Here's the link I mentioned, Larry Johnson's site:Yodean wrote: ↑Tue Sep 13, 2022 1:59 pm The post below is quite interesting. The author will remain anonymous but he is summarizing a conversation with a high level European official, apparently. Regardless of the exact source, the points raised are worthy of some reflection, whether you agree with them or not.
Don't shoot the messenger.![]()
The topic is the U.S. sending money and other stuff to Ukraine, and related issues. The basis conclusion is that America wins big, regardless of whether the Russians or Ukrainians prevail in the current dispute.
*****
Very interesting. Hope you don't mind me playing around with it?
Main points
-“Money” being sent to Ukraine is mostly in form of arms/weapons
-They’re sent via “lend-lease” meaning Ukraine will have to pay it back
-It wasn’t until after Ukraine showed that it would not be occupied by Russia, that the US committed big budgets and armaments
Peace was agreed in April, but US's bitch BoJo came in and wielded the big stick (and probably $$s) and peace ended. Let's fight to the last Ukrainian.
-After the war, the EU will be on the hook for rebuilding Ukraine, integrating them into the union and thus helping pay back the US lend-lease arms
Who says there will be any Uk left. Russia takes east and predators move in. Poland wants the west which it lost post WWII.
-The US is passing off older, strategically obsolete weapons which would eventually be replaced (HIMARS)
-The US didn’t part with any of their most effective and technologically advanced systems (helicopers, planes)
-NATO is strengthened under US leadership
Might say NATO/EU are in a feudal relationship with US. Vassal states. Besides Russia has not committed either its best troops or weapons. All the fighting to date has been by Donbas militias, Russian National Guard and Chetyan brigades.
-America will achieve all its strategic objectives on the cheap
All of its objectives? I'll post a link at the end which talks of a Rand study about US destroying Germany as an industrial producer. Seems to be working out.
-Europe will need to invest in their military which will mean big business for the US
-Russian armaments have been exposed as inferior so Russia will lose global marketshare to the US military industry
See point above - we've not seen the "good" stuff yet. And, what about Russia running out of ammo etc. What a crock that's turned out to be.
-Europe is essentially decoupled from the Russian energy tit, creating a huge opportunity for US LNG
For sure. Notice no talk yet of price caps on the LNG US is exporting to Europe - gouging! Exporting out LNG has another benefit to the PTB - increases the price we have to pay here at home
-Europe falls completely out of Russian influence
Like that's a big loss!![]()
-The Russian military is grounded down by Ukraine with no American soldiers dying
See above. Except the mercs
-Russia finished as a threat to US influence
Bankers want to get in there to carry on business as normal - rape and pillage. Our Ukrainian parasites in the US government (Nuland et al) want to exact revenge on Russia for historic "wrongs" (defeating the Nazis/Banderites and driving them out). While others (Biden Crime Syndicate) need to protect the honey/money pot plus prevent unwelcome secrets being exposed. Meanwhile Putin seen as Russia's saviour post 2000. US has achieved what Kissinger warned of - uniting Russia and China (albeit operating in their own self interest)
-The US can now focus all military attention towards containing China
Not so fast
-This is also a wakeup call for EU to take China seriously as a military adversary
As if they have a choice
-EU-China relations have been set back decades in terms of cooperation
-The days of the US having to twist the EU’s arm to not let Huawei build their 5G system are over
Danger could be TikTok?
-China’s slow moving influence campaign into Europe is essentially done
Belt Road Initiative meets roadblock but rest of Asia, Middle East, Africa, S America?
-China now needs to think much harder about invading Taiwan…both militarily and strategically (sanctions)
Sorry Dean, Forman/Taiwosa is fucked. I'll take the bet![]()
The conclusion was that whatever the actual costs to the US, it’s peanuts compared to the accomplishment of these strategic objectives which will be reaping dividends for years to come
Agreed as long as US dickheads don't engage Russia militarily. As per 1914, chaos in Europe money floods to the US
Ultimately the EU will shoulder most of the suffering while the US reaps the benefits
Some people are asking me for proof…it’s an analysis…and it’s by someone else.
