If one is looking for total safety one should chain oneself to ones bed and never leave; one can only make money if one takes a risk. Sol Palha

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 Results From Jan 08 to Dec 08

2008 was the worst year on record by any measure and yet during this extremely trying time, we produced more winners than losers. Out of a total of 45 trades that were issued between Jan 08 to Dec 08, 16 were losers, one was a break even and 28 were winners for an accuracy rate of 62.2% Most services were losing money and yet we managed to issue more winners than losers. Contracts that were rolled over are only counted once and only after the position have been closed out. Our accuracy rate did drop from the 70-75% ranges, but given the extremely tough and volatile markets we were dealing with, we think this slight dip is more than acceptable. 

Currently from Dec 08 to Feb 09, out of 13 closed trades, 11 are winners for an accuracy of 84.6% 

 

   Most Current Results  

Dollar March 08

 

(filled in Jan 08)

76.20

Sold

Sold at 72.00

  position . Sold (March 08) for a loss of 4200 per contract.

Lumber March 08

 

(filled in Feb

216

Sold

205.00

 Sold (March 08) for a loss of roughly 1100 per contract. 

Orange Juice May 08

 

(Filled in March 08)

144.60

Rolled 0ver

 

Rolled over into July 08

a position. We rolled over from the march contracts and used the same entry points from the March contracts for the May Contract

Orange Juice May 08

 

(filled In march 08)

133.60

Rolled over

Rolled over nto July 08

a position. We rolled over from the march contracts and used the same entry points from the March contracts for the May Contract

Palladium  March 08

 

(filled Nov 07)

354

Sold

510 or better

  Sold second half at 510 (March 08) or better for a gain of 15600 per contract.

Lean Hogs April 08

 

(Filled In Feb 08)

63.00

Sold

57.90

position. Sold for a loss 2040.

Lean Hogs  April 08

 

(filled in March  08)

57.00

Sold

Sold for 58.10

position. Sold for a gain of 440 dollars (March 08)

Live Cattle April 08

 

(filled in March 08)

90.90

Sold

Sold at 91.00

a position .  Sold for 91.00 for a break even (March 08)

Sugar May 08

 

(filled March 08)

14.20

11.44

Rolled over

1/3 position.

Palladium March 08

 

(filled in March)

525

 

Rolled over into June 08

  We have rolled this position into June and are going to use an entry price of 525 even though the contract is trading lower. Thus no loss will be reported for this contract. It will be treated as a neutral trade that was rolled over into the next contract.

Palladium June 08

 

(filled in March 08)

525

Stopped out

Stopped out at 425.00

 Stopped out at 425 for a loss of 10,000. 

Sugar May 08

 

(filled March 08)

12.80

11.44

Rolled over

1/3 position

Sugar May 08

 

(filled march 08)

12.45

Sold

12.75

1/3 position. Normal risk.  Sold for a profit of 333.00 (April 08)

Orange Juice

 

(filled In March 08)

112.50

Sold

118.50

Normal Risk.  Sold for a profit of 900 per contract (April 08)

Sugar July 08

 

(filled April  08)

12.60

Sold

12.00

1/3 of a position. By holding out through thick and think we were able to reduce the losses tremendously from several thousand dollars to just less than 1K.

OJ July  08

 

(filled April 08)

144.60

Sold

110.90

1/3 position

Orange July  08

 

(filled April 08)

133.60

Sold

110.90

1/3 position.

Sugar July

(filled In April 08)

 

14.20

10.00

12.00

1/3 position. Rolled over from May. Sold at 12.00 for a loss of roughly 2200 per contract. 

Sugar July 08

(filled in April 08)

12.80

Sold

12.00

1/3 position. Rolled over from May. By holding out through thick and think we were able to reduce the losses tremendously from several thousand dollars to just less than 1K.

Dollar June 08

 

(filled in April)

71.85

Sold

72.80

position . Traded as high as 74 so it was an easy fill (April 08). We locked in gains of roughly 1000 dollars per contract

Dollar June  08

(filled in April )

71.90

Sold

73.10

Traded as low as 71.50 so it was an easy fill for a gain of 1200.  (May 08)

Dow June 08

 

(filled in May 08)

12366-12370

Sold

12500

1/3 position.  Sold for a quick gain  of

650 dollars per mini contract and 1300 for the full Dow contract. (June 08)

Dollar June 08

(filled in May 08)

72.60

Sold

73.70

position high risk. Sold for a gain of 1100 per position (June 08)

Dollar June 08

(filled in May 08)

72.10-72.30

Sold

Sold at 72.90 and 2nd half for 73.70

Normal risk. Sold the position for a gain of 600-800 dollars per position. 

Sold 2nd half for 73.70 for a gain of 1600 dollars.  Our average gain thus was thus roughly 1100-1200 dollars per position (June 08)

Dow Sept 08


(filled in  June 08)

12000 or better

Sold

11700

1/3 position. We lost 1500 dollars here; however this was made up for when we deployed another 1/3rd of the money at 11101.

Dow Sept 08

 

(filled In July 08)

11101

Sold

11415

1/3 position. Sold in July 08 for a gain of roughly 1500 dollars per mini contract and 3000 dollars per full contract.

Orange Juice Sept 08

 

(filled in July )

118

Stopped out

108

1/3 position.  Our stop at 108 was hit. 

Orange Juice  Nov 08

 

(filled in Sept o8)

108

Sold

114.50

1/3 position.  Sold in Sept 08 for a gain of 975 per contract.

Orange Juice Nov 08

 

(filled in Sept 08)

106.50

Rolled over

Rolled over into Jan 09.

1/3 position.

