
This is one of the reasons why most "smart" people (those whose thinking has a glass ceiling at level 3) lose in the markets. In your case, I suspect the glass ceiling is made of diamonds. LMAO.

A stock drops big, you think you can figure out why because somehow you've been told you are "smart," so you build a story around why a stock dropped - you convince yourself because you have a degree in engineering, you will be able to figure out what the stock is going to do next.

Bogus. Ya estas muerto.

CHGG is bottoming or has bottomed on an interim basis, and on the dailies has a huge gap fill up to 60, easy. No guarantees of course, but it won't take much for a big upside move. Plus a touch of short squeeze potential with a short % of float @ 6.8%.
The laws of paradox

When people assume a stock is dead, like Intel, IBM or CHGG then it’s the best time to buy. :mrgreen:
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Re: The glass ceiling

Post by Triplethought »

Yodean wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 4:55 pm
Triplethought wrote: Wed Feb 16, 2022 4:03 pm For example CHGG shows a big pandemic hump and has returned to pre-pandemic historic price levels. My read is it is going to stay near or below $30 for quite a while. My guess is distance learning failed so badly people are jumping ship. the only hope is our schools are so dysfunctional it becomes a matter of best horse in a glue factory.
This is one of the reasons why most "smart" people (those whose thinking has a glass ceiling at level 3) lose in the markets. In your case, I suspect the glass ceiling is made of diamonds. LMAO.

A stock drops big, you think you can figure out why because somehow you've been told you are "smart," so you build a story around why a stock dropped - you convince yourself because you have a degree in engineering, you will be able to figure out what the stock is going to do next.

Bogus. Ya estas muerto.

CHGG is bottoming or has bottomed on an interim basis, and on the dailies has a huge gap fill up to 60, easy. No guarantees of course, but it won't take much for a big upside move. Plus a touch of short squeeze potential with a short % of float @ 6.8%.
The difference my friend is I'm still holding CHGG and plan to keep holding it...specifically to prove I'm wrong. I learn more when I prove I'm wrong than when I try to prove I'm right.
Current atmospheric levels of CO2 (400ppm) are much lower than 500 million years ago (3000-9000ppm).
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