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11/05/2003
Stock Scams
Wouldn’t it be wonderful to become rich investing in the stock market? Just
one good stock that goes up hundreds of percentage points will do it.
Right? Not really. The human
emotion of greed leaves us prey to those who would lead us to believe we
can have gain without any pain (or work or study) and we usually become
someone’s fool when we try to get rich on one big stock kill.
If you have an Email account on your computer, I’m sure you have received at
least one offer to buy a penny stock that is ready to go up high and fast.
These scams are widespread. Once
you get on someone’s Investor List and they share or SELL it, you will get
them en masse. The stock is usually about 8 cents, and expected to go to a
dollar (at least) very soon. An oil
company has just found a rich new field, or a biotech company has a new cure for
cancer. Please, please don’t get
involved in these deals. I suggest
you immediately delete any message about a stock that is advertised over the
Internet.
One such optimistic Email hooked my son. The
stock was only 8 cents, so he could buy thousands of shares!
He took a couple thousand out of a savings account and bought it using a
“market order.” Unfortunately, he didn’t know that a market order in many
situations can be dangerous. When
his order went through, he had purchased the stock at 22 cents, not 8 cents.
Well, before the week was over, the stock had never gone any higher, and
was down to 6 cents. What a
terrible loss! This is called
“pump and dump”. Hopefully, he has lived and learned.
I have a similar story. One day I heard a rumor about Mad Cow disease being
found in a few cows in the US. The talking heads on CNBC said that a company
with the symbol of SURE had the best way of dealing with tainted milk.
Since I heard the message as soon as it broke, I was sure I could get in
early and make a fortune! I put in
a market order so my order would go to the top of the heap and execute fast.
What a nightmare! While I
waited for my “market order” to go through, I watched the stock rise from
approximately $5.40 to $7.20. Finally,
my order executed. Unfortunately,
the rumor was false, and by the next day my stock was down to $5.00.
Even when you buy on honest good news, you set yourself up to lose in the stock
market. If you hear great news
about a stock you don’t own, please be careful when you buy it.
The hedge funds and the big traders are just waiting to short it as soon
as the masses jump in and drive it up. When they sell it short, it will go down
big. I can’t think of one time I have prospered by “buying on news.”
Usually, the stock gaps up in the morning and by the time I decide to buy it,
the smart money has already bought, it is technically overbought and ready to go
down.
Another stock scam is buying an IPO or Initial Public Offering.
This is a company that is going
public and issuing shares for the first time to raise necessary cash.
Some of the discount brokers are now offering IPO’s to their clients.
Beware! Most of the people
that make money on IPO’s jump in and out on the first day.
They are the lucky few who can buy at the offering price and have
connections or mucho money. .
I have purchased IPO’s in the past and have lost on all of them. Imagine Films
(Ron Howard); Planet Hollywood (Demi and Bruce); and Boston Beer are three that
come to mind. I remember waiting in
line to buy Boston Beer, which had come out at $20 in the morning.
By the time my broker could get my order filled (early in the morning) my
price was $32. I’m not sure if it ever returned to my buy price.
As the years passed Imagine Films went private again and Planet Hollywood
went bankrupt. The only ones who made money on those stocks were Demi Moore,
Bruce Willis, and Ron Howard. I’m
sure they didn’t wait long to sell their shares.
Well, I don’t want you to think that all stock market investing is dangerous.
It is risky.
Yes it is, but it need not be dangerous. If
you are patient and wait for a smart time to buy a good stock in a defined up
trend, you will be one of the smartest investors in the market. A stock in an
obvious uptrend will usually at some point hit its 20-day moving average and
correct as sellers take profits. This is a good time to buy. If you really want
to be safe, wait until it goes just above its 50 day moving average.
You can find moving averages on charts on the web that are free.
For my long-term portfolio, I personally do not buy stocks without earnings.
Earnings are profits. If a stock has earnings, it means that the company
is making money. Do you want to buy an idea that may or may not come to
fruition, or buy the stock of a successful company?
I would rather buy a thriving and moneymaking company.
If you are not trading a stock, but building a position in it, you want
to accumulate a stock that has increasing earnings and revenue (sales).
It’s easy to find the net income and revenue of a stock on many websites such
as CBS Marketwatch.com under “financials.”
Compare the net income and revenue from quarter to quarter and from year
to year. If it is increasing, it is
a buy candidate. .
Building a position in a good stock is a great way to get rich, but slowly. Just
stay away from the IPOs, the advertising hype, rumors and buying on news.
I believe that if a
long-term investment in a stock is appropriate for you, it will still be
appropriate two weeks from now. Don’t
rush. Take your time. Chart the
stock to see its trend, don’t buy at the very top, and find out if it has
earnings and revenue that are increasing.
If you are a member of Tactical Investor’s Market Update, the stock selection
process for a long-term portfolio has been done for you.
Take advantage of Sol’s stock picking talent, and add his picks to your
portfolio. However, I still believe
it is advisable for you to learn to pick stocks yourself as well.
I have given you some basic rules for buying stocks, and if you follow them you
will not make the mistakes I made in the past. In fact, you will be smarter than
half of the people who buy stocks in the market. I will discuss trading stocks in the future.
But first, every woman should have a long-term portfolio and now you know
what to avoid and how to build one.
Happy and Profitable Investing,
Tracey
Feel free to send questions to tacticaltracey@tacticalinvestor.com.
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Were there no women, men might live like gods. Thomas Dekker 1572-163
The woman is the home. That's where she used to be, and that's where she still is. You might ask me, What if a man tries to be part of the home -- will the woman let him? I answer yes. Because then he becomes one of the children.Marguerite Duras
Women must try to do things as men have tried. When they fail their failure must be but a challenge to others.Amelia Earhart 1897-1937
And when a woman's will is as strong as the man's who wants to govern her, half her strength must be concealment. George Eliot 1819-1880
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