You can fact check the lend-lease aspect but even if it’s not repaid it doesn’t change the main points.
*****
Like the Fed, the U.S. DeepState is no joke. They may pretend to be "dumb" and not know what they are doing, but to me, they are the ulimate Dark WISCS (Wolves In Sheep's Clothing). They always win the important battles, and most of the unimportant ones, too.
https://sonar21.com/is-the-war-in-ukrai ... -says-yes/
"But the real damage from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is economic and will determine the outcome of this war. It is not only wreaking havoc in Ukraine, it is causing real damage around the world. Some believe that the United States and NATO are using Ukraine as a lever to weaken Russia and get rid of Putin. Putin’s crime? He refused to be the prison bitch of the west. But there is a RAND report from January 2022 that suggests something darker, even diabolical."
"ArcelorMittal already has closed two plants in Germany."
"Sweden, who recently joined NATO, is getting an economic punch in the nose as well:....
Swedish appliance maker Electrolux AB announced a cost reduction program after reporting a plunge in demand for its home appliances across Europe and the US."
"As long as Russia’s economy remains intact and it can sell its essential products to other countries not on board with backing Ukraine, Russia will prevail. Let me conclude by giving analysts at Rand some kudos. Rand issued a prescient report in January that provides some alarming insight into a nefarious motive that explains why Washington is goading Berlin into backing Ukraine and cutting ties to Russia:
The present state of the U.S. economy does not suggest that it can function without the financial and material support from external sources. The quantitive easing policy, which the Fed has resorted to regularly in recent years, as well as the uncontrolled issue of cash during the 2020 and 2021 Covid lockdowns, have led to a sharp increase in the external debt and an increase in the dollar supply.
The continuing deterioration of the economic situation is highly likely to lead to a loss in the position of the Democratic Party in Congress and the Senate in the forthcoming elections to be held in November 2022. The impeachment of the President cannot be ruled out under these circumstances, which must be avoided at all costs. . . .
The current German economic model is based on two pillars. These are unlimited access to cheap Russian energy resources and to cheap French electric power, thanks to the operation of nuclear plants. The importance of the first factor is considerably higher. Halting Russian supplies can well create a systemic crisis that would be devastating for the German economy and, indirectly, for the entire European Union.
There are usually great comments on his site and I'll add one from Jack at 23:11 quoting Sergei Glaziev from 2014:
Hi Larry. Great stuff yet again. I’ll go one step back from the Rand Corporation to an article written by Sergei Glaziev in 2014, when he was one of Vladimir Putin’s economic advisers. It’s lengthy, but you’ll see why.
“To maintain their world dominance, the US is provoking another war in Europe. A war is always good for America. They even call the Second World War which killed 50 million people in Europe and Russia, a good war. It was good for America because the US emerged from this war as the world’s leading power. The Cold War which ended with the collapse of the Soviet Union was also good for them. Now the US again wants to maintain its leadership at the expense of Europe.
US leadership is being threatened by a rapidly rising China. The world today is shifting to yet another cycle, this time political. This cycle lasts centuries and is associated with the global institutions of regulatory economics. We are now moving from the American cycle of capital accumulation to an Asian cycle. This is another crisis that is challenging US hegemony.
To maintain their leading position in the face of competition with a rising China and other Asian countries Americans are starting a war in Europe. They want to weaken Europe, break up Russia, and subjugate the entire Eurasian continent. That is, instead of a development zone from Lisbon to Vladivostok, which is proposed by President Putin, the US wants to start a chaotic war on this territory, embroil all Europe in a war, devalue to European capital, write off its public debt, under the burden of which the US is already falling apart, write off what they owe to Europe and Russia, subjugate our economic space and establish control over resources of the giant Eurasian continent.
They believe that this is the only way they can maintain their hegemony and beat China …. Russia and Ukraine are the victims of this war which is being fomented by the Americans. But Europe is also a victim because the war aims to target European welfare and to destabilise Europe. Americans expect the European capital and brain drain to America will continue. That’s why they are setting all of Europe on fire. It’s very strange that European leaders are going along with them.”
That was written eight years ago, and look at where we are now.