Sentiment Indicators

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Yodean
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

stefk wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 3:09 am ... it will be the moment to place money in this shit.
One man's trash is another man's treasure.

The timing of the crypto-crash is somewhat suspicious . . . a lot of the big banks/institutions (e.g. JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, etc.) all fairly recently announced that they will be offering some sort of crypto product, derivative or otherwise. CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) also started BTC microfutures trading.

My suspicion is that they are following the T.I. strategy, by crashing the crypto. markets so that they can buy their "1st lot" at a good entry point. 2nd lot perhaps at 25k BTC.

:lol:
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 12:45 pm
stefk wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 3:09 am ... it will be the moment to place money in this shit.
One man's trash is another man's treasure.

The timing of the crypto-crash is somewhat suspicious . . . a lot of the big banks/institutions (e.g. JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, etc.) all fairly recently announced that they will be offering some sort of crypto product, derivative or otherwise. CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) also started BTC microfutures trading.

My suspicion is that they are following the T.I. strategy, by crashing the crypto. markets so that they can buy their "1st lot" at a good entry point. 2nd lot perhaps at 25k BTC.

:lol:
Based on pure MP another buy signal is close in the makings, but I suspect possibly one more wave down maybe a quick down move (not necessary but that is how the big players usually like to do things) before BTC starts moving again, but volatility is going to be very high

The GP index put in a new high and we suspect it indicates that the Right in the USA and the West is going to start gearing up for a power move.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by symbios »

Yodean wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 12:45 pm
stefk wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 3:09 am ... it will be the moment to place money in this shit.
One man's trash is another man's treasure.

The timing of the crypto-crash is somewhat suspicious . . . a lot of the big banks/institutions (e.g. JP Morgan, Wells Fargo, etc.) all fairly recently announced that they will be offering some sort of crypto product, derivative or otherwise. CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) also started BTC microfutures trading.

My suspicion is that they are following the T.I. strategy, by crashing the crypto. markets so that they can buy their "1st lot" at a good entry point. 2nd lot perhaps at 25k BTC.

:lol:
It is indeed suspicious. Multiple centralized exchanges either went down (Coinbase) or stop accepting deposits (Binance; largest crypto exchange in the world..). Ethereum network was so choked that each transaction will cost you $500++ worth of gas fees (think of it like commission).

I was on telegram and discord channels and many people wanted to buy but couldn’t do it. This caused a market full of sellers and no buyers. There were rumors that only “VIP” accounts were let in to buy at the lowest price. And to add on to the conspiracy theory, someone announced this event on 4chan before it happened.

For those curious people, https://boards.4channel.org/biz/thread/35710754

Another interesting video floating around is this guy who 3 weeks ago released a video saying that Bitcoin is following textbook Wyckoff events and phases and yesterday’s crash played out exactly as Wcykoff said it would.

https://youtu.be/Lhf_2gJJS1I
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by jlhooter »

[/quote]

Another interesting video floating around is this guy who 3 weeks ago released a video saying that Bitcoin is following textbook Wyckoff events and phases and yesterday’s crash played out exactly as Wcykoff said it would.
[/quote]

That was a very interesting video. Thanks for that. I wonder what other examples there are of this event.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

jlhooter wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 4:00 pm That was a very interesting video. Thanks for that. I wonder what other examples there are of this event.
Here's the Wyckoff pattern applied to TLT (U.S. long-term bond ETF) and USD, starting around the 10-minute mark of this clip, just released today:

https://youtu.be/CU3H5dKyoMY?t=608
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

SOL wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 2:41 pm The GP index put in a new high and we suspect it indicates that the Right in the USA and the West is going to start gearing up for a power move.
Not quite a "power move" that surprises, but along the same vein:

"The federal Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) has issued a rather bombshell update to its website which is not good news to companies who force their employees to take the COVID-19 vaccine. Essentially, according to OSHA, companies may be liable for an employee’s adverse reaction to the vaccine if they require them to take it.

This clarification by OSHA is especially relevant thanks to the The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (NVICP) which removes any and all liability from vaccine manufacturers even if their product kills someone.

You can actually prove that you or your child were harmed from a vaccine yet the vaccine maker is completely shielded from liability. Even if you are awarded monetary compensation through the NVICP, the taxpayers are put on the line, not the vaccine makers.