Short Japanese Yen Dec 08

(filled in Sept 08)

96.90

 

1/2 at 93.25 and 1/2 at 94.20

1/2 position. Sold at 93.25 and profit stop was hit on the same day at 94.20 for a gain of 4625 and 3375 dollars.

 

 

 

 

 

Natural gas Nov 08

(filled in Oct 08)

7.18-7.20

Sold

7.20

a position. Very high risk.  Sold when stop at 7.20 was hit for a break even.

Palladium March 09

 

(Filled in Oct 08)

172-174

 

187.00

a position. High risk trade.  Sold for 187 for a profit of between 1300-1500 per contract (Oct 08)

 Dow Dec 08

 

(filled in Oct 08)

8990-9010

Sold

8957

a position.  High risk. Traders who wanted to lock in quick gains were advised to close the contract for at 9100 plus ranges and lock in quick gains of 500 per contract in a matter of hours; the contact traded as high 9114. Traders who held were held for higher gains were stopped out for a small loss of 200 dollars when the stop at 8957 was hit (Oct 08)

Silver  March 09

 

(Filled in Oct 2008)

8.51-8.55

 

at 9.50 and 2nd half at 9.00

Half the position was sold within two days at 9.55 for a profit of roughly 5000 per contract (Oct 08) . Stopped out on 2nd half at 9.00 for a profit of roughly 2500 per contract (Nov 2008)

Wheat March 09

 

(filled in Oct 08)

525.50

Sold

575-579

Half of the position was sold at 575 for a gain of 2500 per contract (Oct 2008). Second half was sold in the 575 to 579 ranges for another 2500-2600 dollars (Nov 08)

Dow Dec 08

 

(filled Oct 08)

8220-8230

Sold

8190-8220

End of day stop at 8187 was hit; when traders got ready to sell the next morning the futures were trading significantly higher; thus most were actually able to bail out with decent gains as Dow futures up at one point by over 800 points. However we are going to list this trade between a break even and a loss of roughly 200 dollars

OJ Jan 09

 

(filled Oct 08)

106.50

Sold

74.80

1/3 position. Very high risk trade. Sold for a loss of 4800 dollars in Jan 09. 

 

Dow Dec 08

 

(filled  Nov  08)

9025

Stopped out

8490

1/3 position at 9250 and 1/3 position at 8880. High risk. Sold for a loss roughly 2500 per contract.

Short Dollar Dec 08

 

(filled Nov 08)

87.20

Sold

85.03 and at

86.00

Sold half in the 85.03-85.20 for a profit 2000-2170.  Second stopped out when profit stop at 86.00 for a gain of 1000-1200 per contract.

Natural gas  Dec 08

 

 

(filled Nov 08)

6.49

Sold

6.73

a position, Very high risk. First half was purchased at 6.90

 

Purchased 2d half position at 6.09 for an average entry price of 6.49

Sold (Nov 08) For a gain of roughly 2400 per contract on both the positions taken.

Short  Dec Dollar 2008

 

(filled Nov 08)

 

88.60-88.65

Sold

87.40

1/3 position.  Medium to high risk

Profit stop at 87.40 hit for a gain of 1200-1250 per contract ( Dec08)

Soybeans Jan 2008

 

(Filled Nov 2008)

839

Stopped out

819

1/3 position. Medium to High risk. Sold for a loss of roughly 1000 dollars per contract (Dec 08)

Wheat March 09

 

(filled Nov 2008)

526-528

Stopped out

500

1/3 Position.  Medium to high Risk

Sold for a loss of roughly 1300-1400 per contract (Dec 08)

 

Dow Dec 2008

 

(filled in Nov 2008)

7830-7840

Sold

8560

1/3 of a position.  Sold for a gain of roughly 720 points, which translates into roughly 3600 dollars per contract.

Dow Dec 2008

 

(filled Nov 2008)

8280

Sold

8471-8503

1/3 of a position.  Very easy fill as the contract traded well below this point.  Sold for a nice gain of roughly 220 points in just 2 days (Nov 2008)

Natural gas  Jan 09

6.35

Stopped out

6.00

a position. High risk trade.  Stopped out at 6.00 for a loss of 3000 dollars.

Short Bond March 09

 

(filled Dec 08)

134-30 to 134-31

Sold

133-30 to 134.00

1/3 of a position.  Closed position out for a gain of 1000-1060 per contract.

Copper March 03

 

141

Sold

150-151

1/3 position.  High risk. Sold (Dec 08) in the 150-151 ranges for a gain of 2250-2500 per contract.

Shorted Japanese Yen Dec 08

 

 

 

(Filled In Oct and in Dec 08)

103.45

Stopped out

 

a position. Medium to high risk.  First half was Filled in Oct 08 in the 98.50-98.70 ranges.

 

2nd half filled in Dec 08 in the 108 -108.20 ranges for an average entry price of 103.45

 

Sold when stop was hit for a loss of roughly 6000 per contract.

Short March 09 Japanese Yen

 

(Dec 08)

113.80

Sold

110.68-110.80

a position. Medium to high risk. Closed position out (Dec 08) for a gain of roughly 3750 per contract.

30 year bonds  March 09

135-27

Sold

132-18 to 132-21

1/3 position. High Risk. Sold in the 132-18 to 132-21 ranges for a gain of between 3100-3300 per contract (Jan 2009). Traded as low as 131-23.

 

 

30 year bonds March 09

137-16 to 137-22

Sold

129 to 130.00

1/3 position.  High risk.  Stop was triggered on Jan 09, for a gain of roughly 7600-8600 per contract.

Dow March 09

 

(filled Dec 08)

8360-8380

Sold

8450-8460

a position. High risk. Sold in 2 days for a gain of roughly 400-500 per contract in Dec 2008.

  Results From May 2007 to Feb 2008