Fills

[Centeron631]

So maybe not so Diplo Today:

This Massive sell instruction yesterday from TI as DOW went over 34200 vs Sol statement on this blog 122922 :
"When something is trading in the extreme to the insanely oversold range, I hold it until it moves to the extremely overbought range. It's a simple but boring formula that has worked well over the long run. it requires both discipline and patience" : is this contradiction a do as i say and not what i do? how is a simple guy or girl to reconcile?

In the meantime it is slightly under 34200 right now - do i stop selling? (maybe wait for closer to the higher end of the sell range) I had decided last night to break from the sells for bit as i did then have a feeling that the markets could keep going and cannot say that decision was not infuluenced by what Yodean said yesterday about the MM's keeping the S&P 500 over 3900 until Jan 20.

I wish Sol (clearly so and now and in the future) had not only given the instruction but also a note of the why of the instruction and what he thought would be the results if one ignored the instruction and explained then or now why the instruction if now followed r so off the alternative sell points in many cases - how to reconcile. All i know if i follow the mass instruction literally it looks like im leaving a lot of money on the table compared to the sell points and even more in regard to his quote above. Also Sol will u stop following all of those stocks mentioned by the next update?

ps my remarks to Yodean about me being a contrarian sign for him was said in somewhat of a jest but also to beat him to the punch. The remark about the fish was just a corny joke to add some levity to the day as i found it quite a serious day selling off mainly a bundle of the deep red sea companies.

[SOL]

So maybe not so Diplo Today:

This Massive sell instruction yesterday from TI as DOW went over 34200 vs Sol statement on this blog 122922 :
"When something is trading in the extreme to the insanely oversold range, I hold it until it moves to the extremely overbought range. It's a simple but boring formula that has worked well over the long run. it requires both discipline and patience" : is this contradiction a do as i say and not what i do? how is a simple guy or girl to reconcile?

In the meantime it is slightly under 34200 right now - do i stop selling? (maybe wait for closer to the higher end of the sell range) I had decided last night to break from the sells for bit as i did then have a feeling that the markets could keep going and cannot say that decision was not infuluenced by what Yodean said yesterday about the MM's keeping the S&P 500 over 3900 until Jan 20.

I wish Sol (clearly so and now and in the future) had not only given the instruction but also a note of the why of the instruction and what he thought would be the results if one ignored the instruction and explained then or now why the instruction if now followed r so off the alternative sell points in many cases - how to reconcile. All i know if i follow the mass instruction literally it looks like im leaving a lot of money on the table compared to the sell points and even more in regard to his quote above. Also Sol will u stop following all of those stocks mentioned by the next update?

ps my remarks to Yodean about me being a contrarian sign for him was said in somewhat of a jest but also to beat him to the punch. The remark about the fish was just a corny joke to add some levity to the day as i found it quite a serious day selling off mainly a bundle of the deep red sea companies.

Official instructions supersede everything else. A lot of what is discussed in the forum is to provide traders with ideas they can build on. As I have stated many times before, one should not mix and match instructions or data points. There are official instructions, and then there are discussions.

Additionally, we did suggest that those that don't want to close their longs could look into hedging their positions.

[bobdylan]

Sold FINX at 20.99

I sold most of my triggers when the Dow approached the range specified in November/December timeframes. As with anything, these TI instructions should be coupled with one's own critical thinking. Did I miss out on some individual asset appreciation? Potentially. However, I wanted to close out some positions for my own risk personal management.

[Yodean]

ps my remarks to Yodean about me being a contrarian sign for him was said in somewhat of a jest but also to beat him to the punch. The remark about the fish was just a corny joke to add some levity to the day as i found it quite a serious day selling off mainly a bundle of the deep red sea companies.

No worries. We're OG, not thin-skinned Snowflakes who tend to be allergic to disagreement.

Words are words, nothing more, nothing less.

But the JBS and the upcoming JSS are real!

[Centeron631]

So maybe not so Diplo Today:

This Massive sell instruction yesterday from TI as DOW went over 34200 vs Sol statement on this blog 122922 :
"When something is trading in the extreme to the insanely oversold range, I hold it until it moves to the extremely overbought range. It's a simple but boring formula that has worked well over the long run. it requires both discipline and patience" : is this contradiction a do as i say and not what i do? how is a simple guy or girl to reconcile?

