Shorting without a plan can be very Hazardous to your
Financial Health
First of all I would like to wish everyone a very Merry
Christmas and a very happy new year. In addition i hope
that next year is even better for all of you as far as
investing goes. For those that missed the last few issues
where we started to talk about the great financial pox, I
am going to include the link to Gold-Eagle where you can
find the whole series ( the series has 4 parts to it)
The Great Financial Pox parts 1-4.
If you go to http://www.wallstreetcourier.com/index1.htm
and look at the table that they have you will notice that
new highs are seriously exceeding the new lows, even on
down days the number of new lows does not increase
significantly. This is one of the many indicators we use,
however I would not just rely only on these numbers to
make investment decisions. The data however does reveal
that this market is very strong internally and that all
the bears and doubters are going to either get killed if
they short this market for any extended period or miss out
on some serious profits. The market has really become a
stock traders dream come true, as you have to now know
which sectors and what stocks to buy. Just randomly buying
a basket of stocks could be very painful financially.
look at EELN, it released spectacular results and then
proceeded to correct severely as the market rose. What
makes this market even more tricky to play is now traders
and investors must know how to deal with the currency
issues. In the 1990 era this was not a big issue. Now with
the competitive currency devaluation mentality that every
nation has adopted, one has to be very careful. Take the
South African gold stocks, those that did not look at the
South African Rand early this year were killed as they
loaded up on Gold stocks thinking they would all go up.
Many analysts were busy pumping DROOY, but look what
happened Drooy was butchered with many of the other South
African Gold stocks. The astute investor who was able to
see that the Rand was in an upward trend was able to
divest from his South African holdings into American gold
stocks, which appreciated several times more than the
price of Gold. This appreciation in the value of Gold
stocks more then made up for the dep reciation in the
currency.
Inflation can actually be a very good thing, if you know
how to play this game. The problem or the benefit of
inflation is that its effects are not uniformly spread. So
while the dollar has dropped due to the massive inflation
of the money supply, Individuals salaries have not moved
up to keep with this inflation, however real estate, Gold
stocks and many commodities more than made up for this
difference. The smart Investor can use these subtle
signals to his advantage and reap huge benefits. When I
talk about inflation, I am not talking about prices rising
or not rising. Inflation means increase in the money
supply and has nothing to do with price increases.
Increasing prices are the result of inflation and not a
definition of inflation
Remember to win in the market you have to be in a position
that is against the Hive and be ready to jump out when the
crowds get in. To make a killing, means someone or a lot
of someone's must lose in order for you to reap those
great gains. There is no free lunch in the markets. It
comes to the principle eat or be eaten.
This newsletter has no fixed schedule sometimes 4 might be
sent out a month at other times 1-2. Its not a quantity
issue but a quality issue. I would rather send one a month
with facts and interesting info then 10 a month with mumbo
jumbo.
Recap
Lets recap on what we said last time on some plays
Today we are going to mention some stocks in the above
sectors that we think have great potential, however we
recommend that you do your own research and talk to your
financial advisor before taking positions in these stocks.
WEL, seems positioned to benefit tremendously should the
oil and oil service sector take off. they are coming out
of a nice base.
DYOLF they are a natural gas and independent oil producing
and exploration company their revenues doubled this
quarter and profits increased by 87%
TLM also looks very strong if you can buy shares in the
50-51 range you should be rewarded nicely in the future.
CHK is another very good play that has great long term
prospects. from Dec 7 newsletter
All the plays are doing well and are trading at higher
levels now. Recommending stocks is not going to be a main
feature. occasionally we might mention them. We will
mostly mention sectors and then its up to you to take this
info and look for the best stocks in those sectors. As we
would offend our paid subscribers if we started issuing a
plethora of trades here. All the above stocks still look
very good and should rise higher as these sectors (
natural gas, independent oil and exploration )are still
far from the overbought range.
A very good article to read is the Latest Contrarian round
table

In addition the following article should prove to be both
informative and amusing at the same time. To read both
articles just click on the picture.

The Tactical investor, Reproduction of any portion of this
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Tactical investor presents information and research
believed to be reliable, but its accuracy cannot be
guaranteed. The Latin maxim caveat emptor applies-let the
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Vaclav Havel 1936-, Czech Playwright, President
Modern man must descend the spiral of his own absurdity to
the lowest point; only then can he look beyond it. It is
obviously impossible to get around it, jump over it, or
simply avoid it.
Thomas Hobbes 1588-1679, British Philosopher
The privilege of absurdity; to which no living creature is
subject, but man only.
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