India vs China: Can India surpass China: Time will tell

India vs China

There are many experts pandering to the false view that India can overtake China, let’s put a stop to that foolishness right now. On PP basis China is a number, on a nominal basis, China is number 2, with a GDP of over $11 trillion. India, on the other hand, is at distance 7^th place with a paltry GDP of just 2.35 trillion. India stands no chance of overtaking China at least not in this century. India’s massive brain drain clearly highlights this issue. If India were such a promising place, then Indians would not be flocking to greener pastures.

Migration of Indian scientists and engineers to the US has increased by 85% in 10 years, a report of the highest scientific body in the United States has said. The report of the National Science Foundation — Immigrants’ Growing Presence in the US Science and Engineering Workforce: Education and Employment Characteristics in 2013 — released this month said that of all the immigrant scientists and engineers in the United States in 2013, 57% were born in Asia. Among the Asian countries, India continued its trend of being the top country of birth for immigrant scientists and engineers, with 9,50,000 out of Asia’s total 2.96 million. India’s 2013 figure represented an 85% increase from 2003. Full Story

India vs China: The corruption factor

The nightmare process businesses have to go through to start a business in this modern era is truly archaic and laced with a heavy dose of corruption. This excerpt on YouTube shows Narayana Murthy of Infosys illustrates the frustration businesses experience

India’s corruption makes China’s corruption seem non-existent. Add in the traffic jams, stench, and filth one has to deal with in parts of Mumbai and Delhi, and the charm of investing in India loses its appeal rather swiftly. Modi’s government had the strongest mandate of any government, yet like all his predecessors he has squandered this opportunity so far and has failed to implement any noteworthy changes.

The first thing he should have done was to streamline the investment process, by making it easy for foreigners to invest. With foreign investment comes a plethora of jobs, but so far, Modi’s government has been big on talk and small on action.

India vs China: Indian Stock Market Irrelevant in Comparision to China’s Stock Market

No one flinches when Indian markets are tanking but if Chinese markets tank or there is some bad news coming out of China the world’s financial markets react and in most cases, the reaction is usually very strong.

Jim Rogers seems to concur as it appears he is bailing out on India too.

You can’t just invest on hope. Even If reforms started coming, it may not be enough to make the markets go higher, because markets have already factored it in. If the reforms are substantial, the markets may go higher. No indication of that.
If Modi made the currency convertible, if he made the markets open to outsiders, then I would have to be back in India again. So far Modi has been doing worthwhile things like addressing some social issues—I am all for that, and that is great for a lot of people—but India needs more.
You have saved your farmers by making it illegal for foreigners to own more than five hectares—how on earth can an Indian farmer compete with an Australian farmer with 50,000 hectares? In history, India has been one of the great agricultural nations of the world—you have the land, the people, weather—God gave you everything. And then, he also gave you Delhi to mess it all up.

India vs China: Let’s look at some stats

While the Indian economy has grown nicely over the years, we think the tiger will have a hard time dethroning the Golden Dragon. India’s has a GDP of roughly $2.1 trillion, and that sadly is a long way off from China’s current GDP of $11.3 trillion.

Source of image: knoema.com

Plan of action

While there are some great companies in India, from a long-term perspective, China makes for a better investment as the market is extremely oversold; great companies are selling for a fraction of their former prices. For example, CHH, CHL TCEHY, BABA, are good

India vs China: corruption is still a major factor

Five years ago, the Indian people gave Narendra Modi the chance to realize his big promise: clean up the corruption in India. Today, Modi’s promise remains a promise. Corruption is still thriving in India, in all the usual places.

That’s evidenced by a string of high profile scandals that shook his administration. Like a murky 7.8 billion euro weapons contract to purchase 36 Rafale fighter planes from France. And a $2 billion bank fraud uncovered last February at India’s state-owned Punjab National Bank.

Corruption in Modi’s India is also evidenced by a string of reports from Transparency International. Like the one published early this week, ranking India 78 in corruption out of 175 countries. While this is a slight improvement from last year’s ranking, the recent ranking is still worse than the 2015 ranking. Full Story

The CPI Ranks India as the 81st Most Corrupt Country in The world

The CPI awarded India a score of 40, rendering it the 81st most corrupt country in the world. Ghana, Morocco and Turkey achieved the same score. While India fell two places in the rankings compared to last year, its score remained the same. Rather than demonstrating that the country’s corruption worsened over the past year, this likely indicates that other countries improved their performance relative to India.

Unfortunately for the Prime Minister, the start of the new year appears to have heralded the end of this otherwise admirable track record. In February, India’s Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) accused one of India’s most prominent and celebrated billionaires, Nirav Modi (no relation to the Prime Minister), of masterminding a $1.8 billion fraud against one of the country’s biggest state-run banks. Just last year, the so-called “diamond czar to Hollywood and Bollywood’s A-List” was featured on Forbes’s list of “India’s 100 Richest People.” Forbes