In the meantime it is slightly under 34200 right now - do i stop selling? (maybe wait for closer to the higher end of the sell range) I had decided last night to break from the sells for bit as i did then have a feeling that the markets could keep going and cannot say that decision was not infuluenced by what Yodean said yesterday about the MM's keeping the S&P 500 over 3900 until Jan 20.

I wish Sol (clearly so and now and in the future) had not only given the instruction but also a note of the why of the instruction and what he thought would be the results if one ignored the instruction and explained then or now why the instruction if now followed r so off the alternative sell points in many cases - how to reconcile. All i know if i follow the mass instruction literally it looks like im leaving a lot of money on the table compared to the sell points and even more in regard to his quote above. Also Sol will u stop following all of those stocks mentioned by the next update?

ps my remarks to Yodean about me being a contrarian sign for him was said in somewhat of a jest but also to beat him to the punch. The remark about the fish was just a corny joke to add some levity to the day as i found it quite a serious day selling off mainly a bundle of the deep red sea companies.

Official instructions supersede everything else. A lot of what is discussed in the forum is to provide traders with ideas they can build on. As I have stated many times before, one should not mix and match instructions or data points. There are official instructions, and then there are discussions.

Additionally, we did suggest that those that don't want to close their longs could look into hedging their positions.

Answers some of the questions but not all: the part of will the stocks be dropped from the next Mu update?
there is a range of $200. So yesterday i traded at just over 34200 but today and next week i may decide to trade at 34300 so i could miss out on all of the massive sale suggested and in a blink can be <34200 - so will those stocks be dropped from next MU update? Has Ti in its history every used this market leading sell strategy successfully or is it brand new? Result bought on stock Leading and sell on Market leading. (There were plenty of willing buyers today with hardly any spreads between bid and asks)

[PuppBaby]

Sold a few plays all for modest gains 4-12%
FISV
URA
HIMX

Bought UUP $29 call for $0.9 Exp Jan-2024

Have a bunch more plays that are in the red but most don't have sell recommendations based off of the Dow so I'm gonna hold.

[kcun333]

What are JBS and JSS? Thanks

[bpcw]

What are JBS and JSS? Thanks

I think there the Jesus buy signal and Jesus sell signal.

He should be using the ACBS and ACSS though!

[Yodean]

What are JBS and JSS? Thanks

As the JesusNinja mentioned, the JBS (Jesus Buy Signal) is my personalized "risk on" indicator to accumulate equities for the long-term. It's pretty much the strongest buy signal among my arsenal of indicators.

First time it was triggered was October '22 - I posted about it in this forum at that time.

The JSS (Jesus Sell Signal) has yet to be triggered. I'll post if and when the JSS gets triggered. It may not be for a very long time.

[Triplethought]

is Tesla a buy today it went down into the 109's and then bounced to 111,s

Its not on our list of stocks, with a horizon of 6 to 12 months I would probably favour BYDDY over TSLA. However, both are volatile plays.

I had a former employee and engineer recommend TSLA highly to me today saying he's "all in" because 1) The new Full self driving is awesome and way ahead of anyone else, allowing you to drive long distances without touching the wheel if you trust it, and it generally will do awesome things 2) they have 7x the profit as other car companies like Toyota per car and only 11 man hours per car to build them. 2.5) they are not a car company their a technology company and their technology is being used in self guided robots and other places. Chinese car company software sucks (as does pretty much all software written by Chinese) 3) they are making use of Lithium-Iron-phosphate batteries where cost and range or weight are not premium 4) Tesla power walls are contributing significantly to bridge California's power problems during peak usage. 5) Tesla may put GM may be out of business first, plus volkswagon.

Personally after researching this today I think 1) self driving is still 95% there but the last 5% where you can ignore the wheel is still years away 2) Yes they're profitable but recently dropped their sales price to increase demand so their margins will slip and even with the much lower stock price today their PE ratio is MUCH higher than any other car company. 2.5) if they are not a car company will they *really* make money on batteries (not a lot of intellectual property there) or guiding robots? Not to mention Elon has diluted attention to many other side ventures 3) Batteries still suck and range anxiety is real with minerals to make batteries limited 4) No, power walls are NOT making that big of a difference this is just an announced cooperation and pie in the sky greenie bullshit. 5) Maybe conventional cars made in the US are in trouble. Car companies have come and gone before. Having said that when Fusion comes online in 10-20 years that will give EVs even more boost.

thoughts?