If companies have to start footing the bill for lawsuits related to COVID-19 vaccine adverse reactions, the implications for vaccine manufacturers could be massive especially given the sheer magnitude of adverse events being reported to the CDC from the COVID-19 vaccine."


https://www.naturalblaze.com/2021/05/os ... shots.html
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Fri May 21, 2021 4:12 pm
Not quite a "power move" that surprises, but along the same vein:

"The federal Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) has issued a rather bombshell update to its website which is not good news to companies who force their employees to take the COVID-19 vaccine. Essentially, according to OSHA, companies may be liable for an employee’s adverse reaction to the vaccine if they require them to take it.

This clarification by OSHA is especially relevant thanks to the The National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program (NVICP) which removes any and all liability from vaccine manufacturers even if their product kills someone.

You can actually prove that you or your child were harmed from a vaccine yet the vaccine maker is completely shielded from liability. Even if you are awarded monetary compensation through the NVICP, the taxpayers are put on the line, not the vaccine makers.

If companies have to start footing the bill for lawsuits related to COVID-19 vaccine adverse reactions, the implications for vaccine manufacturers could be massive especially given the sheer magnitude of adverse events being reported to the CDC from the COVID-19 vaccine."


https://www.naturalblaze.com/2021/05/os ... shots.html
In the context of COVID, this is quite a big development.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

Image

From a horde sentiment perspective, this may suggest bonds and crypto. are in the process of bottoming, while real estate is topping.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Triplethought »

Yodean wrote: Wed Jun 23, 2021 4:29 pm
From a horde sentiment perspective, this may suggest bonds and crypto. are in the process of bottoming, while real estate is topping.
It makes sense. Most Americans are very risk adverse with their retirement savings and real estate makes them much more comfortable than stocks (despite the 2008 melt down). I know many people who prefer to keep money in cash and FDIC insured earning low interest. I'm not sure these numbers would be very different over a 5 year time frame.

I'm actually surprised that 9% say crypto. I think that means that our GBTC and OBTC investments are in pretty good shape despite China's recent discouraging moves.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by MarkD »

Another way of looking at the data is it kind of lumps a bunch of stuff into the category stocks and real estate. There are other options to dissect the stock market. Real estate can include mineral rights. And direct business ownership is missing. All interesting clues.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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It would be intersting to know what is behind the 4% none of these. Is it good wines, old cars, gem stones, roman coins, old comics ?
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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stefk wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 5:00 pm It would be intersting to know what is behind the 4% none of these.
I shared that graphic with a friend and commented "only 6% [other+refused] correctly identified guns & ammo as the best investment over the next 10 years". He replied "29% are morons" (cash+bonds).
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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Eric wrote: Thu Jun 24, 2021 7:31 pm "... only 6% [other+refused] correctly identified guns & ammo as the best investment over the next 10 years".
This is of course pure speculation, but my sense is "American Civil War 2" will not involve armies or guns, for the most part - it will primarily be fought through the control of information and the attempt to silence competing views and bankrupting the supporters of dissenting narratives.

If the Dems manage to "control" the election process as they did in 2020, they will win in ’22 and ’24. If so, America might be lost as an entity, a being.

In Canada, where I reside currently, the outcome has been decided long ago - the Neo-Marxist pendulum has achieved near-complete victory.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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I came across this site and the sentiment data re/ U.S. retail and institutional investors there is quite interesting:

https://som.yale.edu/faculty-research-c ... ce-indices

*****

The questions are worded somewhat awkwardly, and the calculations performed in an arguably somewhat arbitrary manner, so one has to be careful in the interpretation of the results, but on balance, the data as it stands would favour at least another significant leg up in the equity markets.

:?:
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by SOL »

Yodean wrote: Wed Dec 08, 2021 7:36 pm I came across this site and the sentiment data re/ U.S. retail and institutional investors there is quite interesting:

https://som.yale.edu/faculty-research-c ... ce-indices

*****

The questions are worded somewhat awkwardly, and the calculations performed in an arguably somewhat arbitrary manner, so one has to be careful in the interpretation of the results, but on balance, the data as it stands would favour at least another significant leg up in the equity markets.

:?:

We have been looking at the source for several weeks deciding if we should find a way to incorporate that data into some of the gauges or analyse the data from our perspective. It's not a bad source but we would be wary to use it as a stand-alone source.
When the words short term appear under any post; the same conditions listed in the Market update under the short term category apply

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