Sentiment Indicators

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bpcw
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by bpcw »

AAII showing bullish sentiment has dropped significantly this week, perhaps nervous that the indexes are merely plateauing a little?

Just to add Sol that the 2 platforms that I got sentiment data from previously probably don't give a very good level of insight as they merely provide the percentage of long and short positions of those invested in any instrument.
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AstuteShift
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by AstuteShift »

bpcw wrote: Sun May 02, 2021 4:37 pm AAII showing bullish sentiment has dropped significantly this week, perhaps nervous that the indexes are merely plateauing a little?

Just to add Sol that the 2 platforms that I got sentiment data from previously probably don't give a very good level of insight as they merely provide the percentage of long and short positions of those invested in any instrument.
If bullish sentiment drops and the masses are nervous then it’s very good since the trend is still up.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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AstuteShift wrote: Sun May 02, 2021 5:29 pm
bpcw wrote: Sun May 02, 2021 4:37 pm AAII showing bullish sentiment has dropped significantly this week, perhaps nervous that the indexes are merely plateauing a little?

Just to add Sol that the 2 platforms that I got sentiment data from previously probably don't give a very good level of insight as they merely provide the percentage of long and short positions of those invested in any instrument.
If bullish sentiment drops and the masses are nervous then it’s very good since the trend is still up.
Exactly! :D
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

I know you're not supposed to try to call bottoms, but I think we may be getting pretty close, in time if not in precise price action.

Harry Dent and Nouriel Roubini are starting to show up on mainstream financial media interviews - usually a sign that an intermediate bottom is near, at least.

:?:
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by AstuteShift »

Yodean wrote: Tue May 11, 2021 9:48 pm I know you're not supposed to try to call bottoms, but I think we may be getting pretty close, in time if not in precise price action.

Harry Dent and Nouriel Roubini are starting to show up on mainstream financial media interviews - usually a sign that an intermediate bottom is near, at least.

:?:
When these clowns are on tv then it’s a great buying opportunity
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

Image

This wuz just b4 the overnight crypto-crash.

"Blood in the streets in crypto. land." Check.

"Buy the rumour, sell the news." (in reverse) - CCP's new banning of cryptoexchanges and trading. Check.

">50% drop from recent highs for BTC." Check.

"High risk, high reward, good asymmetry." Check.

"A brilliant move, whether in chess or sports, often lies right next to a colossal blunder." Check.

My personal MOAB for BTC has been triggered. As always, this constitutes my speculative opinion, and should not be construed as specific financial advice.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by MarkD »

Pretty fair assessment.

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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by bpcw »

Be very interesting to see the numbers from AAII tomorrow!
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by Yodean »

Just updated (crypto. sentiment index):

Image
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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Three, four weeks ago, at my workplace, it was a real crazyness about the BTC. All my millenial colleagues didnt sleep anymore, they made so much profits in the night with BTC. Everytime in the day, it was bitcoin, bitcoin.....during the break, bitcoin, bitcoin, it will go to 100K$. For an astute observer, it was the best time to sell and pocket the profits. And now, no more bitcoin, the millenials are quiet, some are sick, and I dont stell questions. At the moment when one millenial comes to me to say he has sold out all his BTCwith loss, it will be the moment to place money in this shit.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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stefk wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 3:09 am Three, four weeks ago, at my workplace, it was a real crazyness about the BTC. All my millenial colleagues didnt sleep anymore, they made so much profits in the night with BTC. Everytime in the day, it was bitcoin, bitcoin.....during the break, bitcoin, bitcoin, it will go to 100K$. For an astute observer, it was the best time to sell and pocket the profits. And now, no more bitcoin, the millenials are quiet, some are sick, and I dont stell questions. At the moment when one millenial comes to me to say he has sold out all his BTCwith loss, it will be the moment to place money in this shit.
sorry, it is no stell questions, it is ask questions. Stell, it is in flemish. Yes I jungle with three languages, flemish at work, french at home and english with my investors comrades.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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stefk wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 3:09 am Three, four weeks ago, at my workplace, it was a real crazyness about the BTC. All my millenial colleagues didnt sleep anymore, they made so much profits in the night with BTC. Everytime in the day, it was bitcoin, bitcoin.....during the break, bitcoin, bitcoin, it will go to 100K$. For an astute observer, it was the best time to sell and pocket the profits. And now, no more bitcoin, the millenials are quiet, some are sick, and I dont stell questions. At the moment when one millenial comes to me to say he has sold out all his BTCwith loss, it will be the moment to place money in this shit.
Interesting, you have your very own sentiment gauge at work!!! :D
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by bpcw »

AAII sentiment data in, surprisingly no change so perhaps we're in for a bit more of a bumpy ride before the final bottom and turnaround? :o
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

Post by SOL »

Ideally we have up down action, this type of increases the levels of uncertainty and the effect lasts longer than pure fear. We expect the markets to rally, then pullback, and continue this dance, until the masses start to panic as is the case with Bitcoin market.
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Re: Sentiment Indicators

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SOL wrote: Thu May 20, 2021 9:35 am Ideally we have up down action, this type of increases the levels of uncertainty and the effect lasts longer than pure fear. We expect the markets to rally, then pullback, and continue this dance, until the masses start to panic as is the case with Bitcoin market.
Yes it does seem that way, the Nasdaq has already been doing this to some degree.

With Bitcoin it has ended with a very strong correction, do you expect this with the stock market Sol or just up and down for a while, ending in a surge upwards when sentiment has dropped through the floor?
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