[SOL]

I had a former employee and engineer recommend TSLA highly to me today saying he's "all in" because 1) The new Full self driving is awesome and way ahead of anyone else, allowing you to drive long distances without touching the wheel if you trust it, and it generally will do awesome things 2) they have 7x the profit as other car companies like Toyota per car and only 11 man hours per car to build them. 2.5) they are not a car company their a technology company and their technology is being used in self guided robots and other places. Chinese car company software sucks (as does pretty much all software written by Chinese) 3) they are making use of Lithium-Iron-phosphate batteries where cost and range or weight are not premium 4) Tesla power walls are contributing significantly to bridge California's power problems during peak usage. 5) Tesla may put GM may be out of business first, plus volkswagon.

Personally after researching this today I think 1) self driving is still 95% there but the last 5% where you can ignore the wheel is still years away 2) Yes they're profitable but recently dropped their sales price to increase demand so their margins will slip and even with the much lower stock price today their PE ratio is MUCH higher than any other car company. 2.5) if they are not a car company will they *really* make money on batteries (not a lot of intellectual property there) or guiding robots? Not to mention Elon has diluted attention to many other side ventures 3) Batteries still suck and range anxiety is real with minerals to make batteries limited 4) No, power walls are NOT making that big of a difference this is just an announced cooperation and pie in the sky greenie bullshit. 5) Maybe conventional cars made in the US are in trouble. Car companies have come and gone before. Having said that when Fusion comes online in 10-20 years that will give EVs even more boost.

thoughts?

You nailed it regarding self-driving cars, there is still that 5 to 10% factor that needs to be resolved, which means their name should be changed to self-killing vehicles.

Batteries are another big issue in terms of power and range, and charging places. If they solve the range issue, and the charging issue, you still have the grid issue. The Grid can't handle even a market where 50% of the petrol-based cars are replaced. It's a time dream for now. I would hazard a guess that regular combustion cars will be here at least for another 18 years.

Fusion could solve the issue, but the Grid would still need an upgrade.

When you conduct a search as to why the Grid can't support a strong EV market, you get a lot of BS articles stating that those that claim so are naysayers. Change the parameters to the US Grid is in bad shape and the story changes

Creaky U.S. power grid threatens progress on renewables, EVs
The nation’s transmission network, plagued by outages and increasingly severe weather, needs a trillion-dollar overhaul to handle the Biden administration’s promised clean-energy revolution. No one is taking charge of that problem.

https://www.reuters.com/investigates/sp ... tric-grid/


AMERICA’S POWER GRID IS INCREASINGLY UNRELIABLE

Behind a rising number of outages are new stresses on the system caused by aging power lines, a changing climate and a power-plant fleet rapidly going green

By Katherine Blunt

The U.S. electrical system is becoming less dependable. The problem is likely to get worse before it gets better.

Large, sustained outages have occurred with increasing frequency in the U.S. over the past two decades, according to a Wall Street Journal review of federal data. In 2000, there were fewer than two dozen major disruptions, the data shows. In 2020, the number surpassed 180.

Utility customers on average experienced just over eight hours of power interruptions in 2020, more than double the amount in 2013, when the government began tracking outage lengths. The data doesn’t include 2021, but those numbers are certain to follow the trend after a freak freeze in Texas, a major hurricane in New Orleans, wildfires in California and a heat wave in the Pacific Northwest left millions in the dark for days.

https://www.impactlab.com/2022/03/06/am ... nreliable/

U.S. Power Grid Is Becoming Less Reliable, Thanks to Extreme Weather

The U.S. power grid is becoming less resilient and reliable, with extreme weather leaving more Americans without electricity more often over the past several years, analysts for Fitch Ratings said.

Weather accounted for 25% of utility company downgrades from 2017 to 2021, analysts said during a presentation Monday at the Edison Electric Institute Financial Conference in Hollywood, Florida. U.S. power networks are also less reliable than those in other industrialized countries, they said

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... #xj4y7vzkg


And the list of articles supporting the narrative that the US power grid is in the crapper goes on and on and on. So on one side, all is well, and we can support an all-EV market, and on the other side, we are in trouble. Who are you going to believe? The best evidence is to look accessilbe data and that data does not paint such a rosy story.

[Triplethought]

You nailed it regarding self-driving cars, there is still that 5 to 10% factor that needs to be resolved, which means their name should be changed to self-killing vehicles.

ILOVE IT! I'm calling all my friend's Teslas "SKV's" from now on


https://www.impactlab.com/2022/03/06/am ... nreliable/

U.S. Power Grid Is Becoming Less Reliable, Thanks to Extreme Weather

I don't buy the "extreme weather" horseshit. Part of the Climate change hysteria. The fact is we've moved to more "green energy" solutions like wind and solar and shut down coal and nuclear plants. DUMB DUMB DUMB


And the list of articles supporting the narrative that the US power grid is in the crapper goes on and on and on. So on one side, all is well, and we can support an all-EV market, and on the other side, we are in trouble. Who are you going to believe? The best evidence is to look accessilbe data and that data does not paint such a rosy story.

SOL, thanks for confirming my thinking. After the discussion today I was tempted to put a TSLA order in. At this point I'm not saying TSLA won't be a long term winner. I'm just saying it's hardly the foregone conclusion my friend thinks it is.

[MarkD]

I own a Chevy Bolt. Great for town, no value on road trips. Agree, years away.

The Green New Grift is simply a ponzi scheme.

1. In addition to potential issues with the electrical grid (that can be addressed via money), the real plan is NACs (Natural Asset Companies). NACs place a value on everything in nature (trees, streams, minerals, Gates farmland, etc.).

https://www.nyse.com/introducing-natura ... -companies

2. Ties directly into the ESG framework. Owners get "free" value (like the carbon credits in the Paris Accord which have already been distributed to elites). You get "taxed" on use of these assets (think lumber which built your home). Elites win without firing a bullet.

3. It may take beyond 2030, but if this type of robbery continues to grow, you will own nothing.

Sol is correct. Look to live as cheaply as possible. Own as little as possible except paper assets until reality sets in that this is entrapment, unless you able to hold onto a productive asset like a farm (assuming the taxes can be paid).

How plebes can't see through this climate hoax, ESG accounting, etc, and reveal for themselves what it truly represents is beyond me. A bazillion Enron's await in the future once you own nothing.

[George1010]

I own a Chevy Bolt. Great for town, no value on road trips. Agree, years away.

The Green New Grift is simply a ponzi scheme.

1. In addition to potential issues with the electrical grid (that can be addressed via money), the real plan is NACs (Natural Asset Companies). NACs place a value on everything in nature (trees, streams, minerals, Gates farmland, etc.).

https://www.nyse.com/introducing-natura ... -companies

2. Ties directly into the ESG framework. Owners get "free" value (like the carbon credits in the Paris Accord which have already been distributed to elites). You get "taxed" on use of these assets (think lumber which built your home). Elites win without firing a bullet.

3. It may take beyond 2030, but if this type of robbery continues to grow, you will own nothing.

Sol is correct. Look to live as cheaply as possible. Own as little as possible except paper assets until reality sets in that this is entrapment, unless you able to hold onto a productive asset like a farm (assuming the taxes can be paid).

How plebes can't see through this climate hoax, ESG accounting, etc, and reveal for themselves what it truly represents is beyond me. A bazillion Enron's await in the future once you own nothing.

Most individuals I know that splurge on a Tesla are just followers trying to look cool. They don't even understand or care to know how much pollution is generated due to the creation of one EV, not to mention the child labor abuses going in Africa.

The EV trend for now is hog wash. EV's as Mark pointed out can be good for city use but for long trips they are useless.

Sadly many individuals associate frugality with being cheap. They only seem to wake up after they have spent their last time.

Without some new energy break through, Nuclear is the only way the greenies can achieve their nutty agenda without being nutty.

[Triplethought]

Most individuals I know that splurge on a Tesla are just followers trying to look cool. They don't even understand or care to know how much pollution is generated due to the creation of one EV, not to mention the child labor abuses going in Africa.

The EV trend for now is hog wash. EV's as Mark pointed out can be good for city use but for long trips they are useless.

Sadly many individuals associate frugality with being cheap. They only seem to wake up after they have spent their last time.

Without some new energy break through, Nuclear is the only way the greenies can achieve their nutty agenda without being nutty.

3 or 4 of my friends who are entrepreneurs own the Tesla SKV (Self killing Vehicle). Sure, some of it is status, but some of it is speed. They like the acceleration and the self driving features too. Plus we have a factory near by so they're supporting local business. Some are libertarians or right wing so supporting Elon is a bonus. None of them are "green new deal" types. They like the idea of "saving money" on gas but recognize the car costs more than they will save. If I didn't live on a ranch in the mountains with a mile of dirt road and no snow removal I might have one as a second car for a daily driver.